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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

今日・4DayのWin-loss predictions
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
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Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
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Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

4DayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 4 days)

・
○ Advantage
佐
west West Juryo 2
Sadanoumi Koji
 40%
阿
east East Maegashira 15
Onokatsu
 60%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Onokatsu 64%

Okamisan picks Onokatsu (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Sadanoumi Koji 0 - 4 Onokatsu
Strength index 2176 — 2248
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Sadanoumi Koji See Onokatsu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 15Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
朝
west West Maegashira 16
Asakoryu
 55%
錦
east East Maegashira 13
Nishikifuji
 45%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 57% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asakoryu 1 - 5 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2324 — 2284
Previous basho 3 wins, 4 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Asakoryu See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 5Day Nishikifuji Tsukidashi
・
○ Advantage
尊
west West Maegashira 13
Takerufuji
 61%
大
east East Maegashira 16
Daiseizan
 39%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 68%

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (68%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 3 - 3 Daiseizan
Strength index 2301 — 2210
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Takerufuji See Daiseizan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Daiseizan Yoritaoshi of
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Daiseizan Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Daiseizan Hatakikomi
2024 Aki Basho 1Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
阿
west West Maegashira 12
Abi
 57%
金
east East Maegashira 14
Kinbozan
 43%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Abi 63%

Okamisan picks Abi (63%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Abi 2 - 1 Kinbozan
Strength index 2321 — 2259
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Abi See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Abi Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Abi Tsukiotoshi
2023 Haru Basho 14Day Kinbozan Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
御
west West Maegashira 11
Mitakeumi
 36%
若
east East Maegashira 11
Wakanosho
 64%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Wakanosho 82%

Okamisan picks Wakanosho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Mitakeumi 0 - 1 Wakanosho
Strength index 2265 — 2346
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Mitakeumi See Wakanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Wakanosho Okuridashi
・
▲ Close bout
千
west West Maegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
 50%
朝
east East Maegashira 12
Asahakuryu
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Chiyoshoma 69%

Okamisan picks Chiyoshoma (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 2 - 1 Asahakuryu
Strength index 2275 — 2256
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Asahakuryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Chiyoshoma Okuridashi
・
○ Advantage
翔
west West Maegashira 9
Tobizaru
 37%
藤
east East Maegashira 9
Fujiryoga
 63%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 82%

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

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Head-to-head Tobizaru 0 - 2 Fujiryoga
Strength index 2301 — 2385
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Tobizaru See Fujiryoga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Fujiryoga Oshitaoshi of
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Fujiryoga Hatakikomi
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○ Advantage
狼
west West Maegashira 8
Roga
 38%
朝
east East Maegashira 10
Asanoyama
 62%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 57%

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 1 - 2 Asanoyama
Strength index 2292 — 2376
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 5 losses
See Roga See Asanoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Roga Yorikiri of
2023 Haru Basho 9Day Asanoyama Uwatenage
2023 Hatsu Basho 6Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
藤
west West Maegashira 6
Fujiseiun
 50%
若
east East Maegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiseiun 54%

Okamisan picks Fujiseiun (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiseiun 1 - 0 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2352 — 2374
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Fujiseiun See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Fujiseiun Sukuinage of
・
▲ Close bout
欧
west West Maegashira 5
Oshoma
 47%
宇
east East Maegashira 5
Ura
 53%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Ura 55%

Okamisan picks Ura (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoma 2 - 4 Ura
Strength index 2330 — 2360
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Oshoma See Ura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Ura Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Ura Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Oshoma Tsukidashi
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Ura Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 4Day Oshoma Hatakikomi
・
○ Advantage
一
west West Maegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
 62%
正
east East Maegashira 6
Shodai
 38%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Ichiyamamoto 70%

Okamisan picks Ichiyamamoto (70%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ichiyamamoto 4 - 1 Shodai
Strength index 2411 — 2321
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Ichiyamamoto See Shodai
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 15Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Shodai Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Ichiyamamoto Hatakikomi
2024 Nagoya Basho 2Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2024 Haru Basho 2Day Ichiyamamoto Tsukidashi
・
○ Advantage
伯
west West Maegashira 3
Hakunofuji
 60%
平
east East Maegashira 3
Hiradoumi
 40%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 76%

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 3 - 2 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2471 — 2406
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Hakunofuji See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Hakunofuji Sukuinage of
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Hiradoumi Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Hiradoumi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Hatsu Basho 13Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
安
west West Sekiwake
Aonishiki
 62%
義
east East Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
 38%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 68%

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (68%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 1 - 4 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2619 — 2530
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Aonishiki See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Yoshinofuji Yoritaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Aonishiki Kubinage
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Yoshinofuji Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
2024 Natsu Basho 11Day Yoshinofuji Yoritaoshi of
・
▲ Close bout
琴
west West Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
 54%
王
east West Komusubi
Oho
 46%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotoshoho 82%

Okamisan picks Kotoshoho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 7 - 8 Oho
Strength index 2488 — 2462
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Kotoshoho See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Kotoshoho Okuridashi
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Kotoshoho Tsukiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 14Day Oho のFusenpai
2024 Nagoya Basho 1Day Oho Yoritaoshi of
2024 Hatsu Basho 8Day Oho Hatakikomi
・
○ Advantage
大
west East Maegashira 4
Daieisho
 39%
熱
east East Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 61%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 76%

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 5 - 7 Atamifuji
Strength index 2460 — 2537
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Daieisho See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Atamifuji Tsukidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 1Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 2Day Daieisho Oshidashi
・
◎ High confidence
隆
west West Maegashira 1
Takanosho
 22%
霧
east East Ozeki
Kirishima
 78%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82%

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 17 - 8 Kirishima
Strength index 2414 — 2647
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Takanosho See Kirishima
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Kirishima Hatakikomi
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Kirishima Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Takanosho Tsukidashi
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Takanosho Tsukidashi
・
▲ Close bout
琴
west West Ozeki
Kotozakura
 50%
藤
east East Maegashira 1
Fujinokawa
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 65% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 1 - 1 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2478 — 2474
Previous basho 3 wins, 9 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kotozakura See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Fujinokawa Tsukidashi
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Kotozakura Oshitaoshi of
Kinboshi Naruka
◎ High confidence
美
west West Maegashira 2
Churanoumi
 23%
豊
east East Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
 77%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 81%

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 0 - 5 Hoshoryu
Strength index 2389 — 2625
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 0 wins, 2 losses
See Churanoumi See Hoshoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Sukuinage of
2024 Kyushu Basho 9Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
2020 Nagoya Basho 11Day Hoshoryu Uwatedashinage
2020 Hatsu Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
2019 Nagoya Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Kotenage
Kinboshi Naruka
◎ High confidence
大
west West Yokozuna
Onosato
 74%
豪
east East Maegashira 2
Gonoyama
 26%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 82%

Okamisan picks Onosato (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 6 - 1 Gonoyama
Strength index 2570 — 2381
Previous basho 0 wins, 4 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Onosato See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Onosato Oshitaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 6Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 3Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Onosato Hatakikomi
2024 Nagoya Basho 9Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
🧐
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