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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

6Day Results This day Oyakata 67%(14/21) Okamisan 71%(15/21)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

6Day Makuuchi bout results

🏆Championship battle(At the end of 6 days)

Oyakata results 14/21 67%
Okamisan results 15/21 71%
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Ah
eastMaegashira 15
Onokatsu
○ Win
38%
One
westMaegashira 15
Kazuma
●Loss
62%
Data Oyakata Miss
Onokatsu ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kazuma 70% Miss

Okamisan picks Kazuma (70%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは読みが甘かったです。次の一番で取り返しましょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onokatsu 1 - 0 Kazuma
Strength index 2217 — 2291
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Onokatsu See Kazuma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 11Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 16
Asakoryu
●Loss
47%
lion
westMaegashira 14
Shishi
○ Win
53%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Shishi ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 79% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Shishi (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日は順当に合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asakoryu 6 - 6 Shishi
Strength index 2298 — 2318
Previous basho 3 wins, 4 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Asakoryu See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Shishi Kotenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Shishi Oshitaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Shishi Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
○ Win
59%
Large
westMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
●Loss
41%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Nishikifuji ButYoritaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 73% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 2 - 1 Daiseizan
Strength index 2304 — 2214
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Nishikifuji See Daiseizan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 6Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Daiseizan Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
●Loss
41%
Respect
westMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
○ Win
59%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takerufuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 78% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは私も素直に見てCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asahakuryu 0 - 1 Takerufuji
Strength index 2258 — 2324
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Asahakuryu See Takerufuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
morning
eastMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
○ Win
61%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
●Loss
39%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asanoyama ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 64% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 10 - 6 Abi
Strength index 2390 — 2319
Previous basho 7 wins, 5 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Asanoyama See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Abi Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Abi Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Asanoyama Hikiotoshi
2024 Haru Basho 13Day Asanoyama Tsukiotoshi
2023 Kyushu Basho 15Day Asanoyama Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
○ Win
51%
young
westMaegashira 11
Wakanosho
●Loss
49%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujiryoga ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Wakanosho 60% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Wakanosho (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiryoga 3 - 1 Wakanosho
Strength index 2385 — 2367
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Fujiryoga See Wakanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Fujiryoga Tsukiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 15Day Wakanosho Okuridashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Fujiryoga Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Fujiryoga Tsukidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
God
eastMaegashira 11
Mitakeumi
●Loss
47%
Sho
westMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
○ Win
53%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Tobizaru ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Tobizaru 66% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Tobizaru (66%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Mitakeumi 5 - 11 Tobizaru
Strength index 2249 — 2286
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Mitakeumi See Tobizaru
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Tobizaru Okuridashi
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Mitakeumi Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 14Day Tobizaru Okuridashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
thousand
eastMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
○ Win
45%
wolf
westMaegashira 8
Roga
●Loss
55%
Data Oyakata Miss
Chiyoshoma ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Roga 64% Miss

Okamisan picks Roga (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 3 - 3 Roga
Strength index 2259 — 2297
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Chiyoshoma Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 6Day Roga Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Chiyoshoma Uwatedashinage
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Roga Uwatedashinage
2025 Hatsu Basho 7Day Chiyoshoma のFusensho
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 6
Shodai
○ Win
44%
young
westMaegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
56%
Data Oyakata Miss
Shodai ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shodai 60% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Shodai (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 7 - 5 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2324 — 2371
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Shodai See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 3Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 4Day Shodai Tsukiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 6Day Shodai Hikiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 4Day Shodai Sukuinage of
2023 Kyushu Basho 7Day Shodai Sukuinage of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 5
Ura
●Loss
42%
Koto
westMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
○ Win
58%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotoeiho ButKotenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 75% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (75%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 1 - 1 Kotoeiho
Strength index 2362 — 2397
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Ura See Kotoeiho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Ura Uwatenage
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Kotoeiho Kotenage
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
high
eastMaegashira 7
Takayasu
○ Win
70%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
●Loss
30%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takayasu ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takayasu (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takayasu 1 - 0 Oshoma
Strength index 2495 — 2310
Previous basho 2 wins, 2 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Takayasu See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Hatsu Basho 8Day Takayasu Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
○ Win
61%
beauty
westMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
●Loss
39%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Daieisho ButOkuridashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 81% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Daieisho (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 2 - 6 Churanoumi
Strength index 2479 — 2379
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Daieisho See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Churanoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Churanoumi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Churanoumi Okuridashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Takashi
eastMaegashira 1
Takanosho
○ Win
44%
Koto
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
●Loss
56%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takanosho ButHikiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takanosho 60% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takanosho (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 7 - 8 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2422 — 2467
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Takanosho See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Kotoshoho Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 6Day Takanosho Oshitaoshi of
2025 Nagoya Basho 11Day Kotoshoho Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 6Day Kotoshoho Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
○ Win
54%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
●Loss
46%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Atamifuji ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 52% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 3 - 1 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2510 — 2475
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Atamifuji See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Atamifuji Yoritaoshi of
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Fujinokawa Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Atamifuji Okuridashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 10Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
king
east Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
29%
Cheap
west Sekiwake
Aonishiki
○ Win
71%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButShitatehineriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 71% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oho 3 - 3 Aonishiki
Strength index 2465 — 2611
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Oho See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Oho Kimedashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Oho Abisetaoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Aonishiki Watashikomi
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Oho Kotenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
59%
righteousness
west Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
●Loss
41%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 68% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kirishima (68%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 3 - 1 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2636 — 2560
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Kirishima See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Kirishima Tsukiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Kirishima Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Kirishima Uwatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 13Day Yoshinofuji Sotogake
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Australia
eastMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
○ Win
39%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
●Loss
61%
Data Oyakata Miss
Gonoyama ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotozakura 67% Miss

Okamisan picks Kotozakura (67%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 2 - 9 Kotozakura
Strength index 2393 — 2481
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 3 wins, 9 losses
See Gonoyama See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Gonoyama Hatakikomi
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Gonoyama Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 2Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
★ Kinboshi
Miss ○ Advantage
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
●Loss
67%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
○ Win
33%
Data Oyakata Miss
Hakunofuji ButKirikaeshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 65% Miss

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、これは外れました。相撲は最後までわかりませんね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 4 - 1 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2633 — 2490
Previous basho 0 wins, 2 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Hoshoryu See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Hoshoryu Yoritaoshi of
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Hakunofuji Yoritaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Hoshoryu Koshikudake
2023 Nagoya Basho 15Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
flat
eastMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
●Loss
30%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
70%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 81% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Onosato (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 2 - 6 Onosato
Strength index 2414 — 2558
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Hiradoumi See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Onosato Oshitaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Onosato Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 1Day Onosato Tsukiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 7Day Onosato Yorikiri of
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