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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

明日・8 DayのWin-loss predictions
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

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This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
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Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
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Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

8 DayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(At the end of 8 days)

・
▲ Close bout
朝
west West Maegashira 16
Asakoryu
 57%
大
east East Maegashira 16
Daiseizan
 43%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asakoryu 56%

Okamisan picks Asakoryu (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asakoryu 1 - 0 Daiseizan
Strength index 2295 — 2219
Previous basho 3 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Asakoryu See Daiseizan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Aki Basho 12Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
獅
west West Maegashira 14
Shishi
 50%
金
east East Maegashira 14
Kinbozan
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 82% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shishi 1 - 3 Kinbozan
Strength index 2317 — 2306
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Shishi See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Kinbozan Abisetaoshi
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Kinbozan Hikiotoshi
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Kinbozan Tsukidashi
2024 Aki Basho 15Day Shishi Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
千
west West Maegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
 42%
阿
east West Maegashira 12
Abi
 58%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Abi 60%

Okamisan picks Abi (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 4 - 5 Abi
Strength index 2263 — 2319
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Chiyoshoma Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 5Day Abi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
2022 Kyushu Basho 2Day Abi Oshidashi
2022 Hatsu Basho 2Day Abi Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
翔
west West Maegashira 9
Tobizaru
 53%
朝
east East Maegashira 12
Asahakuryu
 47%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asahakuryu 57% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Asahakuryu (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 0 - 2 Asahakuryu
Strength index 2287 — 2231
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Tobizaru See Asahakuryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 6Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
藤
west West Maegashira 6
Fujiseiun
 62%
狼
east West Maegashira 8
Roga
 38%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiseiun 69%

Okamisan picks Fujiseiun (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiseiun 2 - 2 Roga
Strength index 2355 — 2279
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Fujiseiun See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Fujiseiun Kirikaeshi
2025 Haru Basho 5Day Roga Tottari
2023 Natsu Basho 13Day Roga Yoritaoshi of
2022 Nagoya Basho 11Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
高
west West Maegashira 7
Takayasu
 68%
宇
east East Maegashira 5
Ura
 32%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 79%

Okamisan picks Takayasu (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takayasu 5 - 5 Ura
Strength index 2504 — 2344
Previous basho 2 wins, 2 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Takayasu See Ura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Ura Watashikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Ura Tsutaezori
2025 Haru Basho 2Day Takayasu Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 4Day Ura Tsutaezori
2024 Hatsu Basho 6Day Takayasu Uwatenage
・
▲ Close bout
欧
west West Maegashira 5
Oshoma
 45%
若
east East Maegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
 55%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Oshoma 66% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Oshoma (66%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoma 3 - 2 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2321 — 2368
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Oshoma See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 15Day Oshoma Uwatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 5Day Oshoma Hatakikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 10Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2024 Natsu Basho 13Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
美
west West Maegashira 2
Churanoumi
 42%
豪
east East Maegashira 2
Gonoyama
 58%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Gonoyama 73%

Okamisan picks Gonoyama (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 3 - 2 Gonoyama
Strength index 2363 — 2419
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Churanoumi See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 14Day Churanoumi Yoritaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 11Day Churanoumi Okuridashi
2024 Aki Basho 2Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2022 Nagoya Basho 7Day Churanoumi Hatakikomi
・
○ Advantage
藤
west East Maegashira 1
Fujinokawa
 39%
義
east East Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
 61%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 82%

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 0 - 5 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2456 — 2529
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Fujinokawa See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Yoshinofuji Uwatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 1Day Yoshinofuji Tsukiotoshi
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
・
◎ High confidence
安
west West Sekiwake
Aonishiki
 73%
隆
east West Maegashira 1
Takanosho
 27%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 79%

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 3 - 1 Takanosho
Strength index 2628 — 2445
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Aonishiki See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Takanosho Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Aonishiki Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Aonishiki Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 13Day Aonishiki Watashikomi
・
▲ Close bout
琴
west West Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
 43%
伯
east West Maegashira 3
Hakunofuji
 57%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 76%

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 1 - 2 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2451 — 2497
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Kotoshoho See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Kotoshoho Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Hakunofuji Uwatedashinage
2025 Hatsu Basho 3Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
熱
west East Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 35%
霧
east East Ozeki
Kirishima
 65%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 75%

Okamisan picks Kirishima (75%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 3 - 8 Kirishima
Strength index 2529 — 2648
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Atamifuji See Kirishima
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Kirishima Sukuinage of
2026 Hatsu Basho 14Day Atamifuji Abisetaoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 9Day Kirishima Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
琴
west West Ozeki
Kotozakura
 58%
平
east East Maegashira 3
Hiradoumi
 42%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 52% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 9 - 3 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2460 — 2403
Previous basho 3 wins, 9 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kotozakura See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Kotozakura Sukuinage of
2025 Aki Basho 6Day Kotozakura Kotenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Kotozakura Sukuinage of
Kinboshi Naruka
○ Advantage
大
west East Maegashira 4
Daieisho
 30%
豊
east East Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
 70%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 68%

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (68%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 6 - 14 Hoshoryu
Strength index 2472 — 2624
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 0 wins, 2 losses
See Daieisho See Hoshoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 13Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Hoshoryu Uwatedashinage
2024 Kyushu Basho 11Day Hoshoryu Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
大
west West Yokozuna
Onosato
 69%
王
east West Komusubi
Oho
 31%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 82%

Okamisan picks Onosato (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 7 - 3 Oho
Strength index 2576 — 2447
Previous basho 0 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Onosato See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Onosato Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 4Day Oho Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 4Day Onosato Oshidashi
🧐
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