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2026 Natsu Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

Day 1 Results This day Oyakata 40%(8/20)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Natsu Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

Makuuchi bout results on Day 1

Results for this Basho

Special prizes

Oyakata results 8/20 40%
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
●Loss
66%
high
west Komusubi
Takayasu
○ Win
34%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takayasu ButUwatenageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 6 - 11 Takayasu
Strength index 2658 — 2485
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Hoshoryu See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Hoshoryu Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Hoshoryu Tottari
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Hoshoryu Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 1Day Hoshoryu Sotogake
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
69%
Takashi
westMaegashira 1
Takanosho
●Loss
31%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButHatakikomiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 7 - 17 Takanosho
Strength index 2622 — 2439
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Kirishima See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Kirishima Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Takanosho Tsukidashi
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Takanosho Tsukidashi
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Takanosho Oshidashi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
●Loss
71%
One
westMaegashira 2
Ichiyamamoto
○ Win
29%
Data Oyakata Miss
Ichiyamamoto ButHatakikomiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 2 - 3 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2520 — 2404
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Atamifuji See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Ichiyamamoto Shitatedashinage
2023 Nagoya Basho 5Day Ichiyamamoto Fusen of
2022 Kyushu Basho 2Day Ichiyamamoto Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
righteousness
eastMaegashira 2
Yoshinofuji
○ Win
62%
Koto
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
●Loss
38%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Yoshinofuji ButSukuinageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 1 - 2 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2480 — 2425
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Kotoshoho Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Yoshinofuji Abisetaoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Kotoshoho Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
flat
eastMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
●Loss
34%
young
west Komusubi
Wakatakakage
○ Win
66%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakatakakage ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 2 - 7 Wakatakakage
Strength index 2428 — 2537
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Hiradoumi See Wakatakakage
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Wakatakakage Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 15Day Wakatakakage Katasukashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Hiradoumi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 9Day Wakatakakage Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
○ Win
48%
king
westMaegashira 3
Oho
●Loss
52%
Data Oyakata Miss
Daieisho ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 4 - 5 Oho
Strength index 2466 — 2446
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Daieisho See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Oho Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Daieisho Hikiotoshi
2025 Hatsu Basho 4Day Oho Hikiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 4Day Daieisho Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 5
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
59%
Australia
westMaegashira 4
Gonoyama
○ Win
41%
Data Oyakata Miss
Gonoyama ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 6 - 3 Gonoyama
Strength index 2428 — 2376
Previous basho 3 wins, 12 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Gonoyama Tsukidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 6Day Wakamotoharu Tsukiotoshi
2025 Hatsu Basho 2Day Gonoyama Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
beauty
eastMaegashira 6
Churanoumi
○ Win
57%
Positive
westMaegashira 5
Shodai
●Loss
43%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Churanoumi ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 4 - 3 Shodai
Strength index 2354 — 2327
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Churanoumi See Shodai
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Shodai Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Shodai Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 1Day Shodai Hatakikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
thousand
eastMaegashira 7
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
44%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
○ Win
56%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujiseiun ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 2 - 1 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2308 — 2324
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Fujiseiun Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Chiyoshoma Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Chiyoshoma Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
morning
eastMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
○ Win
64%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 9
Nishikifuji
●Loss
36%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asanoyama ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 1 - 2 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2397 — 2322
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Asanoyama See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Asanoyama Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Nishikifuji Yoritaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 13Day Nishikifuji Uwatenage
・
Miss ○ Advantage
u
eastMaegashira 11
Ura
○ Win
39%
Haku
westMaegashira 10
Hakunofuji
●Loss
61%
Data Oyakata Miss
Ura ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 2 - 3 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2338 — 2392
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 6 losses
See Ura See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Hakunofuji Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Ura Katasukashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Ura Uwatedashinage
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Hakunofuji Oshitaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 6Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
God
eastMaegashira 14
Mitakeumi
○ Win
48%
ball
westMaegashira 13
Tamawashi
●Loss
52%
Data Oyakata Miss
Mitakeumi ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Mitakeumi 29 - 9 Tamawashi
Strength index 2280 — 2327
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Mitakeumi See Tamawashi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Kyushu Basho 11Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 5Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
2023 Kyushu Basho 13Day Mitakeumi Oshidashi
2023 Natsu Basho 3Day Mitakeumi Oshidashi
2023 Haru Basho 11Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Sho
eastMaegashira 15
Tobizaru
○ Win
46%
wolf
westMaegashira 14
Roga
●Loss
54%
Data Oyakata Miss
Tobizaru ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 3 - 3 Roga
Strength index 2267 — 2253
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Tobizaru See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Tobizaru Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Roga Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Roga Uwatenage
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Tobizaru Hikiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 11Day Roga Kotenage
🧐
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