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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

14Day Results This day Oyakata 60%(12/20) Okamisan 40%(8/20)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

14Day Makuuchi bout results

🏆Championship battle(At the end of 14 days)

Oyakata results 12/20 60%
Okamisan results 8/20 40%
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
●Loss
51%
thousand
westMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
○ Win
49%
Data Oyakata Miss
Chiyoshoma ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daiseizan 53% Miss

Okamisan picks Daiseizan (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、これは外れました。相撲は最後までわかりませんね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daiseizan 0 - 1 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2235 — 2253
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Daiseizan See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
・
Miss ○ Advantage
young
eastMaegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
67%
Ah
westMaegashira 15
Onokatsu
○ Win
33%
Data Oyakata Miss
Onokatsu ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Wakamotoharu 74% Miss

Okamisan picks Wakamotoharu (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、これは外れました。相撲は最後までわかりませんね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 3 - 1 Onokatsu
Strength index 2362 — 2214
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Onokatsu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 15Day Wakamotoharu Uwatehineri
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 10Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 16
Asakoryu
●Loss
51%
wolf
westMaegashira 8
Roga
○ Win
49%
Data Oyakata Miss
Roga ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asakoryu 56% Miss

Okamisan picks Asakoryu (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asakoryu 2 - 1 Roga
Strength index 2337 — 2328
Previous basho 3 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Asakoryu See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Roga Kotenage
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Asakoryu Kotenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
○ Win
52%
morning
westMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
●Loss
48%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotoeiho ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 69% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoeiho 1 - 2 Asanoyama
Strength index 2413 — 2406
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 5 losses
See Kotoeiho See Asanoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Kotoeiho のFusensho
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Ah
eastMaegashira 12
Abi
●Loss
46%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
○ Win
54%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujiseiun ButKirikaeshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Abi 57% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Abi (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、Oyakataの数字に軍配です。ここは読み違えました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Abi 1 - 0 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2300 — 2328
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Abi See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Abi Uwatenage
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
u
eastMaegashira 5
Ura
○ Win
64%
God
westMaegashira 11
Mitakeumi
●Loss
36%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Ura ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Mitakeumi 58% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Mitakeumi (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 4 - 9 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2351 — 2224
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Ura See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Mitakeumi Sukuinage of
2025 Hatsu Basho 11Day Ura Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 7Day Mitakeumi Oshitaoshi of
2024 Natsu Basho 6Day Ura Uwatedashinage
2023 Nagoya Basho 12Day Ura Tottari
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
gold
eastMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
●Loss
50%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
○ Win
50%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Oshoma ButKotenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 55% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、Oyakataの数字に軍配です。ここは読み違えました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 3 - 7 Oshoma
Strength index 2303 — 2320
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Kinbozan See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 5Day Oshoma Uwatedashinage
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Oshoma Uwatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 11Day Kinbozan Shitatenage
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Oshoma Okuridashi
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Oshoma Uwatenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
flat
eastMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
○ Win
51%
One
westMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
49%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hiradoumi ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 7 - 6 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2392 — 2376
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Hiradoumi See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Hiradoumi Shitatenage
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 6Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 2Day Hiradoumi Hikiotoshi
2025 Haru Basho 5Day Ichiyamamoto Hikiotoshi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Australia
eastMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
●Loss
70%
morning
westMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
○ Win
30%
Data Oyakata Miss
Asahakuryu ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Gonoyama 77% Miss

Okamisan picks Gonoyama (77%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 0 - 1 Asahakuryu
Strength index 2432 — 2242
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Gonoyama See Asahakuryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Asahakuryu Uwatedashinage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Haku
eastMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
○ Win
58%
beauty
westMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
●Loss
42%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hakunofuji ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Churanoumi 59% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Churanoumi (59%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 4 - 1 Churanoumi
Strength index 2469 — 2420
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Hakunofuji See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2023 Natsu Basho 4Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
2023 Haru Basho 6Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
○ Win
63%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
●Loss
37%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujinokawa ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 63% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (63%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 0 - 2 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2451 — 2329
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Fujinokawa See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 3Day Nishikifuji Tsukiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
○ Win
50%
Takashi
westMaegashira 1
Takanosho
●Loss
50%
Data Oyakata Miss
Fujiryoga ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 71% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日はこの読みで合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2433 — 2450
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Fujiryoga See Takanosho
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
righteousness
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
●Loss
54%
high
westMaegashira 7
Takayasu
○ Win
46%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takayasu ButHikiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 54% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takayasu (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 0 - 4 Takayasu
Strength index 2508 — 2487
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 2 wins, 2 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Takayasu Oshitaoshi of
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Positive
eastMaegashira 6
Shodai
●Loss
38%
king
west Komusubi
Oho
○ Win
62%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Oho ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Oho 70% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Oho (70%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 3 - 3 Oho
Strength index 2293 — 2391
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Shodai See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Oho Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 8Day Shodai Okuridashi
2024 Aki Basho 15Day Oho Yoritaoshi of
2024 Nagoya Basho 9Day Oho Yorikiri of
2023 Aki Basho 11Day Shodai Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
○ Win
76%
lion
westMaegashira 14
Shishi
●Loss
24%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Atamifuji ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 3 - 0 Shishi
Strength index 2567 — 2345
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Atamifuji See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 1Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 11Day Atamifuji Kimedashi
2023 Nagoya Basho 12Day Atamifuji Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Respect
eastMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
●Loss
21%
Cheap
west Sekiwake
Aonishiki
○ Win
79%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButYoritaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 0 - 1 Aonishiki
Strength index 2376 — 2658
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Takerufuji See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 14Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
○ Win
47%
Koto
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
●Loss
53%
Data Oyakata Miss
Daieisho ButTsukidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotoshoho 61% Miss

Okamisan picks Kotoshoho (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、これは外れました。相撲は最後までわかりませんね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 3 - 4 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2469 — 2461
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Daieisho See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Kotoshoho Hikiotoshi
2024 Natsu Basho 15Day Daieisho Hikiotoshi
2023 Natsu Basho 10Day Kotoshoho Fusen of
Most popular
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
●Loss
44%
fog
west Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
56%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButFusen✦ Rare techniqueDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 74% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kirishima (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日は順当に合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 13 - 12 Kirishima
Strength index 2588 — 2646
Previous basho 0 wins, 2 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Hoshoryu See Kirishima
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Kirishima Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 11Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Kirishima Uwatenage
Most popular
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Koto
east Ozeki
Kotozakura
●Loss
39%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
61%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 53% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Onosato (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 5 - 8 Onosato
Strength index 2495 — 2565
Previous basho 3 wins, 9 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Kotozakura See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Onosato のFusenpai
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 13Day Onosato Yorikiri of
🧐
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