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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

Final dayのWin-loss predictions
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
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Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
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Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

Final dayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 15 days)

・
▲ Close bout
One
west West Maegashira 15
Kazuma
 54%
Sa
east West Juryo 2
Sadanoumi Koji
 46%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kazuma 52%

Okamisan picks Kazuma (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kazuma 1 - 0 Sadanoumi Koji
Strength index 2214 — 2187
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kazuma See Sadanoumi Koji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Kazuma Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
God
west West Maegashira 11
Mitakeumi
 41%
gold
east East Maegashira 14
Kinbozan
 59%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 52%

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Mitakeumi 4 - 6 Kinbozan
Strength index 2218 — 2292
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Mitakeumi See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Mitakeumi Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Mitakeumi Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Kinbozan Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 15Day Mitakeumi Uwatenage
・
▲ Close bout
thousand
west West Maegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
 42%
Nishiki
east East Maegashira 13
Nishikifuji
 58%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 57%

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 6 - 8 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2262 — 2323
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 7Day Chiyoshoma Hatakikomi
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 1Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Nishikifuji Komatasukui
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Nishikifuji Hatakikomi
・
○ Advantage
morning
west West Maegashira 16
Asakoryu
 33%
Wisteria
east East Maegashira 9
Fujiryoga
 67%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 82%

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asakoryu 1 - 0 Fujiryoga
Strength index 2325 — 2452
Previous basho 3 wins, 4 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Asakoryu See Fujiryoga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
・
▲ Close bout
wolf
west West Maegashira 8
Roga
 49%
lion
east West Maegashira 14
Shishi
 51%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Roga 80% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Roga (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 5 - 1 Shishi
Strength index 2339 — 2340
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Roga See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Roga Uwatenage
2023 Aki Basho 12Day Roga Uwatenage
2023 Nagoya Basho 14Day Shishi Sukuinage of
2022 Natsu Basho 10Day Roga Shitatenage
2021 Aki Basho 4Day Roga Hikiotoshi
・
▲ Close bout
high
west West Maegashira 7
Takayasu
 59%
morning
east East Maegashira 10
Asanoyama
 41%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 71%

Okamisan picks Takayasu (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takayasu 3 - 3 Asanoyama
Strength index 2496 — 2396
Previous basho 2 wins, 2 losses — 7 wins, 5 losses
See Takayasu See Asanoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Takayasu Uwatenage
2021 Natsu Basho 12Day Asanoyama Fusen of
2021 Haru Basho 2Day Takayasu Yoritaoshi of
2021 Hatsu Basho 9Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2020 Haru Basho 5Day Asanoyama Fusen of
・
▲ Close bout
Respect
west West Maegashira 13
Takerufuji
 47%
Koto
east East Maegashira 7
Kotoeiho
 53%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 57% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 2 - 0 Kotoeiho
Strength index 2372 — 2425
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Takerufuji See Kotoeiho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
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○ Advantage
Europe
west West Maegashira 5
Oshoma
 60%
Ah
east East Maegashira 15
Onokatsu
 40%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Oshoma 62%

Okamisan picks Oshoma (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoma 4 - 3 Onokatsu
Strength index 2331 — 2233
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Oshoma See Onokatsu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Onokatsu Hansoku
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Oshoma Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Oshoma Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Onokatsu Uwatedashinage
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Onokatsu Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
Ah
west West Maegashira 12
Abi
 43%
u
east East Maegashira 5
Ura
 57%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Ura 72%

Okamisan picks Ura (72%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Abi 11 - 5 Ura
Strength index 2292 — 2357
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Abi See Ura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 14Day Ura Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 8Day Abi Oshitaoshi of
2024 Aki Basho 10Day Ura Tottari
2024 Nagoya Basho 9Day Abi Hatakikomi
2024 Natsu Basho 10Day Abi Oshitaoshi of
・
○ Advantage
One
west West Maegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
 62%
Sho
east West Maegashira 9
Tobizaru
 38%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Ichiyamamoto 52%

Okamisan picks Ichiyamamoto (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ichiyamamoto 3 - 6 Tobizaru
Strength index 2366 — 2278
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Ichiyamamoto See Tobizaru
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Ichiyamamoto Oshitaoshi of
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 6Day Tobizaru Hatakikomi
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Tobizaru Tsukiotoshi
2024 Hatsu Basho 12Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
flat
west East Maegashira 3
Hiradoumi
 47%
Australia
east East Maegashira 2
Gonoyama
 53%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 69% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 7 - 3 Gonoyama
Strength index 2402 — 2416
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Hiradoumi See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Gonoyama Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Hiradoumi Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Gonoyama Tsukiotoshi
・
▲ Close bout
Takashi
west West Maegashira 1
Takanosho
 54%
beauty
east West Maegashira 2
Churanoumi
 46%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takanosho 56%

Okamisan picks Takanosho (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 3 - 1 Churanoumi
Strength index 2440 — 2412
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Takanosho See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Churanoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Takanosho Hatakikomi
2024 Hatsu Basho 3Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2019 Natsu Basho 14Day Takanosho Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
Wisteria
west West Maegashira 6
Fujiseiun
 36%
Wisteria
east East Maegashira 1
Fujinokawa
 64%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 57%

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiseiun 2 - 1 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2339 — 2460
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Fujiseiun See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Fujiseiun Tsukiotoshi
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Fujinokawa Sotogake
2024 Kyushu Basho 6Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
king
west West Komusubi
Oho
 39%
Haku
east West Maegashira 3
Hakunofuji
 61%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 54%

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oho 4 - 1 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2398 — 2479
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Oho See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Oho Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 1Day Hakunofuji Uwatenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Oho Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 11Day Oho Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Oho Tsukidashi
・
▲ Close bout
Large
west East Maegashira 4
Daieisho
 47%
righteousness
east East Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
 53%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 66% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Daieisho (66%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 2 - 1 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2478 — 2493
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Daieisho See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Yoshinofuji Okuridashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
・
○ Advantage
Cheap
west West Sekiwake
Aonishiki
 64%
fever
east East Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 36%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 63%

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (63%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 3 - 1 Atamifuji
Strength index 2663 — 2571
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Aonishiki See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Atamifuji Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
Most popular
○ Advantage
Koto
west West Ozeki
Kotozakura
 30%
fog
east East Ozeki
Kirishima
 70%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 78%

Okamisan picks Kirishima (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 9 - 16 Kirishima
Strength index 2487 — 2654
Previous basho 3 wins, 9 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Kotozakura See Kirishima
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 15Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 12Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
Large
west West Yokozuna
Onosato
 67%
Koto
east West Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
 33%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 75%

Okamisan picks Onosato (75%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 3 - 3 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2575 — 2451
Previous basho 0 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Onosato See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Onosato Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 13Day Kotoshoho Uwatenage
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Onosato Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 2Day Onosato Oshitaoshi of
2023 Kyushu Basho 16Day Kotoshoho Uwatenage
🧐
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