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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

2Day Results This day Oyakata 62%(13/21) Okamisan 67%(14/21)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

2Day Makuuchi bout results

🏆Championship battle(At the end of 2 days)

Oyakata results 13/21 62%
Okamisan results 14/21 67%
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
●Loss
47%
morning
westJuryo 1
Asasuiryu
○ Win
53%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asasuiryu ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daiseizan 59% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Daiseizan (59%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daiseizan 2 - 1 Asasuiryu
Strength index 2231 — 2254
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Daiseizan See Asasuiryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 7Day Daiseizan Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Daiseizan Kimedashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 14Day Asasuiryu Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
gold
eastMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
○ Win
46%
Ah
westMaegashira 15
Onokatsu
●Loss
54%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kinbozan ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onokatsu 54% Miss

Okamisan picks Onokatsu (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 2 - 4 Onokatsu
Strength index 2258 — 2273
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Kinbozan See Onokatsu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Kinbozan Hatakikomi
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Kinbozan Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 2Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
lion
eastMaegashira 14
Shishi
○ Win
43%
Respect
westMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
●Loss
57%
Data Oyakata Miss
Shishi ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 78% Miss

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shishi 0 - 2 Takerufuji
Strength index 2277 — 2301
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Shishi See Takerufuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Aki Basho 13Day Takerufuji Tsukiotoshi
2024 Hatsu Basho 8Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
●Loss
54%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
○ Win
46%
Data Oyakata Miss
Nishikifuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asahakuryu 67% Miss

Okamisan picks Asahakuryu (67%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asahakuryu 3 - 1 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2282 — 2264
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Asahakuryu See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 3Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Asahakuryu Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Ah
eastMaegashira 12
Abi
○ Win
54%
God
westMaegashira 11
Mitakeumi
●Loss
46%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Abi ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Abi 77% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Abi (77%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日は順当に合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Abi 8 - 11 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2324 — 2283
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Abi See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Abi Hatakikomi
2024 Aki Basho 2Day Abi Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 7Day Abi Oshidashi
2024 Haru Basho 10Day Mitakeumi Sukuinage of
2023 Nagoya Basho 10Day Mitakeumi Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
●Loss
58%
young
westMaegashira 11
Wakanosho
○ Win
42%
Data Oyakata Miss
Wakanosho ButYoritaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Wakanosho 51% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Wakanosho (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2399 — 2320
Previous basho 7 wins, 5 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Asanoyama See Wakanosho
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
thousand
eastMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
45%
Sho
westMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
○ Win
55%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Tobizaru ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Tobizaru 68% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Tobizaru (68%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは私も素直に見てCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 2 - 12 Tobizaru
Strength index 2274 — 2303
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Tobizaru
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Chiyoshoma Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 15Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 2Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
○ Win
47%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
●Loss
53%
Data Oyakata Miss
Wakamotoharu ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 67% Miss

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (67%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、これは外れました。相撲は最後までわかりませんね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2375 — 2384
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Fujiryoga
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
wolf
eastMaegashira 8
Roga
●Loss
28%
high
westMaegashira 7
Takayasu
○ Win
72%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takayasu ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takayasu (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 1 - 3 Takayasu
Strength index 2285 — 2491
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 2 wins, 2 losses
See Roga See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Hatsu Basho 6Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 7Day Roga Hatakikomi
2024 Aki Basho 7Day Takayasu Oshidashi
2024 Haru Basho 14Day Takayasu Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 6
Shodai
●Loss
43%
Koto
westMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
○ Win
57%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotoeiho ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 62% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 0 - 1 Kotoeiho
Strength index 2319 — 2345
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Shodai See Kotoeiho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Nagoya Basho 5Day Kotoeiho Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
○ Win
50%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
●Loss
50%
Data Oyakata Miss
Fujiseiun ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Oshoma 71% Miss

Okamisan picks Oshoma (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiseiun 0 - 2 Oshoma
Strength index 2347 — 2350
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Fujiseiun See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Oshoma Okuridashi
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Oshoma Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
○ Win
58%
u
westMaegashira 5
Ura
●Loss
42%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Daieisho ButKotenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 78% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Daieisho (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 18 - 5 Ura
Strength index 2445 — 2380
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Daieisho See Ura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
2025 Haru Basho 9Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2025 Hatsu Basho 12Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
One
eastMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
41%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
○ Win
59%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hakunofuji ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日は順当に合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ichiyamamoto 0 - 2 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2412 — 2469
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Ichiyamamoto See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Hakunofuji Uwatehineri
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
○ Win
63%
flat
westMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
●Loss
37%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Atamifuji ButSukuinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 73% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 4 - 11 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2520 — 2422
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Atamifuji See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Hiradoumi Okuridashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 6Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
beauty
eastMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
●Loss
23%
Cheap
west Sekiwake
Aonishiki
○ Win
77%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 79% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 2 - 1 Aonishiki
Strength index 2380 — 2604
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Churanoumi See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Churanoumi Yoritaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 2Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 1Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Australia
eastMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
●Loss
42%
Koto
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
○ Win
58%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotoshoho ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotoshoho 71% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kotoshoho (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 4 - 3 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2394 — 2468
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Gonoyama See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Gonoyama Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 5Day Kotoshoho Kubinage
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 9Day Gonoyama Oshitaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
70%
king
west Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
30%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButSukuinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 8 - 4 Oho
Strength index 2638 — 2476
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Kirishima See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Kirishima Yoritaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 5Day Oho Hatakikomi
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Kirishima Oshitaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
・
Miss ○ Advantage
righteousness
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
●Loss
60%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
○ Win
40%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kotozakura ButOkuridashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotozakura 56% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kotozakura (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日はこの読みで合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 0 - 4 Kotozakura
Strength index 2567 — 2478
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 3 wins, 9 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Kotozakura Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 1Day Kotozakura Okuridashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Kotozakura Hatakikomi
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
○ Win
75%
Takashi
westMaegashira 1
Takanosho
●Loss
25%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hoshoryu ButSukuinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは私も素直に見てCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 11 - 3 Takanosho
Strength index 2635 — 2424
Previous basho 0 wins, 2 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Hoshoryu See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 6Day Hoshoryu Hatakikomi
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Hoshoryu Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Hoshoryu Tsukidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 4Day Hoshoryu Tsukiotoshi
★ Kinboshi
Miss ○ Advantage
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
○ Win
31%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
●Loss
69%
Data Oyakata Miss
Fujinokawa ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 58% Miss

Okamisan picks Onosato (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 1 - 0 Onosato
Strength index 2436 — 2580
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Fujinokawa See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Fujinokawa Hikiotoshi
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