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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
61%
187/307 bouts
Okamisan
59%
180/306 bouts
今日・Final dayのResults This day Oyakata 65%(13/20) Okamisan 65%(13/20)
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
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Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
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Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

Final day's Makuuchi bout results

Results for this Basho

Special prizes

Final dayの総括

Kirishima、Atamifuji、Aonishikiが12 winsで並ぶ大混戦。三つどもえのChampionship決定戦をAonishikiが制しました。

Okamisanさんより

十五日間、本当におつかれさまでした。最後の一番、その先の決定戦まで気持ちを切らさなかったrikishiのみなさんへ、まずは大きな拍手を送りたいですね。

Oyakata results 13/20 65%
Okamisan results 13/20 65%
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Sa
eastJuryo 2
Sadanoumi Koji
●Loss
46%
One
westMaegashira 15
Kazuma
○ Win
54%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kazuma ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kazuma 52% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kazuma (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Sadanoumi Koji 0 - 1 Kazuma
Strength index 2187 — 2214
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Sadanoumi Koji See Kazuma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Kazuma Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
gold
eastMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
○ Win
59%
God
westMaegashira 11
Mitakeumi
●Loss
41%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kinbozan ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 52% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 6 - 4 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2292 — 2218
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Kinbozan See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Mitakeumi Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Mitakeumi Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Kinbozan Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 15Day Mitakeumi Uwatenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
○ Win
58%
thousand
westMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
42%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Nishikifuji ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 57% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 8 - 6 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2323 — 2262
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Nishikifuji See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 7Day Chiyoshoma Hatakikomi
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 1Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Nishikifuji Komatasukui
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Nishikifuji Hatakikomi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
●Loss
67%
morning
westMaegashira 16
Asakoryu
○ Win
33%
Data Oyakata Miss
Asakoryu ButOkuridashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは読みが甘かったです。次の一番で取り返しましょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiryoga 0 - 1 Asakoryu
Strength index 2452 — 2325
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 3 wins, 4 losses
See Fujiryoga See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
lion
eastMaegashira 14
Shishi
●Loss
51%
wolf
westMaegashira 8
Roga
○ Win
49%
Data Oyakata Miss
Roga ButYoritaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Roga 80% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Roga (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shishi 1 - 5 Roga
Strength index 2340 — 2339
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Shishi See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Roga Uwatenage
2023 Aki Basho 12Day Roga Uwatenage
2023 Nagoya Basho 14Day Shishi Sukuinage of
2022 Natsu Basho 10Day Roga Shitatenage
2021 Aki Basho 4Day Roga Hikiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
58%
morning
westMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
○ Win
42%
Data Oyakata Miss
Asahakuryu ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asahakuryu 54% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asahakuryu (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2349 — 2262
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Asahakuryu
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
●Loss
41%
high
westMaegashira 7
Takayasu
○ Win
59%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takayasu ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 71% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takayasu (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 1 - 5 Takayasu
Strength index 2396 — 2496
Previous basho 7 wins, 5 losses — 2 wins, 2 losses
See Asanoyama See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Takayasu Uwatenage
2021 Natsu Basho 12Day Takayasu Fusen of
2021 Haru Basho 2Day Takayasu Yoritaoshi of
2021 Hatsu Basho 9Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2020 Haru Basho 5Day Takayasu Fusen of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
○ Win
53%
Respect
westMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
●Loss
47%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotoeiho ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 57% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoeiho 0 - 2 Takerufuji
Strength index 2425 — 2372
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Kotoeiho See Takerufuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 6
Shodai
○ Win
53%
Large
westMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
●Loss
47%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Shodai ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daiseizan 57% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Daiseizan (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あらら、最後はrikishiの気迫が上 timesりましたか。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2286 — 2224
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Shodai See Daiseizan
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Ah
eastMaegashira 15
Onokatsu
●Loss
40%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
○ Win
60%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Oshoma ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Oshoma 62% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Oshoma (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onokatsu 3 - 4 Oshoma
Strength index 2233 — 2331
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Onokatsu See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Onokatsu Hansoku
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Oshoma Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Oshoma Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Onokatsu Uwatedashinage
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Onokatsu Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 5
Ura
●Loss
57%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
○ Win
43%
Data Oyakata Miss
Abi ButTsukidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ura 72% Miss

Okamisan picks Ura (72%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 5 - 11 Abi
Strength index 2357 — 2292
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Ura See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 14Day Ura Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 8Day Abi Oshitaoshi of
2024 Aki Basho 10Day Ura Tottari
2024 Nagoya Basho 9Day Abi Hatakikomi
2024 Natsu Basho 10Day Abi Oshitaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Sho
eastMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
●Loss
38%
One
westMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
○ Win
62%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Ichiyamamoto ButTsukidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ichiyamamoto 52% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Ichiyamamoto (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日は順当に合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 6 - 3 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2278 — 2366
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Tobizaru See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Ichiyamamoto Oshitaoshi of
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 6Day Tobizaru Hatakikomi
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Tobizaru Tsukiotoshi
2024 Hatsu Basho 12Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Australia
eastMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
○ Win
53%
flat
westMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
●Loss
47%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Gonoyama ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 69% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あらら、最後はrikishiの気迫が上 timesりましたか。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 3 - 7 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2416 — 2402
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Gonoyama See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Gonoyama Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Hiradoumi Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Gonoyama Tsukiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
beauty
eastMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
○ Win
46%
Takashi
westMaegashira 1
Takanosho
●Loss
54%
Data Oyakata Miss
Churanoumi ButHikkakeDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takanosho 56% Miss

Okamisan picks Takanosho (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、これは外れました。相撲は最後までわかりませんね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 1 - 3 Takanosho
Strength index 2412 — 2440
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Churanoumi See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Churanoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Takanosho Hatakikomi
2024 Hatsu Basho 3Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2019 Natsu Basho 14Day Takanosho Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
○ Win
64%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
●Loss
36%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujinokawa ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 57% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 1 - 2 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2460 — 2339
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Fujinokawa See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Fujiseiun Tsukiotoshi
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Fujinokawa Sotogake
2024 Kyushu Basho 6Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Haku
eastMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
○ Win
61%
king
west Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
39%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hakunofuji ButYoritaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 54% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは私も素直に見てCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 1 - 4 Oho
Strength index 2479 — 2398
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Hakunofuji See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Oho Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 1Day Hakunofuji Uwatenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Oho Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 11Day Oho Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Oho Tsukidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
righteousness
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
●Loss
53%
Large
westMaegashira 4
Daieisho
○ Win
47%
Data Oyakata Miss
Daieisho ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 66% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Daieisho (66%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 1 - 2 Daieisho
Strength index 2493 — 2478
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Yoshinofuji Okuridashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
○ Win
36%
Cheap
west Sekiwake
Aonishiki
●Loss
64%
Data Oyakata Miss
Atamifuji ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 63% Miss

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (63%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:数字どおりにはいきませんね。これは勉強です。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 1 - 3 Aonishiki
Strength index 2571 — 2663
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Atamifuji See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Atamifuji Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
Most popular
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
70%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
●Loss
30%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 78% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kirishima (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 16 - 9 Kotozakura
Strength index 2654 — 2487
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 3 wins, 9 losses
See Kirishima See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 15Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 12Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Koto
east Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
●Loss
33%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
67%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 75% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Onosato (75%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 3 - 3 Onosato
Strength index 2451 — 2575
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Kotoshoho See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Onosato Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 13Day Kotoshoho Uwatenage
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Onosato Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 2Day Onosato Oshitaoshi of
2023 Kyushu Basho 16Day Kotoshoho Uwatenage
🧐
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