Analysis8
Is promotion to sanyaku a real wall?
27.7%
Kachi-koshi rate for newly promoted sanyaku
Conclusion
The wall is real. Rikishi making their first appearance at Komusubi or Sekiwake averaged 6.16 wins, and only 27.7% made kachi-koshi. Facing Yokozuna and Ozeki day after day is a measurable step up in difficulty.
Methodology
- Period
- 2000 Hatsu Basho～2026 Natsu Basho
- Sample
- Basho went to Komusubi or Sekiwake for the first time and took 15 bouts.
- Sample size
- 83Basho
- Calculation
- 8 wins or more23Basho with a winning record rate of 27.7%. Average 6.16 wins
- comparison
- Komusubi overall is 42.3% (310Basho), average 6.96 wins
How to read this
The momentum before promotion and the strength of the opponent are not individually arranged.