Probability calibration

Predictions Win rate and actual Win rate

• 50〜60%と読んだ 16,809 bouts Actually 54.0% Win

  The black line is the predictions, and the red bar is the actual win rate.

• 60〜70%と読んだ 8,215 bouts Actually 63.7% Win

  The black line is the predictions, and the red bar is the actual win rate.

• 70〜80%と読んだ 3,199 bouts Actually 74.2% Win

  The black line is the predictions, and the red bar is the actual win rate.

• 80〜90%と読んだ 1,013 bouts Actually 82.5% Win

  The black line is the predictions, and the red bar is the actual win rate.

  *Due to the small number of cases, the numbers may change in the future.

• 90% or more read 354 bouts Actually 95.5% Win

  The black line is the predictions, and the red bar is the actual win rate.

  *Due to the small number of cases, the numbers may change in the future.