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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

8Day Results This day Oyakata 65%(13/20) Okamisan 55%(11/20)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

8Day Makuuchi bout results

🏆Championship battle(At the end of 8 days)

Oyakata results 13/20 65%
Okamisan results 11/20 55%
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
●Loss
43%
morning
westMaegashira 16
Asakoryu
○ Win
57%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asakoryu ButShitatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asakoryu 56% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asakoryu (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daiseizan 0 - 1 Asakoryu
Strength index 2219 — 2295
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 3 wins, 4 losses
See Daiseizan See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Aki Basho 12Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
gold
eastMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
●Loss
50%
lion
westMaegashira 14
Shishi
○ Win
50%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Shishi ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 82% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 3 - 1 Shishi
Strength index 2306 — 2317
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Kinbozan See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Kinbozan Abisetaoshi
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Kinbozan Hikiotoshi
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Kinbozan Tsukidashi
2024 Aki Basho 15Day Shishi Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Ah
eastMaegashira 12
Abi
○ Win
58%
thousand
westMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
42%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Abi ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Abi 60% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Abi (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Abi 5 - 4 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2319 — 2263
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Abi See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Chiyoshoma Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 5Day Abi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
2022 Kyushu Basho 2Day Abi Oshidashi
2022 Hatsu Basho 2Day Abi Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
●Loss
47%
Sho
westMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
○ Win
53%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Tobizaru ButKekaeshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asahakuryu 57% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Asahakuryu (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asahakuryu 2 - 0 Tobizaru
Strength index 2231 — 2287
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Asahakuryu See Tobizaru
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 6Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
・
Miss ○ Advantage
wolf
eastMaegashira 8
Roga
○ Win
38%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
●Loss
62%
Data Oyakata Miss
Roga ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiseiun 69% Miss

Okamisan picks Fujiseiun (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 2 - 2 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2279 — 2355
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Roga See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Fujiseiun Kirikaeshi
2025 Haru Basho 5Day Roga Tottari
2023 Natsu Basho 13Day Roga Yoritaoshi of
2022 Nagoya Basho 11Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
・
Miss ○ Advantage
u
eastMaegashira 5
Ura
○ Win
32%
high
westMaegashira 7
Takayasu
●Loss
68%
Data Oyakata Miss
Ura ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 79% Miss

Okamisan picks Takayasu (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、これは外れました。相撲は最後までわかりませんね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 5 - 5 Takayasu
Strength index 2344 — 2504
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 2 wins, 2 losses
See Ura See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Ura Watashikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Ura Tsutaezori
2025 Haru Basho 2Day Takayasu Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 4Day Ura Tsutaezori
2024 Hatsu Basho 6Day Takayasu Uwatenage
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
55%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
○ Win
45%
Data Oyakata Miss
Oshoma ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Oshoma 66% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Oshoma (66%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 2 - 3 Oshoma
Strength index 2368 — 2321
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 15Day Oshoma Uwatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 5Day Oshoma Hatakikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 10Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2024 Natsu Basho 13Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
○ Win
54%
One
westMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
46%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotoeiho ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 69% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2416 — 2407
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Kotoeiho See Ichiyamamoto
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Australia
eastMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
●Loss
58%
beauty
westMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
○ Win
42%
Data Oyakata Miss
Churanoumi ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Gonoyama 73% Miss

Okamisan picks Gonoyama (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは読みが甘かったです。次の一番で取り返しましょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 2 - 3 Churanoumi
Strength index 2419 — 2363
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Gonoyama See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 14Day Churanoumi Yoritaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 11Day Churanoumi Okuridashi
2024 Aki Basho 2Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2022 Nagoya Basho 7Day Churanoumi Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
righteousness
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
○ Win
61%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
●Loss
39%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Yoshinofuji ButSotogakeDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 5 - 0 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2529 — 2456
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Yoshinofuji Uwatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 1Day Yoshinofuji Tsukiotoshi
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Takashi
eastMaegashira 1
Takanosho
●Loss
27%
Cheap
west Sekiwake
Aonishiki
○ Win
73%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 79% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 1 - 3 Aonishiki
Strength index 2445 — 2628
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Takanosho See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Takanosho Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Aonishiki Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Aonishiki Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 13Day Aonishiki Watashikomi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Haku
eastMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
○ Win
57%
Koto
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
●Loss
43%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hakunofuji ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 76% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 2 - 1 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2497 — 2451
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Hakunofuji See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Kotoshoho Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Hakunofuji Uwatedashinage
2025 Hatsu Basho 3Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
65%
fever
west Sekiwake
Atamifuji
●Loss
35%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 75% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kirishima (75%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 8 - 3 Atamifuji
Strength index 2648 — 2529
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Kirishima See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Kirishima Sukuinage of
2026 Hatsu Basho 14Day Atamifuji Abisetaoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 9Day Kirishima Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
flat
eastMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
●Loss
42%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
○ Win
58%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotozakura ButHikiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 52% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 3 - 9 Kotozakura
Strength index 2403 — 2460
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 3 wins, 9 losses
See Hiradoumi See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Kotozakura Sukuinage of
2025 Aki Basho 6Day Kotozakura Kotenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Kotozakura Sukuinage of
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
○ Win
70%
Large
westMaegashira 4
Daieisho
●Loss
30%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hoshoryu ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 68% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (68%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日は順当に合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 14 - 6 Daieisho
Strength index 2624 — 2472
Previous basho 0 wins, 2 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Hoshoryu See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 13Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Hoshoryu Uwatedashinage
2024 Kyushu Basho 11Day Hoshoryu Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
king
east Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
31%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
69%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Onosato (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oho 3 - 7 Onosato
Strength index 2447 — 2576
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Oho See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Onosato Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 4Day Oho Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 4Day Onosato Oshidashi
🧐
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