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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

13Day Results This day Oyakata 45%(9/20) Okamisan 40%(8/20)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

13Day Makuuchi bout results

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 13 days)

Oyakata results 9/20 45%
Okamisan results 8/20 40%
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
gold
eastMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
○ Win
54%
thousand
westMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
46%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kinbozan ButShitatehineriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Chiyoshoma 65% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Chiyoshoma (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 2 - 6 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2292 — 2262
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Kinbozan See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Chiyoshoma Watashikomi
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Chiyoshoma Tottari
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 11Day Chiyoshoma Okuridashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
●Loss
50%
Sho
westMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
○ Win
50%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Tobizaru ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daiseizan 58% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Daiseizan (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2246 — 2282
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Daiseizan See Tobizaru
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
○ Win
46%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
●Loss
54%
Data Oyakata Miss
Nishikifuji ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 67% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (67%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 5 - 0 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2319 — 2341
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Nishikifuji See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Nishikifuji Kotenage
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Nishikifuji Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 6Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Nishikifuji Hatakikomi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 6
Shodai
●Loss
51%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
○ Win
49%
Data Oyakata Miss
Abi ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shodai 70% Miss

Okamisan picks Shodai (70%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 13 - 11 Abi
Strength index 2303 — 2291
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Shodai See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Shodai Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Shodai Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 12Day Shodai Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 2Day Abi Tsukidashi
2024 Aki Basho 9Day Shodai Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
○ Win
59%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
●Loss
41%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asanoyama ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 75% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (75%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 2 - 0 Oshoma
Strength index 2398 — 2329
Previous basho 7 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Asanoyama See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Asanoyama Uwatenage
2023 Haru Basho 8Day Asanoyama Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
u
eastMaegashira 5
Ura
●Loss
40%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
○ Win
60%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujiryoga ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 76% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 1 - 0 Fujiryoga
Strength index 2359 — 2417
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Ura See Fujiryoga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Ura Sukuinage of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
wolf
eastMaegashira 8
Roga
○ Win
42%
One
westMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
58%
Data Oyakata Miss
Roga ButShitatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ichiyamamoto 55% Miss

Okamisan picks Ichiyamamoto (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 4 - 7 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2315 — 2388
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Roga See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Ichiyamamoto Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 5Day Ichiyamamoto Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 10Day Ichiyamamoto Hikiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 5Day Roga Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 7Day Roga Sukuinage of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Australia
eastMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
○ Win
42%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
●Loss
58%
Data Oyakata Miss
Gonoyama ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 61% Miss

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 4 - 2 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2419 — 2484
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Gonoyama See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Hakunofuji Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 5Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2023 Nagoya Basho 6Day Hakunofuji Hatakikomi
2023 Natsu Basho 16Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2023 Natsu Basho 11Day Gonoyama Oshitaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
○ Win
51%
Takashi
westMaegashira 1
Takanosho
●Loss
49%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Daieisho ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takanosho 51% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Takanosho (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 13 - 10 Takanosho
Strength index 2460 — 2459
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Daieisho See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 11Day Daieisho Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 8Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 8Day Daieisho Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 14Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
●Loss
59%
beauty
westMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
○ Win
41%
Data Oyakata Miss
Churanoumi ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 51% Miss

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 1 - 2 Churanoumi
Strength index 2467 — 2409
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Fujinokawa See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Fujinokawa Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Churanoumi Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Churanoumi Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
flat
eastMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
○ Win
48%
king
west Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
52%
Data Oyakata Miss
Hiradoumi ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 81% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 10 - 6 Oho
Strength index 2382 — 2401
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Hiradoumi See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 9Day Oho Tsukidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
righteousness
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
○ Win
58%
Koto
westMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
●Loss
42%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Yoshinofuji ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 74% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 3 - 0 Kotoeiho
Strength index 2497 — 2422
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Kotoeiho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 15Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 7Day Yoshinofuji Sukuinage of
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
high
eastMaegashira 7
Takayasu
●Loss
53%
Koto
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
○ Win
47%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kotoshoho ButOkuridashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 52% Miss

Okamisan picks Takayasu (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:数字どおりにはいきませんね。これは勉強です。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takayasu 7 - 3 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2497 — 2450
Previous basho 2 wins, 2 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Takayasu See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 12Day Kotoshoho Hatakikomi
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2024 Haru Basho 3Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2023 Natsu Basho 15Day Takayasu Hikiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
lion
eastMaegashira 14
Shishi
●Loss
36%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
○ Win
64%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotozakura ButShitatedashinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotozakura 65% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kotozakura (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2351 — 2489
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 3 wins, 9 losses
See Shishi See Kotozakura
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
●Loss
49%
Cheap
west Sekiwake
Aonishiki
○ Win
51%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButKatasukashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 61% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Kirishima (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 1 - 4 Aonishiki
Strength index 2656 — 2644
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kirishima See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Aonishiki Shitatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Kirishima Yoritaoshi of
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Aonishiki Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Aonishiki Okuridashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 5Day Aonishiki Uchimuso
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Respect
eastMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
●Loss
34%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
66%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 53% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Onosato (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 1 - 3 Onosato
Strength index 2383 — 2558
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Takerufuji See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Onosato Hatakikomi
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Onosato Hatakikomi
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Onosato Oshidashi
2024 Haru Basho 10Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
●Loss
53%
fever
west Sekiwake
Atamifuji
○ Win
47%
Data Oyakata Miss
Atamifuji ButYoritaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 69% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 5 - 6 Atamifuji
Strength index 2600 — 2555
Previous basho 0 wins, 2 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Hoshoryu See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 5Day Atamifuji Kotenage
2024 Kyushu Basho 6Day Hoshoryu Isamiashi
🧐
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