Probability calibration

Predictions Win rate and actual Win rate

• 50〜60%と読んだ 17,099 bouts Actually 54.0% Win

  The black line is the predictions, and the red bar is the actual win rate.

• 60〜70%と読んだ 8,360 bouts Actually 63.8% Win

  The black line is the predictions, and the red bar is the actual win rate.

• 70〜80%と読んだ 3,264 bouts Actually 74.1% Win

  The black line is the predictions, and the red bar is the actual win rate.

• 80〜90%と読んだ 1,016 bouts Actually 82.4% Win

  The black line is the predictions, and the red bar is the actual win rate.

  *Due to the small number of cases, the numbers may change in the future.

• 90% or more read 354 bouts Actually 95.5% Win

  The black line is the predictions, and the red bar is the actual win rate.

  *Due to the small number of cases, the numbers may change in the future.