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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

4Day Results This day Oyakata 48%(10/21) Okamisan 48%(10/21)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

4Day Makuuchi bout results

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 4 days)

Oyakata results 10/21 48%
Okamisan results 10/21 48%
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Ah
eastMaegashira 15
Onokatsu
●Loss
60%
Sa
westJuryo 2
Sadanoumi Koji
○ Win
40%
Data Oyakata Miss
Sadanoumi Koji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onokatsu 64% Miss

Okamisan picks Onokatsu (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onokatsu 4 - 0 Sadanoumi Koji
Strength index 2248 — 2176
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Onokatsu See Sadanoumi Koji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 15Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
One
eastMaegashira 15
Kazuma
●Loss
59%
lion
westMaegashira 14
Shishi
○ Win
41%
Data Oyakata Miss
Shishi ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kazuma 56% Miss

Okamisan picks Kazuma (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは読みが甘かったです。次の一番で取り返しましょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2334 — 2298
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Kazuma See Shishi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
○ Win
45%
morning
westMaegashira 16
Asakoryu
●Loss
55%
Data Oyakata Miss
Nishikifuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 57% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 5 - 1 Asakoryu
Strength index 2284 — 2324
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 3 wins, 4 losses
See Nishikifuji See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 5Day Nishikifuji Tsukidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Large
eastMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
●Loss
39%
Respect
westMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
○ Win
61%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takerufuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 68% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (68%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daiseizan 3 - 3 Takerufuji
Strength index 2210 — 2301
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Daiseizan See Takerufuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Daiseizan Yoritaoshi of
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Daiseizan Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Daiseizan Hatakikomi
2024 Aki Basho 1Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
gold
eastMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
○ Win
43%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
●Loss
57%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kinbozan ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Abi 63% Miss

Okamisan picks Abi (63%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは読みが甘かったです。次の一番で取り返しましょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 1 - 2 Abi
Strength index 2259 — 2321
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Kinbozan See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Abi Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Abi Tsukiotoshi
2023 Haru Basho 14Day Kinbozan Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
young
eastMaegashira 11
Wakanosho
○ Win
64%
God
westMaegashira 11
Mitakeumi
●Loss
36%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakanosho ButTsukidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Wakanosho 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Wakanosho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakanosho 1 - 0 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2346 — 2265
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Wakanosho See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Wakanosho Okuridashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
○ Win
50%
thousand
westMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
50%
Data Oyakata Miss
Asahakuryu ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Chiyoshoma 69% Miss

Okamisan picks Chiyoshoma (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは読みが甘かったです。次の一番で取り返しましょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asahakuryu 1 - 2 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2256 — 2275
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Asahakuryu See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Chiyoshoma Okuridashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
○ Win
63%
Sho
westMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
●Loss
37%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujiryoga ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiryoga 2 - 0 Tobizaru
Strength index 2385 — 2301
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Fujiryoga See Tobizaru
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Fujiryoga Oshitaoshi of
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Fujiryoga Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
morning
eastMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
○ Win
62%
wolf
westMaegashira 8
Roga
●Loss
38%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asanoyama ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 57% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 2 - 1 Roga
Strength index 2376 — 2292
Previous basho 7 wins, 5 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Asanoyama See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Roga Yorikiri of
2023 Haru Basho 9Day Asanoyama Uwatenage
2023 Hatsu Basho 6Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Koto
eastMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
○ Win
37%
high
westMaegashira 7
Takayasu
●Loss
63%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kotoeiho ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 64% Miss

Okamisan picks Takayasu (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは読みが甘かったです。次の一番で取り返しましょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2370 — 2500
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 2 wins, 2 losses
See Kotoeiho See Takayasu
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
○ Win
50%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
●Loss
50%
Data Oyakata Miss
Wakamotoharu ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiseiun 54% Miss

Okamisan picks Fujiseiun (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 0 - 1 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2374 — 2352
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Fujiseiun Sukuinage of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 5
Ura
○ Win
53%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
●Loss
47%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Ura ButUwatedashinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ura 55% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Ura (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 4 - 2 Oshoma
Strength index 2360 — 2330
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Ura See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Ura Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Ura Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Oshoma Tsukidashi
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Ura Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 4Day Oshoma Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Positive
eastMaegashira 6
Shodai
●Loss
38%
One
westMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
○ Win
62%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Ichiyamamoto ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ichiyamamoto 70% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Ichiyamamoto (70%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 1 - 4 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2321 — 2411
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Shodai See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 15Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Shodai Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Ichiyamamoto Hatakikomi
2024 Nagoya Basho 2Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2024 Haru Basho 2Day Ichiyamamoto Tsukidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
flat
eastMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
●Loss
40%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
○ Win
60%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hakunofuji ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 76% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 2 - 3 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2406 — 2471
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Hiradoumi See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Hakunofuji Sukuinage of
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Hiradoumi Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Hiradoumi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Hatsu Basho 13Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
・
Miss ○ Advantage
righteousness
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
○ Win
38%
Cheap
west Sekiwake
Aonishiki
●Loss
62%
Data Oyakata Miss
Yoshinofuji ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 68% Miss

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (68%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 4 - 1 Aonishiki
Strength index 2530 — 2619
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Yoshinofuji Yoritaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Aonishiki Kubinage
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Yoshinofuji Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
2024 Natsu Basho 11Day Yoshinofuji Yoritaoshi of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
king
east Komusubi
Oho
○ Win
46%
Koto
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
●Loss
54%
Data Oyakata Miss
Oho ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotoshoho 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Kotoshoho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oho 8 - 7 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2462 — 2488
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Oho See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Kotoshoho Okuridashi
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Kotoshoho Tsukiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 14Day Oho のFusensho
2024 Nagoya Basho 1Day Oho Yoritaoshi of
2024 Hatsu Basho 8Day Oho Hatakikomi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
●Loss
61%
Large
westMaegashira 4
Daieisho
○ Win
39%
Data Oyakata Miss
Daieisho ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 76% Miss

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:数字どおりにはいきませんね。これは勉強です。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 7 - 5 Daieisho
Strength index 2537 — 2460
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Atamifuji See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Atamifuji Tsukidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 1Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 2Day Daieisho Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
78%
Takashi
westMaegashira 1
Takanosho
●Loss
22%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 8 - 17 Takanosho
Strength index 2647 — 2414
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kirishima See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Kirishima Hatakikomi
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Kirishima Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Takanosho Tsukidashi
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Takanosho Tsukidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
●Loss
50%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
○ Win
50%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotozakura ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 65% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、Oyakataの数字に軍配です。ここは読み違えました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 1 - 1 Kotozakura
Strength index 2474 — 2478
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 3 wins, 9 losses
See Fujinokawa See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Fujinokawa Tsukidashi
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Kotozakura Oshitaoshi of
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
○ Win
77%
beauty
westMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
●Loss
23%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hoshoryu ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 81% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 5 - 0 Churanoumi
Strength index 2625 — 2389
Previous basho 0 wins, 2 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Hoshoryu See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Sukuinage of
2024 Kyushu Basho 9Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
2020 Nagoya Basho 11Day Hoshoryu Uwatedashinage
2020 Hatsu Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
2019 Nagoya Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Kotenage
★ Kinboshi
Miss ◎ High confidence
Australia
eastMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
○ Win
26%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
●Loss
74%
Data Oyakata Miss
Gonoyama ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Onosato (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、これは外れました。相撲は最後までわかりませんね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 1 - 6 Onosato
Strength index 2381 — 2570
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Gonoyama See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Onosato Oshitaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 6Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 3Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Onosato Hatakikomi
2024 Nagoya Basho 9Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
🧐
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