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2026 Kyushu Basho Makuuchi Kunio Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

Tomorrow: Day 1 bout predictions
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
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Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
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Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Kyushu Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

Makuuchi bout predictions on Day 1

・
▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 17
Daiseizan
 51%
Asahi
westMaegashira 16
Kyokukaiyu
 49%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kyokukaiyu 57% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Kyokukaiyu (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daiseizan 1 - 1 Kyokukaiyu
Strength index 2224 — 2208
Previous basho 1 wins, 1 losses — 1 wins, 1 losses
See Daiseizan See Kyokukaiyu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Kyokukaiyu Shitatenage
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Daiseizan Uwatenage
・
▲ Close bout
time
eastMaegashira 14
Tokihayate
 42%
morning
westMaegashira 13
Asasuiryu
 58%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asasuiryu 79%

Okamisan picks Asasuiryu (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tokihayate 0 - 1 Asasuiryu
Strength index 2240 — 2286
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Tokihayate See Asasuiryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 7 Day Asasuiryu Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
Kotobuki
eastMaegashira 13
Toshinofuji
 49%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
 51%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Abi 56%

Okamisan picks Abi (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Toshinofuji 1 - 0 Abi
Strength index 2278 — 2299
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
Toshinofujiを見る See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 13 Day Toshinofuji Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
Takashi
eastMaegashira 11
Takanosho
 57%
king
westMaegashira 10
Oho
 43%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Oho 70% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Oho (70%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

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Head-to-head Takanosho 6 - 7 Oho
Strength index 2411 — 2358
Previous basho 4 wins, 9 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Takanosho See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 11 Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Oho Tsukiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 15Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Oho Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
lion
eastMaegashira 10
Shishi
 47%
morning
westMaegashira 9
Asakoryu
 53%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 52% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Shishi (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shishi 7 - 6 Asakoryu
Strength index 2321 — 2346
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Shishi See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 6 Day Shishi Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Shishi Kotenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Shishi Oshitaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
・
▲ Close bout
Europe
eastMaegashira 9
Oshoma
 50%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 8
Nishikifuji
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 56%

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoma 3 - 2 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2323 — 2321
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Oshoma See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 5 Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 11Day Nishikifuji Oshitaoshi of
2024 Haru Basho 11Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 14Day Oshoma Hatakikomi
・
▲ Close bout
wolf
eastMaegashira 8
Roga
 50%
gold
westMaegashira 7
Kinbozan
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Roga 55% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Roga (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 6 - 4 Kinbozan
Strength index 2333 — 2328
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Roga See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Roga Hatakikomi
2026 Haru Basho 15Day Kinbozan Tsukidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Roga Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 6Day Roga Uwatenage
2025 Natsu Basho 10Day Roga Okuridashi
・
▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 7
Wakamotoharu
 47%
Koto
westMaegashira 6
Kotoeiho
 53%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 58%

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

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Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 0 - 1 Kotoeiho
Strength index 2384 — 2394
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Kotoeiho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 3 Day Kotoeiho Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 6
Kotoshoho
 55%
Australia
westMaegashira 5
Gonoyama
 45%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Gonoyama 54% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Gonoyama (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 5 - 4 Gonoyama
Strength index 2450 — 2414
Previous basho 5 wins, 7 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Kotoshoho See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 9 Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
2026 Nagoya Basho 2 Day Kotoshoho Tsukiotoshi
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Gonoyama Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 5Day Kotoshoho Kubinage
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
Respect
eastMaegashira 4
Takerufuji
 51%
flat
westMaegashira 5
Hiradoumi
 49%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 67%

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (67%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 3 - 1 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2383 — 2401
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Takerufuji See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 1 Day Takerufuji Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 1Day Takerufuji Tsukiotoshi
2025 Haru Basho 3Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
 51%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
 49%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 52%

Okamisan picks Daieisho (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 3 - 1 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2443 — 2427
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Daieisho See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 6 Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2026 Nagoya Basho 1 Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 10Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
・
▲ Close bout
high
eastMaegashira 3
Takayasu
 42%
fever
west Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 58%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 59% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Takayasu (59%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

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Head-to-head Takayasu 4 - 5 Atamifuji
Strength index 2492 — 2539
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Takayasu See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 9 Day Atamifuji Oshitaoshi of
2026 Haru Basho 15Day Takayasu Uwatehineri
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Takayasu Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Takayasu Shitatenage
・
◎ High confidence
Wisteria
east Sekiwake
Fujinokawa
 74%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 2
Fujiseiun
 26%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 73%

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

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Head-to-head Fujinokawa 1 - 2 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2550 — 2365
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Fujinokawa See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Fujiseiun Tsukiotoshi
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Fujinokawa Sotogake
2024 Kyushu Basho 6Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
・
◎ High confidence
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
 79%
u
westMaegashira 2
Ura
 21%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82%

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 11 - 4 Ura
Strength index 2612 — 2383
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Kirishima See Ura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 15Day Kirishima Oshitaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Kirishima のsakatottari
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Kirishima Oshitaoshi of
2024 Kyushu Basho 2Day Ura Tsukiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 8Day Kirishima Oshitaoshi of
・
▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 1
Fujiryoga
 50%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 55% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

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Head-to-head Fujiryoga 0 - 1 Kotozakura
Strength index 2492 — 2508
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Fujiryoga See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 7 Day Kotozakura Katasukashi
・
○ Advantage
beauty
east Komusubi
Churanoumi
 37%
Yutaka
west Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
 63%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 67%

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (67%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

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Head-to-head Churanoumi 0 - 6 Hoshoryu
Strength index 2480 — 2580
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 7 losses
See Churanoumi See Hoshoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Hoshoryu Tsukiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Sukuinage of
2024 Kyushu Basho 9Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
2020 Nagoya Basho 11Day Hoshoryu Uwatedashinage
2020 Hatsu Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
・
○ Advantage
Large
east Yokozuna
Onosato
 63%
righteousness
west Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
 37%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 55% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 1 - 4 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2630 — 2534
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Onosato See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 5 Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2026 Nagoya Basho 1 Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Yoshinofuji のFusenpai
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Yoshinofuji Uwatenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
🧐
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