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2025 Hatsu Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

3Day Results This day Oyakata 60%(12/20)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2025 Hatsu Basho ▼
eastwest

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3Day Makuuchi bout results

Results for this Basho

Special prizes

Oyakata results 12/20 60%
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
light
east Yokozuna
Terunofuji Haruo
○ Win
73%
fog
westMaegashira 1
Kirishima
●Loss
27%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Terunofuji Haruo ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Terunofuji Haruo 12 - 0 Kirishima
Strength index 2575 — 2473
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Terunofuji Haruo See Kirishima
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Nagoya Basho 10Day Terunofuji Haruo Kotenage
2024 Hatsu Basho 15Day Terunofuji Haruo Yorikiri of
2023 Natsu Basho 14Day Terunofuji Haruo Yorikiri of
2022 Aki Basho 1Day Terunofuji Haruo Yorikiri of
2022 Nagoya Basho 2Day Terunofuji Haruo Yorikiri of
・
Miss ◎ High confidence
Sho
eastMaegashira 2
Tobizaru
○ Win
27%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
●Loss
73%
Data Oyakata Miss
Tobizaru ButHikiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 6 - 12 Kotozakura
Strength index 2421 — 2622
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 14 wins, 1 losses
See Tobizaru See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Kyushu Basho 10Day Kotozakura Hikiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 3Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 7Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2024 Natsu Basho 5Day Kotozakura Yoritaoshi of
2024 Hatsu Basho 15Day Kotozakura Uwatenage
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Takashi
eastMaegashira 1
Takanosho
●Loss
28%
Large
west Ozeki
Onosato
○ Win
72%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 2 - 2 Onosato
Strength index 2430 — 2582
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Takanosho See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Kyushu Basho 11Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 5Day Onosato Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 15Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 13Day Onosato Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Yutaka
east Ozeki
Hoshoryu
○ Win
56%
young
west Komusubi
Wakatakakage
●Loss
44%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hoshoryu ButTsukidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 4 - 8 Wakatakakage
Strength index 2627 — 2516
Previous basho 13 wins, 2 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Hoshoryu See Wakatakakage
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Kyushu Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Kotenage
2023 Hatsu Basho 13Day Wakatakakage Sukuinage of
2022 Aki Basho 11Day Wakatakakage Oshidashi
2022 Nagoya Basho 5Day Wakatakakage Oshidashi
2022 Natsu Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Okuridashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
young
east Sekiwake
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
56%
king
westMaegashira 3
Oho
○ Win
44%
Data Oyakata Miss
Oho ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 8 - 3 Oho
Strength index 2517 — 2438
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Kyushu Basho 7Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 13Day Wakamotoharu Yoritaoshi of
2024 Natsu Basho 14Day Oho Yorikiri of
2024 Haru Basho 1Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 10Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Positive
eastMaegashira 4
Shodai
●Loss
33%
Large
west Sekiwake
Daieisho
○ Win
67%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Daieisho ButOshidashiDeWin
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Head-to-head Shodai 9 - 22 Daieisho
Strength index 2346 — 2510
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Shodai See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Kyushu Basho 5Day Daieisho Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 5Day Daieisho Tottari
2024 Hatsu Basho 4Day Daieisho Oshitaoshi of
2023 Kyushu Basho 6Day Shodai Hatakikomi
2023 Aki Basho 2Day Daieisho Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Ah
east Komusubi
Abi
○ Win
54%
fever
westMaegashira 2
Atamifuji
●Loss
46%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Abi ButHatakikomiDeWin
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Head-to-head Abi 4 - 3 Atamifuji
Strength index 2512 — 2425
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Abi See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Kyushu Basho 14Day Abi Oshitaoshi of
2024 Aki Basho 5Day Atamifuji Yoritaoshi of
2024 Nagoya Basho 5Day Abi Okurinage
2024 Natsu Basho 4Day Abi Uwatenage
2024 Haru Basho 15Day Abi Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Australia
eastMaegashira 3
Gonoyama
○ Win
47%
u
westMaegashira 4
Ura
●Loss
53%
Data Oyakata Miss
Gonoyama ButOshitaoshiDeWin
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Head-to-head Gonoyama 0 - 5 Ura
Strength index 2425 — 2380
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Gonoyama See Ura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Aki Basho 6Day Ura Hatakikomi
2024 Nagoya Basho 2Day Ura Yorikiri of
2024 Hatsu Basho 12Day Ura Hikiotoshi
2023 Kyushu Basho 14Day Ura Yorikiri of
2023 Aki Basho 2Day Ura Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
high
eastMaegashira 6
Takayasu
○ Win
51%
flat
westMaegashira 5
Hiradoumi
●Loss
49%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takayasu ButHatakikomiDeWin
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Head-to-head Takayasu 3 - 2 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2407 — 2399
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 4 wins, 11 losses
See Takayasu See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Aki Basho 12Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
