親
Data Oyakata
Grand Sumo Predictions
JP EN

2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

◀
▾

Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
61%
162/267 bouts
Okamisan
60%
159/266 bouts
明日・14 DayのWin-loss predictions
親
About this site
How to read the numbers
▼

Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
🏆
Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
👑
Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

14 DayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(At the end of 14 days)

・
▲ Close bout
大
eastMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
 51%
千
westMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
 49%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daiseizan 53%

Okamisan picks Daiseizan (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daiseizan 0 - 1 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2235 — 2253
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Daiseizan See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
一
eastMaegashira 15
Kazuma
 41%
翔
westMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
 59%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Tobizaru 77%

Okamisan picks Tobizaru (77%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2190 — 2290
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Kazuma See Tobizaru
・
○ Advantage
若
eastMaegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
 67%
阿
westMaegashira 15
Onokatsu
 33%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Wakamotoharu 74%

Okamisan picks Wakamotoharu (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 3 - 1 Onokatsu
Strength index 2362 — 2214
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Onokatsu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 15Day Wakamotoharu Uwatehineri
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 10Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
朝
eastMaegashira 16
Asakoryu
 51%
狼
westMaegashira 8
Roga
 49%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asakoryu 56%

Okamisan picks Asakoryu (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asakoryu 2 - 1 Roga
Strength index 2337 — 2328
Previous basho 3 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Asakoryu See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Roga Kotenage
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Asakoryu Kotenage
・
▲ Close bout
琴
eastMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
 52%
朝
westMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
 48%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 69% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoeiho 1 - 2 Asanoyama
Strength index 2413 — 2406
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 5 losses
See Kotoeiho See Asanoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Kotoeiho のFusensho
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
阿
eastMaegashira 12
Abi
 46%
藤
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
 54%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Abi 57% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Abi (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Abi 1 - 0 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2300 — 2328
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Abi See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Abi Uwatenage
・
○ Advantage
宇
eastMaegashira 5
Ura
 64%
御
westMaegashira 11
Mitakeumi
 36%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Mitakeumi 58% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Mitakeumi (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 4 - 9 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2351 — 2224
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Ura See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Mitakeumi Sukuinage of
2025 Hatsu Basho 11Day Ura Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 7Day Mitakeumi Oshitaoshi of
2024 Natsu Basho 6Day Ura Uwatedashinage
2023 Nagoya Basho 12Day Ura Tottari
・
▲ Close bout
金
eastMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
 50%
欧
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 55% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 3 - 7 Oshoma
Strength index 2303 — 2320
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Kinbozan See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 5Day Oshoma Uwatedashinage
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Oshoma Uwatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 11Day Kinbozan Shitatenage
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Oshoma Okuridashi
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Oshoma Uwatenage
・
▲ Close bout
平
eastMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
 51%
一
westMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
 49%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 82%

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 7 - 6 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2392 — 2376
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Hiradoumi See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Hiradoumi Shitatenage
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 6Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 2Day Hiradoumi Hikiotoshi
2025 Haru Basho 5Day Ichiyamamoto Hikiotoshi
・
○ Advantage
豪
eastMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
 70%
朝
westMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
 30%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Gonoyama 77%

Okamisan picks Gonoyama (77%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 0 - 1 Asahakuryu
Strength index 2432 — 2242
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Gonoyama See Asahakuryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Asahakuryu Uwatedashinage
・
▲ Close bout
伯
eastMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
 58%
美
westMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
 42%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Churanoumi 59% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Churanoumi (59%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 4 - 1 Churanoumi
Strength index 2469 — 2420
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Hakunofuji See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2023 Natsu Basho 4Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
2023 Haru Basho 6Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
藤
eastMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
 63%
錦
westMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
 37%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 63% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (63%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 0 - 2 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2451 — 2329
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Fujinokawa See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 3Day Nishikifuji Tsukiotoshi
・
▲ Close bout
藤
eastMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
 50%
隆
westMaegashira 1
Takanosho
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 71% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2433 — 2450
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Fujiryoga See Takanosho
・
▲ Close bout
義
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
 54%
高
westMaegashira 7
Takayasu
 46%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 54% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Takayasu (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 0 - 4 Takayasu
Strength index 2508 — 2487
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 2 wins, 2 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Takayasu Oshitaoshi of
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
・
○ Advantage
正
eastMaegashira 6
Shodai
 38%
王
west Komusubi
Oho
 62%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Oho 70%

Okamisan picks Oho (70%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 3 - 3 Oho
Strength index 2293 — 2391
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Shodai See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Oho Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 8Day Shodai Okuridashi
2024 Aki Basho 15Day Oho Yoritaoshi of
2024 Nagoya Basho 9Day Oho Yorikiri of
2023 Aki Basho 11Day Shodai Oshidashi
・
◎ High confidence
熱
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 76%
獅
westMaegashira 14
Shishi
 24%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 82%

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 3 - 0 Shishi
Strength index 2567 — 2345
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Atamifuji See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 1Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 11Day Atamifuji Kimedashi
2023 Nagoya Basho 12Day Atamifuji Tsukiotoshi
・
◎ High confidence
尊
eastMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
 21%
安
west Sekiwake
Aonishiki
 79%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 82%

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 0 - 1 Aonishiki
Strength index 2376 — 2658
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Takerufuji See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 14Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
大
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
 47%
琴
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
 53%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotoshoho 61%

Okamisan picks Kotoshoho (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 3 - 4 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2469 — 2461
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Daieisho See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Kotoshoho Hikiotoshi
2024 Natsu Basho 15Day Daieisho Hikiotoshi
2023 Natsu Basho 10Day Kotoshoho Fusen of
Most popular
▲ Close bout
豊
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
 44%
霧
west Ozeki
Kirishima
 56%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 74%

Okamisan picks Kirishima (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 13 - 12 Kirishima
Strength index 2588 — 2646
Previous basho 0 wins, 2 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Hoshoryu See Kirishima
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Kirishima Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 11Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Kirishima Uwatenage
Most popular
○ Advantage
琴
east Ozeki
Kotozakura
 39%
大
west Yokozuna
Onosato
 61%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 53%

Okamisan picks Onosato (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 5 - 8 Onosato
Strength index 2495 — 2565
Previous basho 3 wins, 9 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Kotozakura See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Onosato のFusenpai
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 13Day Onosato Yorikiri of
🧐
Is it true that “7 wins, 7 losses is strong on the final day”?——Data Insights
Analysis of 18 myths about sumo using data　Read →