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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

Final dayのWin-loss predictions
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

Final dayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 15 days)

・
▲ Close bout
Sa
eastJuryo 2
Sadanoumi Koji
 46%
One
westMaegashira 15
Kazuma
 54%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kazuma 52%

Okamisan picks Kazuma (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Sadanoumi Koji 0 - 1 Kazuma
Strength index 2187 — 2214
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Sadanoumi Koji See Kazuma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Kazuma Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
gold
eastMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
 59%
God
westMaegashira 11
Mitakeumi
 41%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 52%

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 6 - 4 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2292 — 2218
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Kinbozan See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Mitakeumi Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Mitakeumi Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Kinbozan Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 15Day Mitakeumi Uwatenage
・
▲ Close bout
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
 58%
thousand
westMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
 42%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 57%

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 8 - 6 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2323 — 2262
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Nishikifuji See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 7Day Chiyoshoma Hatakikomi
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 1Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Nishikifuji Komatasukui
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Nishikifuji Hatakikomi
・
○ Advantage
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
 67%
morning
westMaegashira 16
Asakoryu
 33%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 82%

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiryoga 0 - 1 Asakoryu
Strength index 2452 — 2325
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 3 wins, 4 losses
See Fujiryoga See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
・
▲ Close bout
lion
eastMaegashira 14
Shishi
 51%
wolf
westMaegashira 8
Roga
 49%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Roga 80% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Roga (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shishi 1 - 5 Roga
Strength index 2340 — 2339
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Shishi See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Roga Uwatenage
2023 Aki Basho 12Day Roga Uwatenage
2023 Nagoya Basho 14Day Shishi Sukuinage of
2022 Natsu Basho 10Day Roga Shitatenage
2021 Aki Basho 4Day Roga Hikiotoshi
・
▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
 41%
high
westMaegashira 7
Takayasu
 59%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 71%

Okamisan picks Takayasu (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 1 - 5 Takayasu
Strength index 2396 — 2496
Previous basho 7 wins, 5 losses — 2 wins, 2 losses
See Asanoyama See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Takayasu Uwatenage
2021 Natsu Basho 12Day Takayasu Fusen of
2021 Haru Basho 2Day Takayasu Yoritaoshi of
2021 Hatsu Basho 9Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2020 Haru Basho 5Day Takayasu Fusen of
・
▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
 53%
Respect
westMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
 47%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 57% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoeiho 0 - 2 Takerufuji
Strength index 2425 — 2372
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Kotoeiho See Takerufuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 6
Shodai
 53%
Large
westMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
 47%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daiseizan 57% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Daiseizan (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2286 — 2224
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Shodai See Daiseizan
・
○ Advantage
Ah
eastMaegashira 15
Onokatsu
 40%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
 60%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Oshoma 62%

Okamisan picks Oshoma (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onokatsu 3 - 4 Oshoma
Strength index 2233 — 2331
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Onokatsu See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Onokatsu Hansoku
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Oshoma Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Oshoma Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Onokatsu Uwatedashinage
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Onokatsu Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 5
Ura
 57%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
 43%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Ura 72%

Okamisan picks Ura (72%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 5 - 11 Abi
Strength index 2357 — 2292
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Ura See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 14Day Ura Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 8Day Abi Oshitaoshi of
2024 Aki Basho 10Day Ura Tottari
2024 Nagoya Basho 9Day Abi Hatakikomi
2024 Natsu Basho 10Day Abi Oshitaoshi of
・
○ Advantage
Sho
eastMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
 38%
One
westMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
 62%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Ichiyamamoto 52%

Okamisan picks Ichiyamamoto (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 6 - 3 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2278 — 2366
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Tobizaru See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Ichiyamamoto Oshitaoshi of
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 6Day Tobizaru Hatakikomi
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Tobizaru Tsukiotoshi
2024 Hatsu Basho 12Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
Australia
eastMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
 53%
flat
westMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
 47%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 69% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 3 - 7 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2416 — 2402
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Gonoyama See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Gonoyama Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Hiradoumi Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Gonoyama Tsukiotoshi
・
▲ Close bout
beauty
eastMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
 46%
Takashi
westMaegashira 1
Takanosho
 54%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takanosho 56%

Okamisan picks Takanosho (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 1 - 3 Takanosho
Strength index 2412 — 2440
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Churanoumi See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Churanoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Takanosho Hatakikomi
2024 Hatsu Basho 3Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2019 Natsu Basho 14Day Takanosho Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
 64%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
 36%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 57%

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 1 - 2 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2460 — 2339
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Fujinokawa See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Fujiseiun Tsukiotoshi
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Fujinokawa Sotogake
2024 Kyushu Basho 6Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
Haku
eastMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
 61%
king
west Komusubi
Oho
 39%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 54%

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 1 - 4 Oho
Strength index 2479 — 2398
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Hakunofuji See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Oho Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 1Day Hakunofuji Uwatenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Oho Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 11Day Oho Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Oho Tsukidashi
・
▲ Close bout
righteousness
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
 53%
Large
westMaegashira 4
Daieisho
 47%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 66% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Daieisho (66%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 1 - 2 Daieisho
Strength index 2493 — 2478
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Yoshinofuji Okuridashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
・
○ Advantage
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 36%
Cheap
west Sekiwake
Aonishiki
 64%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 63%

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (63%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 1 - 3 Aonishiki
Strength index 2571 — 2663
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Atamifuji See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Atamifuji Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
Most popular
○ Advantage
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
 70%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
 30%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 78%

Okamisan picks Kirishima (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 16 - 9 Kotozakura
Strength index 2654 — 2487
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 3 wins, 9 losses
See Kirishima See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 15Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 12Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
Koto
east Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
 33%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
 67%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 75%

Okamisan picks Onosato (75%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 3 - 3 Onosato
Strength index 2451 — 2575
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Kotoshoho See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Onosato Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 13Day Kotoshoho Uwatenage
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Onosato Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 2Day Onosato Oshitaoshi of
2023 Kyushu Basho 16Day Kotoshoho Uwatenage
🧐
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