2024 Natsu Basho 13Day Hiradoumi Tsukiotoshi
2023 Aki Basho 4Day Takayasu Okuridashi
2023 Nagoya Basho 5Day Takayasu Hatakikomi
2023 Haru Basho 8Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
One
eastMaegashira 6
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
55%
thousand
westMaegashira 5
Chiyoshoma
○ Win
45%
Data Oyakata Miss
Chiyoshoma ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ichiyamamoto 5 - 2 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2305 — 2334
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Ichiyamamoto See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Nagoya Basho 14Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2023 Natsu Basho 12Day Ichiyamamoto Oshitaoshi of
2023 Hatsu Basho 8Day Ichiyamamoto Hatakikomi
2022 Aki Basho 7Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
2022 Nagoya Basho 5Day Chiyoshoma Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
far
eastMaegashira 7
Endo
○ Win
56%
treasure
westMaegashira 8
Takarafuji
●Loss
44%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Endo ButTottariDeWin
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Head-to-head Endo 16 - 16 Takarafuji
Strength index 2276 — 2260
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Endo See Takarafuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Kyushu Basho 13Day Takarafuji Tsukiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 15Day Takarafuji Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 2Day Endo Okuridashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 5Day Takarafuji Yorikiri of
2023 Kyushu Basho 14Day Takarafuji Uwatedashinage
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
beauty
eastMaegashira 9
Churanoumi
●Loss
51%
God
westMaegashira 7
Mitakeumi
○ Win
49%
Data Oyakata Miss
Mitakeumi ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 2 - 2 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2315 — 2316
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Churanoumi See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Natsu Basho 11Day Mitakeumi Yorikiri of
2024 Haru Basho 13Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 9Day Churanoumi Yorikiri of
2023 Kyushu Basho 10Day Mitakeumi Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
ball
eastMaegashira 10
Tamawashi
○ Win
49%
Green
westMaegashira 11
Midorifuji
●Loss
51%
Data Oyakata Miss
Tamawashi ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tamawashi 2 - 3 Midorifuji
Strength index 2295 — 2282
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Tamawashi See Midorifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Kyushu Basho 7Day Tamawashi Oshitaoshi of
2024 Aki Basho 4Day Midorifuji Katasukashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 2Day Tamawashi Yoritaoshi of
2024 Natsu Basho 8Day Midorifuji Katasukashi
2024 Haru Basho 7Day Midorifuji Hikiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Ah
eastMaegashira 12
Onokatsu
●Loss
26%
Respect
westMaegashira 11
Takerufuji
○ Win
74%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takerufuji ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onokatsu 0 - 2 Takerufuji
Strength index 2306 — 2469
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Onokatsu See Takerufuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Kyushu Basho 7Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 8Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 12
Nishikigi
○ Win
51%
Xiang
westMaegashira 13
Shonannoumi
●Loss
49%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Nishikigi ButYorikiriDeWin
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Head-to-head Nishikigi 2 - 1 Shonannoumi
Strength index 2293 — 2256
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Nishikigi See Shonannoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Hatsu Basho 4Day Nishikigi Yorikiri of
2023 Kyushu Basho 4Day Nishikigi Shitatenage
2023 Nagoya Basho 12Day Shonannoumi Kotenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
gold
eastMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
○ Win
58%
north
westMaegashira 15
Kitanowaka
●Loss
42%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kinbozan ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 5 - 2 Kitanowaka
Strength index 2276 — 2198
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Kinbozan See Kitanowaka
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Kyushu Basho 3Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Kitanowaka Yorikiri of
2024 Haru Basho 11Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2023 Hatsu Basho 7Day Kinbozan Tsukidashi
2022 Kyushu Basho 2Day Kinbozan Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
ball
eastMaegashira 16
Tamashoho
●Loss
40%
time
westMaegashira 17
Tokihayate
○ Win
60%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Tokihayate ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tamashoho 1 - 5 Tokihayate
Strength index 2155 — 2189
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Tamashoho See Tokihayate
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Aki Basho 7Day Tokihayate Sukuinage of
2024 Nagoya Basho 10Day Tokihayate Shitatenage
2024 Hatsu Basho 6Day Tokihayate Oshitaoshi of
2023 Kyushu Basho 2Day Tamashoho Hatakikomi
2023 Natsu Basho 9Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 17
Nishikifuji
○ Win
58%
Kagayaki
westMaegashira 16
Kagayaki
●Loss
42%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Nishikifuji ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 4 - 2 Shining
Strength index 2210 — 2178
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Nishikifuji see the shine
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 3Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2024 Hatsu Basho 11Day Shining Oshidashi
2023 Kyushu Basho 15Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2023 Aki Basho 3Day Nishikifuji Katasukashi
🧐
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