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2026 Kyushu Basho Makuuchi Kunio Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
48%
10/21 bouts
Okamisan
52%
11/21 bouts
明日・2 DayのWin-loss predictions
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
🏆
Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
👑
Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Kyushu Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

2 DayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(At the end of 2 days)

・
▲ Close bout
Asahi
eastMaegashira 16
Kyokukaiyu
 57%
north
westMaegashira 15
Kitanowaka
 43%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kyokukaiyu 62%

Okamisan picks Kyokukaiyu (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kyokukaiyu 2 - 2 Kitanowaka
Strength index 2224 — 2170
Previous basho 1 wins, 1 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Kyokukaiyu See Kitanowaka
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 14Day Kitanowaka Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Kitanowaka Oshitaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Kyokukaiyu Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Kyokukaiyu Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
time
eastMaegashira 14
Tokihayate
 53%
ball
westMaegashira 15
Tamawashi
 47%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Tokihayate 80%

Okamisan picks Tokihayate (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tokihayate 4 - 1 Tamawashi
Strength index 2231 — 2215
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 0 wins, 1 losses
See Tokihayate See Tamawashi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 14Day Tokihayate Tsukiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 8Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2024 Natsu Basho 10Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
Out
eastMaegashira 14
Dewanoryu
 40%
morning
westMaegashira 13
Asasuiryu
 60%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asasuiryu 76%

Okamisan picks Asasuiryu (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Dewanoryu 0 - 2 Asasuiryu
Strength index 2217 — 2300
Previous basho 2 wins, 0 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Dewanoryu See Asasuiryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Asasuiryu Katasukashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 15Day Asasuiryu Uwatehineri
・
▲ Close bout
Ah
eastMaegashira 12
Abi
 50%
morning
westMaegashira 11
Asahakuryu
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Abi 61% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Abi (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Abi 2 - 1 Asahakuryu
Strength index 2308 — 2303
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Abi See Asahakuryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 1 Day Asahakuryu Tsukiotoshi
2026 Nagoya Basho 5 Day Abi Shitatedashinage
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Abi Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
lion
eastMaegashira 10
Shishi
 37%
Takashi
westMaegashira 11
Takanosho
 63%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takanosho 82%

Okamisan picks Takanosho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shishi 0 - 2 Takanosho
Strength index 2311 — 2419
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 4 wins, 9 losses
See Shishi See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Nagoya Basho 10Day Takanosho Yoritaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 2Day Takanosho Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
king
eastMaegashira 10
Oho
 48%
morning
westMaegashira 9
Asakoryu
 52%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asakoryu 62%

Okamisan picks Asakoryu (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2350 — 2356
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Oho See Asakoryu
・
▲ Close bout
wolf
eastMaegashira 8
Roga
 48%
Europe
westMaegashira 9
Oshoma
 52%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Oshoma 80%

Okamisan picks Oshoma (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 4 - 12 Oshoma
Strength index 2323 — 2334
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Roga See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 1 Day Oshoma Hikiotoshi
2026 Nagoya Basho 9 Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 14Day Oshoma Shitatenage
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Roga Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Roga Uwatedashinage
・
▲ Close bout
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 8
Nishikifuji
 46%
gold
westMaegashira 7
Kinbozan
 54%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 73%

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 4 - 5 Kinbozan
Strength index 2311 — 2339
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Nishikifuji See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 3 Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Kinbozan Uwatenage
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Kinbozan Hikiotoshi
2025 Hatsu Basho 5Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 7Day Nishikifuji Oshitaoshi of
・
▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 6
Kotoshoho
 56%
young
westMaegashira 7
Wakamotoharu
 44%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Wakamotoharu 69% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Wakamotoharu (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 5 - 7 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2439 — 2394
Previous basho 5 wins, 7 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Kotoshoho See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 14Day Wakamotoharu Yoritaoshi of
2024 Hatsu Basho 12Day Kotoshoho Yoritaoshi of
2022 Natsu Basho 7Day Kotoshoho Sukuinage of
・
▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 6
Kotoeiho
 45%
Australia
westMaegashira 5
Gonoyama
 55%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Gonoyama 82%

Okamisan picks Gonoyama (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoeiho 0 - 2 Gonoyama
Strength index 2381 — 2426
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Kotoeiho See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 10 Day Gonoyama Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
Respect
eastMaegashira 4
Takerufuji
 42%
Large
westMaegashira 4
Daieisho
 58%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 79%

Okamisan picks Daieisho (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 0 - 2 Daieisho
Strength index 2372 — 2452
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Takerufuji See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 11Day Daieisho Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
flat
eastMaegashira 5
Hiradoumi
 49%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
 51%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 61% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 2 - 4 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2411 — 2415
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Hiradoumi See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Hakunofuji Hatakikomi
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Hakunofuji Sukuinage of
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Hiradoumi Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Hiradoumi Tsukiotoshi
・
▲ Close bout
Wisteria
east Sekiwake
Fujinokawa
 57%
high
westMaegashira 3
Takayasu
 43%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 64%

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 1 - 1 Takayasu
Strength index 2531 — 2484
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Fujinokawa See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 8 Day Fujinokawa Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Takayasu Sukuinage of
・
◎ High confidence
u
eastMaegashira 2
Ura
 27%
fever
west Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 73%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 73%

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 4 - 4 Atamifuji
Strength index 2378 — 2548
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Ura See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 5Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Ura Katasukashi
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Ura Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 14Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 4Day Ura Shitatedashinage
・
○ Advantage
Cheap
east Ozeki
Aonishiki
 62%
righteousness
west Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
 38%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 67% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (67%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 2 - 5 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2644 — 2552
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Aonishiki See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 9 Day Aonishiki Sukuinage of
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Yoshinofuji Uwatenage
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Yoshinofuji Yoritaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Aonishiki Kubinage
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Yoshinofuji Tsukidashi
・
◎ High confidence
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
 78%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 2
Fujiseiun
 22%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 78%

Okamisan picks Kirishima (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2616 — 2382
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Kirishima See Fujiseiun
・
▲ Close bout
beauty
east Komusubi
Churanoumi
 48%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
 52%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Churanoumi 70% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Churanoumi (70%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 4 - 5 Kotozakura
Strength index 2473 — 2498
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Churanoumi See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 5 Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2026 Nagoya Basho 3 Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Churanoumi のFusensho
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Kotozakura Sukuinage of
2024 Kyushu Basho 8Day Kotozakura Uwatehineri
Kinboshi Naruka
○ Advantage
Large
east Yokozuna
Onosato
 63%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 1
Fujiryoga
 37%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 56%

Okamisan picks Onosato (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 1 - 0 Fujiryoga
Strength index 2614 — 2510
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Onosato See Fujiryoga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 9 Day Onosato Hikiotoshi
Kinboshi Naruka
○ Advantage
morning
eastMaegashira 1
Asanoyama
 34%
Yutaka
west Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
 66%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 82%

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 0 - 5 Hoshoryu
Strength index 2455 — 2587
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 7 losses
See Asanoyama See Hoshoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Haru Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Shitatenage
2023 Kyushu Basho 11Day Hoshoryu Shitatenage
2023 Aki Basho 6Day Hoshoryu Shitatenage
2023 Nagoya Basho 7Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
2021 Natsu Basho 8Day Hoshoryu Uchigake
🧐
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