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2026 Kyushu Basho Makuuchi Kunio Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
52%
33/63 bouts
Okamisan
49%
31/63 bouts
明日・4 DayのWin-loss predictions
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
🏆
Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
👑
Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Kyushu Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

4 DayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 4 days)

・
▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 17
Daiseizan
 46%
thousand
westJuryo 1
Chiyoshoma
 54%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Chiyoshoma 82%

Okamisan picks Chiyoshoma (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daiseizan 0 - 2 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2185 — 2227
Previous basho 1 wins, 1 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Daiseizan See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 14 Day Chiyoshoma Uwatenage
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
ball
eastMaegashira 15
Tamawashi
 48%
Asahi
westMaegashira 16
Kyokukaiyu
 52%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kyokukaiyu 56%

Okamisan picks Kyokukaiyu (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tamawashi 0 - 1 Kyokukaiyu
Strength index 2232 — 2219
Previous basho 0 wins, 1 losses — 1 wins, 1 losses
See Tamawashi See Kyokukaiyu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Kyokukaiyu Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
time
eastMaegashira 14
Tokihayate
 55%
north
westMaegashira 15
Kitanowaka
 45%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Tokihayate 57%

Okamisan picks Tokihayate (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tokihayate 4 - 3 Kitanowaka
Strength index 2231 — 2173
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Tokihayate See Kitanowaka
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Hatsu Basho 6Day Kitanowaka Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 5Day Tokihayate Uwatenage
2024 Hatsu Basho 13Day Kitanowaka Yoritaoshi of
2023 Aki Basho 15Day Tokihayate Shitatenage
2023 Natsu Basho 7Day Tokihayate Yoritaoshi of
・
○ Advantage
Kotobuki
eastMaegashira 13
Toshinofuji
 40%
morning
westMaegashira 13
Asasuiryu
 60%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asasuiryu 76%

Okamisan picks Asasuiryu (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Toshinofuji 1 - 1 Asasuiryu
Strength index 2229 — 2297
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
Toshinofujiを見る See Asasuiryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 3 Day Toshinofuji Uwatenage
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Asasuiryu Tsukiotoshi
・
▲ Close bout
One
eastMaegashira 12
Ichiyamamoto
 51%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
 49%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Ichiyamamoto 57%

Okamisan picks Ichiyamamoto (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ichiyamamoto 2 - 3 Abi
Strength index 2301 — 2289
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Ichiyamamoto See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Abi Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 11Day Abi Tsukidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 13Day Abi Tsukidashi
・
▲ Close bout
lion
eastMaegashira 10
Shishi
 41%
king
westMaegashira 10
Oho
 59%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Oho 62%

Okamisan picks Oho (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shishi 2 - 0 Oho
Strength index 2293 — 2369
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Shishi See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 5 Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Shishi Hatakikomi
・
▲ Close bout
Europe
eastMaegashira 9
Oshoma
 49%
morning
westMaegashira 9
Asakoryu
 51%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Oshoma 51% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Oshoma (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoma 1 - 2 Asakoryu
Strength index 2333 — 2332
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Oshoma See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Asakoryu Tsukite
2024 Haru Basho 14Day Oshoma Okuridashi
・
▲ Close bout
wolf
eastMaegashira 8
Roga
 51%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 8
Nishikifuji
 49%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 64% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 5 - 6 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2325 — 2313
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Roga See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 6 Day Nishikifuji Tsukiotoshi
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Roga Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Roga Hatakikomi
2024 Kyushu Basho 14Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 7
Wakamotoharu
 54%
gold
westMaegashira 7
Kinbozan
 46%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Wakamotoharu 55%

Okamisan picks Wakamotoharu (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 3 - 1 Kinbozan
Strength index 2394 — 2362
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 2 Day Kinbozan Oshidashi
2026 Nagoya Basho 11 Day Wakamotoharu Kotenage
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 12Day Wakamotoharu Okuridashi
・
▲ Close bout
Respect
eastMaegashira 4
Takerufuji
 45%
Koto
westMaegashira 6
Kotoshoho
 55%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotoshoho 51%

Okamisan picks Kotoshoho (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 1 - 0 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2400 — 2457
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 7 losses
See Takerufuji See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Hatsu Basho 5Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
flat
eastMaegashira 5
Hiradoumi
 44%
Large
westMaegashira 4
Daieisho
 56%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 57% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 4 - 8 Daieisho
Strength index 2392 — 2434
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Hiradoumi See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 3 Day Daieisho Hikiotoshi
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 6Day Hiradoumi Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 14Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
・
▲ Close bout
Australia
eastMaegashira 5
Gonoyama
 44%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
 56%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 62%

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 6 - 2 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2403 — 2442
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Gonoyama See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 12 Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2026 Nagoya Basho 13 Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Hakunofuji Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 5Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2023 Nagoya Basho 6Day Hakunofuji Hatakikomi
・
▲ Close bout
Wisteria
east Sekiwake
Fujinokawa
 41%
righteousness
west Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
 59%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 79%

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 1 - 6 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2502 — 2559
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Fujinokawa See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 1 Day Fujinokawa Yorikiri of
2026 Nagoya Basho 8 Day Yoshinofuji Sotogake
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Yoshinofuji Uwatenage
・
○ Advantage
beauty
east Komusubi
Churanoumi
 38%
fever
west Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 62%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 76%

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 3 - 12 Atamifuji
Strength index 2476 — 2561
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Churanoumi See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 2 Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2026 Nagoya Basho 10 Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2026 Natsu Basho 11Day Churanoumi Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
 67%
high
westMaegashira 3
Takayasu
 33%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 74%

Okamisan picks Kirishima (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 13 - 10 Takayasu
Strength index 2608 — 2484
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kirishima See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Aki Basho 3 Day Takayasu Hikiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Kirishima Sukuinage of
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Kirishima Tsukihiza of
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Takayasu Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 7Day Kirishima Hatakikomi
・
▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 1
Asanoyama
 42%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
 58%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotozakura 51%

Okamisan picks Kotozakura (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 3 - 0 Kotozakura
Strength index 2443 — 2513
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Asanoyama See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Haru Basho 2Day Asanoyama Oshidashi
2023 Aki Basho 2Day Asanoyama Uwatenage
2016 Natsu Basho 9Day Asanoyama Uwatenage
Kinboshi Naruka
◎ High confidence
Large
east Yokozuna
Onosato
 81%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 2
Fujiseiun
 19%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 82%

Okamisan picks Onosato (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2629 — 2370
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Onosato See Fujiseiun
Kinboshi Naruka
◎ High confidence
u
eastMaegashira 2
Ura
 24%
Yutaka
west Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
 76%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 82%

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 6 - 11 Hoshoryu
Strength index 2370 — 2581
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 7 losses
See Ura See Hoshoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Hoshoryu Uwatehineri
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Hoshoryu Ashitori
2025 Natsu Basho 10Day Hoshoryu Okuridashi
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Ura のFusensho
2024 Kyushu Basho 4Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
🧐
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