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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

明日・5DayのWin-loss predictions
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
🏆
Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
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Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

5DayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 5 days)

・
▲ Close bout
大
west East Maegashira 16
Daiseizan
 48%
阿
east East Maegashira 15
Onokatsu
 52%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daiseizan 54% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Daiseizan (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daiseizan 1 - 0 Onokatsu
Strength index 2200 — 2231
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Daiseizan See Onokatsu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Daiseizan Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
獅
west West Maegashira 14
Shishi
 63%
竜
east East Juryo 3
Ryuden
 37%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 82%

Okamisan picks Shishi (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shishi 3 - 4 Ryuden
Strength index 2310 — 2213
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Shishi See Ryuden
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 15Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Shishi Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 6Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Ryuden Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 1Day Ryuden Yoritaoshi of
・
▲ Close bout
朝
west West Maegashira 16
Asakoryu
 54%
金
east East Maegashira 14
Kinbozan
 46%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 54% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asakoryu 1 - 1 Kinbozan
Strength index 2311 — 2272
Previous basho 3 wins, 4 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Asakoryu See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 2Day Kinbozan Okuridashi
・
▲ Close bout
尊
west West Maegashira 13
Takerufuji
 47%
一
east West Maegashira 15
Kazuma
 53%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kazuma 63%

Okamisan picks Kazuma (63%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 0 - 2 Kazuma
Strength index 2311 — 2312
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Takerufuji See Kazuma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Kazuma Tsukiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Kazuma Tsukiotoshi
・
▲ Close bout
阿
west West Maegashira 12
Abi
 53%
朝
east East Maegashira 12
Asahakuryu
 47%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asahakuryu 58% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Asahakuryu (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Abi 1 - 0 Asahakuryu
Strength index 2310 — 2270
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Abi See Asahakuryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Abi Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
御
west West Maegashira 11
Mitakeumi
 44%
錦
east East Maegashira 13
Nishikifuji
 56%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 73%

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Mitakeumi 3 - 3 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2258 — 2295
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Mitakeumi See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Mitakeumi Oshidashi
2024 Haru Basho 8Day Mitakeumi Oshitaoshi of
2023 Aki Basho 15Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2023 Hatsu Basho 6Day Mitakeumi Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
千
west West Maegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
 33%
朝
east East Maegashira 10
Asanoyama
 67%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 82%

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 0 - 5 Asanoyama
Strength index 2265 — 2384
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 7 wins, 5 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Asanoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Asanoyama Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Asanoyama Sukuinage of
2023 Natsu Basho 1Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2019 Hatsu Basho 12Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2018 Hatsu Basho 14Day Asanoyama Yoritaoshi of
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○ Advantage
翔
west West Maegashira 9
Tobizaru
 39%
若
east East Maegashira 11
Wakanosho
 61%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Wakanosho 80%

Okamisan picks Wakanosho (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 1 - 0 Wakanosho
Strength index 2294 — 2357
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Tobizaru See Wakanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Tobizaru Tsukiotoshi
・
▲ Close bout
藤
west West Maegashira 6
Fujiseiun
 56%
正
east East Maegashira 6
Shodai
 44%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiseiun 52%

Okamisan picks Fujiseiun (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiseiun 1 - 1 Shodai
Strength index 2341 — 2314
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Fujiseiun See Shodai
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Shodai Katasukashi
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Fujiseiun Tsukiotoshi
・
○ Advantage
欧
west West Maegashira 5
Oshoma
 38%
琴
east East Maegashira 7
Kotoeiho
 62%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 82%

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoma 0 - 1 Kotoeiho
Strength index 2319 — 2387
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Oshoma See Kotoeiho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 11Day Kotoeiho Okurinage
・
▲ Close bout
一
west West Maegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
 43%
大
east East Maegashira 4
Daieisho
 57%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 80%

Okamisan picks Daieisho (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ichiyamamoto 0 - 5 Daieisho
Strength index 2419 — 2472
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Ichiyamamoto See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 14Day Daieisho Hikiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Daieisho Hikiotoshi
2025 Haru Basho 11Day Daieisho Hikiotoshi
2023 Kyushu Basho 11Day Daieisho Hikiotoshi
2022 Natsu Basho 13Day Daieisho Hikiotoshi
・
○ Advantage
伯
west West Maegashira 3
Hakunofuji
 65%
宇
east East Maegashira 5
Ura
 35%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 60%

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 3 - 3 Ura
Strength index 2481 — 2369
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Hakunofuji See Ura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Ura Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Hakunofuji Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Ura Katasukashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Ura Uwatedashinage
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Hakunofuji Oshitaoshi of
・
▲ Close bout
王
west West Komusubi
Oho
 41%
義
east East Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
 59%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 67%

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (67%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oho 2 - 2 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2472 — 2549
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Oho See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Oho Tsukiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Yoshinofuji Uwatenage
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Oho Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
隆
west West Maegashira 1
Takanosho
 34%
熱
east East Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 66%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 81%

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 4 - 5 Atamifuji
Strength index 2410 — 2524
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Takanosho See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 3Day Atamifuji Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 11Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 6Day Takanosho Hikiotoshi
・
▲ Close bout
琴
west West Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
 51%
藤
east East Maegashira 1
Fujinokawa
 49%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 69% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 0 - 4 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2478 — 2461
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kotoshoho See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Fujinokawa Tsukiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Fujinokawa Oshitaoshi of
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Fujinokawa Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 4Day Fujinokawa Hatakikomi
・
○ Advantage
琴
west West Ozeki
Kotozakura
 34%
安
east West Sekiwake
Aonishiki
 66%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 79%

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 1 - 5 Aonishiki
Strength index 2487 — 2602
Previous basho 3 wins, 9 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kotozakura See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 15Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Aonishiki Uchimuso
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Aonishiki Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 1Day Aonishiki Uchimuso
・
◎ High confidence
平
west East Maegashira 3
Hiradoumi
 20%
霧
east East Ozeki
Kirishima
 80%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82%

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 3 - 7 Kirishima
Strength index 2397 — 2651
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Hiradoumi See Kirishima
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Kirishima Sukuinage of
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Kirishima Hikiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 10Day Kirishima Yoritaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 4Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 6Day Kirishima Shitatedashinage
Kinboshi Naruka
◎ High confidence
大
west West Yokozuna
Onosato
 72%
美
east West Maegashira 2
Churanoumi
 28%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 81%

Okamisan picks Onosato (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 2 - 0 Churanoumi
Strength index 2551 — 2385
Previous basho 0 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Onosato See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Nagoya Basho 14Day Onosato Oshidashi
2023 Aki Basho 11Day Onosato Oshidashi
Kinboshi Naruka
◎ High confidence
豪
west East Maegashira 2
Gonoyama
 25%
豊
east East Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
 75%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 82%

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 2 - 8 Hoshoryu
Strength index 2398 — 2629
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 0 wins, 2 losses
See Gonoyama See Hoshoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Hoshoryu Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Uwatedashinage
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Hoshoryu Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 6Day Hoshoryu Okuridashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 4Day Gonoyama Tsukidashi
🧐
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