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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

5Day Results This day Oyakata 62%(13/21) Okamisan 67%(14/21)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

5Day Makuuchi bout results

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 5 days)

Oyakata results 13/21 62%
Okamisan results 14/21 67%
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Ah
eastMaegashira 15
Onokatsu
●Loss
52%
Large
westMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
○ Win
48%
Data Oyakata Miss
Daiseizan ButYoritaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daiseizan 54% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Daiseizan (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この流れ、ちゃんと見えていましたよ。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onokatsu 0 - 1 Daiseizan
Strength index 2231 — 2200
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Onokatsu See Daiseizan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Daiseizan Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
dragon
eastJuryo 3
Ryuden
●Loss
37%
lion
westMaegashira 14
Shishi
○ Win
63%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Shishi ButSukuinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Shishi (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日は順当に合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ryuden 4 - 3 Shishi
Strength index 2213 — 2310
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Ryuden See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 15Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Shishi Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 6Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Ryuden Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 1Day Ryuden Yoritaoshi of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
gold
eastMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
○ Win
46%
morning
westMaegashira 16
Asakoryu
●Loss
54%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kinbozan ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 54% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 1 - 1 Asakoryu
Strength index 2272 — 2311
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 3 wins, 4 losses
See Kinbozan See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 2Day Kinbozan Okuridashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
One
eastMaegashira 15
Kazuma
●Loss
53%
Respect
westMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
○ Win
47%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takerufuji ButSukuinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kazuma 63% Miss

Okamisan picks Kazuma (63%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは読みが甘かったです。次の一番で取り返しましょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kazuma 2 - 0 Takerufuji
Strength index 2312 — 2311
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Kazuma See Takerufuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Kazuma Tsukiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Kazuma Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
●Loss
47%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
○ Win
53%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Abi ButShitatedashinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asahakuryu 58% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Asahakuryu (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asahakuryu 0 - 1 Abi
Strength index 2270 — 2310
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Asahakuryu See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Abi Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
○ Win
56%
God
westMaegashira 11
Mitakeumi
●Loss
44%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Nishikifuji ButUwatedashinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 73% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 3 - 3 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2295 — 2258
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Nishikifuji See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Mitakeumi Oshidashi
2024 Haru Basho 8Day Mitakeumi Oshitaoshi of
2023 Aki Basho 15Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2023 Hatsu Basho 6Day Mitakeumi Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
morning
eastMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
○ Win
67%
thousand
westMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
33%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asanoyama ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは私も素直に見てCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 5 - 0 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2384 — 2265
Previous basho 7 wins, 5 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Asanoyama See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Asanoyama Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Asanoyama Sukuinage of
2023 Natsu Basho 1Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2019 Hatsu Basho 12Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2018 Hatsu Basho 14Day Asanoyama Yoritaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
young
eastMaegashira 11
Wakanosho
○ Win
61%
Sho
westMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
●Loss
39%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakanosho ButTsukidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Wakanosho 80% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Wakanosho (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakanosho 0 - 1 Tobizaru
Strength index 2357 — 2294
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Wakanosho See Tobizaru
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Tobizaru Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
●Loss
42%
high
westMaegashira 7
Takayasu
○ Win
58%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takayasu ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 56% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あらら、最後はrikishiの気迫が上 timesりましたか。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2399 — 2488
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 2 wins, 2 losses
See Fujiryoga See Takayasu
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 6
Shodai
○ Win
44%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
●Loss
56%
Data Oyakata Miss
Shodai ButHikiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiseiun 52% Miss

Okamisan picks Fujiseiun (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 1 - 1 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2314 — 2341
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Shodai See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Shodai Katasukashi
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Fujiseiun Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Koto
eastMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
○ Win
62%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
●Loss
38%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotoeiho ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoeiho 1 - 0 Oshoma
Strength index 2387 — 2319
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Kotoeiho See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 11Day Kotoeiho Okurinage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
○ Win
57%
One
westMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
43%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Daieisho ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 80% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Daieisho (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 5 - 0 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2472 — 2419
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Daieisho See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 14Day Daieisho Hikiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Daieisho Hikiotoshi
2025 Haru Basho 11Day Daieisho Hikiotoshi
2023 Kyushu Basho 11Day Daieisho Hikiotoshi
2022 Natsu Basho 13Day Daieisho Hikiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
u
eastMaegashira 5
Ura
●Loss
35%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
○ Win
65%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hakunofuji ButSukuinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 60% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 3 - 3 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2369 — 2481
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Ura See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Ura Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Hakunofuji Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Ura Katasukashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Ura Uwatedashinage
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Hakunofuji Oshitaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
righteousness
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
○ Win
59%
king
west Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
41%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Yoshinofuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 67% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (67%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは私も素直に見てCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 2 - 2 Oho
Strength index 2549 — 2472
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Oho Tsukiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Yoshinofuji Uwatenage
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Oho Oshidashi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
●Loss
66%
Takashi
westMaegashira 1
Takanosho
○ Win
34%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takanosho ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 81% Miss

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 5 - 4 Takanosho
Strength index 2524 — 2410
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Atamifuji See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 3Day Atamifuji Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 11Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 6Day Takanosho Hikiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
○ Win
49%
Koto
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
●Loss
51%
Data Oyakata Miss
Fujinokawa ButHikiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 69% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 4 - 0 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2461 — 2478
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Fujinokawa See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Fujinokawa Tsukiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Fujinokawa Oshitaoshi of
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Fujinokawa Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 4Day Fujinokawa Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Cheap
east Sekiwake
Aonishiki
○ Win
66%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
●Loss
34%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 79% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 5 - 1 Kotozakura
Strength index 2602 — 2487
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 3 wins, 9 losses
See Aonishiki See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 15Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Aonishiki Uchimuso
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Aonishiki Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 1Day Aonishiki Uchimuso
◎ Surprising result
Miss ◎ High confidence
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
●Loss
80%
flat
westMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
○ Win
20%
Data Oyakata Miss
Hiradoumi ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 7 - 3 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2651 — 2397
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kirishima See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Kirishima Sukuinage of
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Kirishima Hikiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 10Day Kirishima Yoritaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 4Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 6Day Kirishima Shitatedashinage
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
beauty
eastMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
●Loss
28%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
72%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 81% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Onosato (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 0 - 2 Onosato
Strength index 2385 — 2551
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Churanoumi See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Nagoya Basho 14Day Onosato Oshidashi
2023 Aki Basho 11Day Onosato Oshidashi
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
○ Win
75%
Australia
westMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
●Loss
25%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hoshoryu ButTottariDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 8 - 2 Gonoyama
Strength index 2629 — 2398
Previous basho 0 wins, 2 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Hoshoryu See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Hoshoryu Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Uwatedashinage
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Hoshoryu Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 6Day Hoshoryu Okuridashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 4Day Gonoyama Tsukidashi
🧐
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