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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

明日・6DayのWin-loss predictions
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
🏆
Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
👑
Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

6DayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(At the end of 6 days)

・
○ Advantage
一
west West Maegashira 15
Kazuma
 62%
阿
east East Maegashira 15
Onokatsu
 38%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kazuma 70%

Okamisan picks Kazuma (70%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kazuma 0 - 1 Onokatsu
Strength index 2291 — 2217
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Kazuma See Onokatsu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 11Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
獅
west West Maegashira 14
Shishi
 53%
朝
east West Maegashira 16
Asakoryu
 47%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 79%

Okamisan picks Shishi (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shishi 6 - 6 Asakoryu
Strength index 2318 — 2298
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 3 wins, 4 losses
See Shishi See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Shishi Kotenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Shishi Oshitaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Shishi Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
大
west East Maegashira 16
Daiseizan
 41%
錦
east East Maegashira 13
Nishikifuji
 59%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 73%

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daiseizan 1 - 2 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2214 — 2304
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Daiseizan See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 6Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Daiseizan Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
尊
west West Maegashira 13
Takerufuji
 59%
朝
east East Maegashira 12
Asahakuryu
 41%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 78%

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 1 - 0 Asahakuryu
Strength index 2324 — 2258
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Takerufuji See Asahakuryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
阿
west West Maegashira 12
Abi
 39%
朝
east East Maegashira 10
Asanoyama
 61%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 64%

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Abi 6 - 10 Asanoyama
Strength index 2319 — 2390
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 7 wins, 5 losses
See Abi See Asanoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Abi Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Abi Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Asanoyama Hikiotoshi
2024 Haru Basho 13Day Asanoyama Tsukiotoshi
2023 Kyushu Basho 15Day Asanoyama Tsukiotoshi
・
▲ Close bout
若
west East Maegashira 11
Wakanosho
 49%
藤
east East Maegashira 9
Fujiryoga
 51%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Wakanosho 60% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Wakanosho (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakanosho 1 - 3 Fujiryoga
Strength index 2367 — 2385
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Wakanosho See Fujiryoga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Fujiryoga Tsukiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 15Day Wakanosho Okuridashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Fujiryoga Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Fujiryoga Tsukidashi
・
▲ Close bout
翔
west West Maegashira 9
Tobizaru
 53%
御
east West Maegashira 11
Mitakeumi
 47%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Tobizaru 66%

Okamisan picks Tobizaru (66%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 11 - 5 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2286 — 2249
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Tobizaru See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Tobizaru Okuridashi
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Mitakeumi Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 14Day Tobizaru Okuridashi
・
▲ Close bout
狼
west West Maegashira 8
Roga
 55%
千
east West Maegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
 45%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Roga 64%

Okamisan picks Roga (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 3 - 3 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2297 — 2259
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Roga See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Chiyoshoma Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 6Day Roga Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Chiyoshoma Uwatedashinage
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Roga Uwatedashinage
2025 Hatsu Basho 7Day Chiyoshoma のFusenpai
・
▲ Close bout
若
west East Maegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
 56%
正
east East Maegashira 6
Shodai
 44%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Shodai 60% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Shodai (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 5 - 7 Shodai
Strength index 2371 — 2324
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Shodai
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 3Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 4Day Shodai Tsukiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 6Day Shodai Hikiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 4Day Shodai Sukuinage of
2023 Kyushu Basho 7Day Shodai Sukuinage of
・
▲ Close bout
琴
west East Maegashira 7
Kotoeiho
 58%
宇
east East Maegashira 5
Ura
 42%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 75%

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (75%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoeiho 1 - 1 Ura
Strength index 2397 — 2362
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Kotoeiho See Ura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Ura Uwatenage
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Kotoeiho Kotenage
・
○ Advantage
欧
west West Maegashira 5
Oshoma
 30%
高
east West Maegashira 7
Takayasu
 70%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 82%

Okamisan picks Takayasu (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoma 0 - 1 Takayasu
Strength index 2310 — 2495
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 2 wins, 2 losses
See Oshoma See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Hatsu Basho 8Day Takayasu Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
美
west West Maegashira 2
Churanoumi
 39%
大
east East Maegashira 4
Daieisho
 61%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 81%

Okamisan picks Daieisho (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 6 - 2 Daieisho
Strength index 2379 — 2479
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Churanoumi See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Churanoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Churanoumi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Churanoumi Okuridashi
・
▲ Close bout
琴
west West Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
 56%
隆
east West Maegashira 1
Takanosho
 44%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takanosho 60% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Takanosho (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 8 - 7 Takanosho
Strength index 2467 — 2422
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kotoshoho See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Kotoshoho Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 6Day Takanosho Oshitaoshi of
2025 Nagoya Basho 11Day Kotoshoho Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 6Day Kotoshoho Hatakikomi
・
▲ Close bout
藤
west East Maegashira 1
Fujinokawa
 46%
熱
east East Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 54%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 52%

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 1 - 3 Atamifuji
Strength index 2475 — 2510
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Fujinokawa See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Atamifuji Yoritaoshi of
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Fujinokawa Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Atamifuji Okuridashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 10Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
安
west West Sekiwake
Aonishiki
 71%
王
east West Komusubi
Oho
 29%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 71%

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 3 - 3 Oho
Strength index 2611 — 2465
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Aonishiki See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Oho Kimedashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Oho Abisetaoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Aonishiki Watashikomi
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Oho Kotenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
義
west East Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
 41%
霧
east East Ozeki
Kirishima
 59%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 68%

Okamisan picks Kirishima (68%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 1 - 3 Kirishima
Strength index 2560 — 2636
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Kirishima
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Kirishima Tsukiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Kirishima Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Kirishima Uwatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 13Day Yoshinofuji Sotogake
・
○ Advantage
琴
west West Ozeki
Kotozakura
 61%
豪
east East Maegashira 2
Gonoyama
 39%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotozakura 67%

Okamisan picks Kotozakura (67%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 9 - 2 Gonoyama
Strength index 2481 — 2393
Previous basho 3 wins, 9 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Kotozakura See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Gonoyama Hatakikomi
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Gonoyama Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 2Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
Kinboshi Naruka
○ Advantage
伯
west West Maegashira 3
Hakunofuji
 33%
豊
east East Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
 67%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 65%

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 1 - 4 Hoshoryu
Strength index 2490 — 2633
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 0 wins, 2 losses
See Hakunofuji See Hoshoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Hoshoryu Yoritaoshi of
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Hakunofuji Yoritaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Hoshoryu Koshikudake
2023 Nagoya Basho 15Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
Kinboshi Naruka
○ Advantage
大
west West Yokozuna
Onosato
 70%
平
east East Maegashira 3
Hiradoumi
 30%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 81%

Okamisan picks Onosato (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 6 - 2 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2558 — 2414
Previous basho 0 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Onosato See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Onosato Oshitaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Onosato Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 1Day Onosato Tsukiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 7Day Onosato Yorikiri of
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