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2026 Aki Basho Makuuchi Kunio Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
61%
181/297 bouts
Okamisan
59%
174/297 bouts
Final day Results This day Oyakata 58%(11/19) Okamisan 53%(10/19)
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
🏆
Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
👑
Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Aki Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

Final day's Makuuchi bout results

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 15 days)

Oyakata results 11/19 58%
Okamisan results 10/19 53%
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
thousand
eastMaegashira 14
Chiyoshoma
○ Win
48%
Positive
westMaegashira 11
Shodai
●Loss
52%
Data Oyakata Miss
Chiyoshoma ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shodai 60% Miss

Okamisan picks Shodai (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、これは外れました。相撲は最後までわかりませんね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 2 - 8 Shodai
Strength index 2217 — 2236
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Shodai
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Chiyoshoma Katasukashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 13Day Shodai Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Chiyoshoma Katasukashi
2022 Hatsu Basho 15Day Shodai Kotenage
2021 Aki Basho 9Day Shodai Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
king
eastMaegashira 10
Oho
○ Win
63%
time
westMaegashira 15
Tokihayate
●Loss
37%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Oho ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Oho 78% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Oho (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは私も素直に見てCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2351 — 2248
Previous basho 2 wins, 12 losses — 0 wins, 1 losses
See Oho See Tokihayate
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 15
Asasuiryu
○ Win
42%
lion
westMaegashira 9
Shishi
●Loss
58%
Data Oyakata Miss
Asasuiryu ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 51% Miss

Okamisan picks Shishi (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは読みが甘かったです。次の一番で取り返しましょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2267 — 2334
Previous basho 1 wins, 0 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Asasuiryu See Shishi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
u
eastMaegashira 9
Ura
○ Win
69%
Sho
westMaegashira 14
Tobizaru
●Loss
31%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Ura ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ura 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Ura (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 9 - 12 Tobizaru
Strength index 2377 — 2225
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
See Ura See Tobizaru
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Ura Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Ura Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 6Day Ura Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Ura Shitatedashinage
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Kotobuki
eastMaegashira 16
Toshinofuji
●Loss
40%
flat
westMaegashira 8
Hiradoumi
○ Win
60%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hiradoumi ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 57% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2290 — 2394
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
Toshinofujiを見る See Hiradoumi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Respect
eastMaegashira 8
Takerufuji
○ Win
61%
morning
westMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
●Loss
39%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takerufuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 76% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 2 - 0 Asahakuryu
Strength index 2374 — 2299
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Takerufuji See Asahakuryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 6 Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Ah
eastMaegashira 13
Abi
○ Win
44%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 7
Nishikifuji
●Loss
56%
Data Oyakata Miss
Abi ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 62% Miss

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Abi 6 - 2 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2289 — 2332
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
See Abi See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 1 Day Abi Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Abi Hatakikomi
2026 Haru Basho 15Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 3Day Abi Uwatedashinage
2023 Natsu Basho 13Day Abi Oshitaoshi of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 7
Fujiseiun
○ Win
49%
morning
westMaegashira 13
Asakoryu
●Loss
51%
Data Oyakata Miss
Fujiseiun ButOkuridashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asakoryu 55% Miss

Okamisan picks Asakoryu (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiseiun 4 - 1 Asakoryu
Strength index 2353 — 2357
Previous basho 7 wins, 7 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Fujiseiun See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Fujiseiun Tsukiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 13Day Fujiseiun Sotogake
2024 Aki Basho 13Day Asakoryu Yorikiri of
2022 Hatsu Basho 3Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
gold
eastMaegashira 10
Kinbozan
●Loss
57%
One
westMaegashira 6
Ichiyamamoto
○ Win
43%
Data Oyakata Miss
Ichiyamamoto ButOkuridashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 53% Miss

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:数字どおりにはいきませんね。これは勉強です。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 3 - 4 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2340 — 2299
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
See Kinbozan See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 15Day Ichiyamamoto Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Ichiyamamoto Uwatenage
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Kinbozan Uwatenage
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2024 Natsu Basho 3Day Kinbozan Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Australia
eastMaegashira 3
Gonoyama
○ Win
51%
young
westMaegashira 11
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
49%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Gonoyama ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Wakamotoharu 56% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Wakamotoharu (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 4 - 6 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2404 — 2393
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Gonoyama See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Gonoyama Tsukidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 6Day Wakamotoharu Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 6
Asanoyama
●Loss
41%
righteousness
westMaegashira 2
Yoshinofuji
○ Win
59%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Yoshinofuji ButYoritaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 76% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 0 - 1 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2447 — 2523
Previous basho 9 wins, 5 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Asanoyama See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 15Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
high
eastMaegashira 2
Takayasu
●Loss
52%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 4
Fujiryoga
○ Win
48%
Data Oyakata Miss
Fujiryoga ButSukuinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 72% Miss

Okamisan picks Takayasu (72%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、これは外れました。相撲は最後までわかりませんね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takayasu 1 - 0 Fujiryoga
Strength index 2502 — 2474
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Takayasu See Fujiryoga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 5 Day Takayasu Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Europe
eastMaegashira 5
Oshoma
●Loss
41%
Koto
westMaegashira 1
Kotoeiho
○ Win
59%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotoeiho ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoma 0 - 2 Kotoeiho
Strength index 2332 — 2383
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Oshoma See Kotoeiho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 5 Day Kotoeiho Yorikiri of
2026 Natsu Basho 11Day Kotoeiho Okurinage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
beauty
eastMaegashira 3
Churanoumi
○ Win
54%
Large
west Komusubi
Daieisho
●Loss
46%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Churanoumi ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 72% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Daieisho (72%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あらら、最後はrikishiの気迫が上 timesりましたか。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 6 - 3 Daieisho
Strength index 2471 — 2452
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
See Churanoumi See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 6 Day Daieisho Okuridashi
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Churanoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Churanoumi Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Haku
east Komusubi
Hakunofuji
○ Win
60%
wolf
westMaegashira 5
Roga
●Loss
40%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hakunofuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 54% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 1 - 0 Roga
Strength index 2417 — 2342
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Hakunofuji See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2023 Natsu Basho 14Day Hakunofuji Uwatenage
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
●Loss
52%
Wisteria
west Sekiwake
Fujinokawa
○ Win
48%
Data Oyakata Miss
Fujinokawa ButSukuinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 56% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 4 - 1 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2550 — 2537
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 7 wins, 7 losses
See Atamifuji See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 6 Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Atamifuji Yoritaoshi of
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Fujinokawa Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Atamifuji Okuridashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 10Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
Most popular
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
63%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
●Loss
37%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 54% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kirishima (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 16 - 9 Kotozakura
Strength index 2604 — 2515
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Kirishima See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 15Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 12Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
Most popular
Miss ▲ Close bout
Large
east Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
41%
Cheap
west Ozeki
Aonishiki
●Loss
59%
Data Oyakata Miss
Onosato ButTsukidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 76% Miss

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 4 - 1 Aonishiki
Strength index 2615 — 2682
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 12 wins, 2 losses
See Onosato See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 9 Day Aonishiki Uwatedashinage
2026 Hatsu Basho 14Day Onosato Oshitaoshi of
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Onosato Yoritaoshi of
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Onosato Oshidashi
🧐
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