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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
62%
153/247 bouts
Okamisan
61%
151/246 bouts
明日・13 DayのWin-loss predictions
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
🏆
Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
👑
Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

13 DayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 13 days)

・
▲ Close bout
一
eastMaegashira 15
Kazuma
 52%
御
westMaegashira 11
Mitakeumi
 48%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kazuma 56%

Okamisan picks Kazuma (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2209 — 2214
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Kazuma See Mitakeumi
・
▲ Close bout
金
eastMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
 54%
千
westMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
 46%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Chiyoshoma 65% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Chiyoshoma (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 2 - 6 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2292 — 2262
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Kinbozan See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Chiyoshoma Watashikomi
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Chiyoshoma Tottari
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 11Day Chiyoshoma Okuridashi
・
▲ Close bout
大
eastMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
 50%
翔
westMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daiseizan 58% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Daiseizan (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2246 — 2282
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Daiseizan See Tobizaru
・
▲ Close bout
錦
eastMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
 46%
藤
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
 54%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 67% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (67%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 5 - 0 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2319 — 2341
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Nishikifuji See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Nishikifuji Kotenage
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Nishikifuji Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 6Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Nishikifuji Hatakikomi
・
▲ Close bout
正
eastMaegashira 6
Shodai
 51%
阿
westMaegashira 12
Abi
 49%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Shodai 70%

Okamisan picks Shodai (70%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 13 - 11 Abi
Strength index 2303 — 2291
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Shodai See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Shodai Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Shodai Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 12Day Shodai Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 2Day Abi Tsukidashi
2024 Aki Basho 9Day Shodai Tsukiotoshi
・
▲ Close bout
朝
eastMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
 59%
欧
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
 41%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 75%

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (75%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 2 - 0 Oshoma
Strength index 2398 — 2329
Previous basho 7 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Asanoyama See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Asanoyama Uwatenage
2023 Haru Basho 8Day Asanoyama Hatakikomi
・
○ Advantage
宇
eastMaegashira 5
Ura
 40%
藤
westMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
 60%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 76%

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 1 - 0 Fujiryoga
Strength index 2359 — 2417
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Ura See Fujiryoga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Ura Sukuinage of
・
▲ Close bout
狼
eastMaegashira 8
Roga
 42%
一
westMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
 58%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Ichiyamamoto 55%

Okamisan picks Ichiyamamoto (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 4 - 7 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2315 — 2388
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Roga See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Ichiyamamoto Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 5Day Ichiyamamoto Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 10Day Ichiyamamoto Hikiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 5Day Roga Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 7Day Roga Sukuinage of
・
▲ Close bout
豪
eastMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
 42%
伯
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
 58%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 61%

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 4 - 2 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2419 — 2484
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Gonoyama See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Hakunofuji Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 5Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2023 Nagoya Basho 6Day Hakunofuji Hatakikomi
2023 Natsu Basho 16Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2023 Natsu Basho 11Day Gonoyama Oshitaoshi of
・
▲ Close bout
大
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
 51%
隆
westMaegashira 1
Takanosho
 49%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takanosho 51% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Takanosho (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 13 - 10 Takanosho
Strength index 2460 — 2459
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Daieisho See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 11Day Daieisho Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 8Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 8Day Daieisho Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 14Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
・
▲ Close bout
藤
eastMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
 59%
美
westMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
 41%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 51%

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 1 - 2 Churanoumi
Strength index 2467 — 2409
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Fujinokawa See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Fujinokawa Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Churanoumi Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Churanoumi Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
平
eastMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
 48%
王
west Komusubi
Oho
 52%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 81% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 10 - 6 Oho
Strength index 2382 — 2401
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Hiradoumi See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 9Day Oho Tsukidashi
・
▲ Close bout
義
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
 58%
琴
westMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
 42%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 74%

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 3 - 0 Kotoeiho
Strength index 2497 — 2422
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Kotoeiho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 15Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 7Day Yoshinofuji Sukuinage of
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
高
eastMaegashira 7
Takayasu
 53%
琴
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
 47%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 52%

Okamisan picks Takayasu (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takayasu 7 - 3 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2497 — 2450
Previous basho 2 wins, 2 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Takayasu See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 12Day Kotoshoho Hatakikomi
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2024 Haru Basho 3Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2023 Natsu Basho 15Day Takayasu Hikiotoshi
・
○ Advantage
獅
eastMaegashira 14
Shishi
 36%
琴
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
 64%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotozakura 65%

Okamisan picks Kotozakura (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2351 — 2489
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 3 wins, 9 losses
See Shishi See Kotozakura
・
▲ Close bout
霧
east Ozeki
Kirishima
 49%
安
west Sekiwake
Aonishiki
 51%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 61% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Kirishima (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 1 - 4 Aonishiki
Strength index 2656 — 2644
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kirishima See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Aonishiki Shitatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Kirishima Yoritaoshi of
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Aonishiki Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Aonishiki Okuridashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 5Day Aonishiki Uchimuso
Kinboshi Naruka
○ Advantage
尊
eastMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
 34%
大
west Yokozuna
Onosato
 66%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 53%

Okamisan picks Onosato (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 1 - 3 Onosato
Strength index 2383 — 2558
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Takerufuji See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Onosato Hatakikomi
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Onosato Hatakikomi
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Onosato Oshidashi
2024 Haru Basho 10Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
豊
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
 53%
熱
west Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 47%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 69% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 5 - 6 Atamifuji
Strength index 2600 — 2555
Previous basho 0 wins, 2 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Hoshoryu See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 5Day Atamifuji Kotenage
2024 Kyushu Basho 6Day Hoshoryu Isamiashi
🧐
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