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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

10 Day Results This day Oyakata 65%(13/20) Okamisan 50%(10/20)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

10Day Makuuchi bout results

🏆Championship battle(At the end of 10 days)

Oyakata results 13/20 65%
Okamisan results 10/20 50%
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
●Loss
35%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
65%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButAbisetaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 72% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Onosato (72%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 1 - 8 Onosato
Strength index 2473 — 2573
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Daieisho See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Onosato Hatakikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 14Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Onosato Hatakikomi
2024 Kyushu Basho 10Day Daieisho Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
●Loss
43%
Cheap
west Sekiwake
Aonishiki
○ Win
57%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 1 - 4 Aonishiki
Strength index 2617 — 2647
Previous basho 0 wins, 2 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Hoshoryu See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 15Day Hoshoryu Kakenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Aonishiki Uwatenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Aonishiki Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Aonishiki Kirikaeshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Aonishiki Watashikomi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
king
east Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
46%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
○ Win
54%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotozakura ButUwatehineriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotozakura 57% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kotozakura (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oho 6 - 9 Kotozakura
Strength index 2431 — 2460
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 3 wins, 9 losses
See Oho See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 7Day Oho Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Oho Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Oho Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
64%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
●Loss
36%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 59% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kirishima (59%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 3 - 3 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2639 — 2519
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Kirishima See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 14Day Hakunofuji Yoritaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 3Day Kirishima Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Kirishima Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 9Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
○ Win
69%
beauty
westMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
●Loss
31%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Atamifuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 73% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 10 - 3 Churanoumi
Strength index 2528 — 2391
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Atamifuji See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 11Day Churanoumi Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Churanoumi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
One
eastMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
○ Win
42%
Koto
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
●Loss
58%
Data Oyakata Miss
Ichiyamamoto ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotoshoho 76% Miss

Okamisan picks Kotoshoho (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ichiyamamoto 9 - 7 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2391 — 2451
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Ichiyamamoto See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 3Day Kotoshoho Sukuinage of
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Kotoshoho Hatakikomi
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Ichiyamamoto Hikiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Ichiyamamoto Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 11Day Kotoshoho Kotenage
・
Miss ○ Advantage
righteousness
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
●Loss
68%
Australia
westMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
○ Win
32%
Data Oyakata Miss
Gonoyama ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 74% Miss

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:数字どおりにはいきませんね。これは勉強です。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 1 - 0 Gonoyama
Strength index 2559 — 2419
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 7Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
●Loss
56%
Takashi
westMaegashira 1
Takanosho
○ Win
44%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takanosho ButTsukidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 2 - 0 Takanosho
Strength index 2458 — 2430
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Fujinokawa See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 7Day Fujinokawa Hikiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Fujinokawa Hikiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
flat
eastMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
●Loss
53%
u
westMaegashira 5
Ura
○ Win
47%
Data Oyakata Miss
Ura ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ura 66% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Ura (66%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 4 - 3 Ura
Strength index 2386 — 2367
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Hiradoumi See Ura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 3Day Hiradoumi Yoritaoshi of
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Ura Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 6Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 11Day Ura Oshitaoshi of
2024 Haru Basho 14Day Hiradoumi Hansoku
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
○ Win
56%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
●Loss
44%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujiryoga ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Oshoma 62% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Oshoma (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2375 — 2344
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Fujiryoga See Oshoma
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
○ Win
57%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
●Loss
43%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asanoyama ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 76% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 3 - 1 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2414 — 2351
Previous basho 7 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Asanoyama See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Asanoyama Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Fujiseiun Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Asanoyama Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 6
Shodai
●Loss
56%
wolf
westMaegashira 8
Roga
○ Win
44%
Data Oyakata Miss
Roga ButOkuridashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shodai 75% Miss

Okamisan picks Shodai (75%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:数字どおりにはいきませんね。これは勉強です。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 6 - 0 Roga
Strength index 2335 — 2282
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Shodai See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Shodai Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Shodai Hikiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Shodai Uwatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Shodai Uwatenage
2024 Natsu Basho 11Day Shodai Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Sho
eastMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
●Loss
27%
high
westMaegashira 7
Takayasu
○ Win
73%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takayasu ButTsukidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takayasu (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 3 - 7 Takayasu
Strength index 2287 — 2496
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 2 wins, 2 losses
See Tobizaru See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Tobizaru Kekaeshi
2024 Natsu Basho 12Day Takayasu Hatakikomi
2023 Kyushu Basho 9Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
2023 Aki Basho 14Day Takayasu Okuridashi
2023 Hatsu Basho 4Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Koto
eastMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
○ Win
67%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
●Loss
33%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotoeiho ButKirikaeshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2439 — 2318
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Kotoeiho See Abi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
○ Win
58%
One
westMaegashira 15
Kazuma
●Loss
42%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakamotoharu ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kazuma 53% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Kazuma (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、Oyakataの数字に軍配です。ここは読み違えました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2348 — 2253
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Kazuma
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Respect
eastMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
○ Win
63%
thousand
westMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
37%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takerufuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 3 - 0 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2339 — 2265
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Takerufuji See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Nagoya Basho 9Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 6Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 12Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 16
Asakoryu
○ Win
57%
God
westMaegashira 11
Mitakeumi
●Loss
43%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asakoryu ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Mitakeumi 52% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Mitakeumi (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、Oyakataの数字に軍配です。ここは読み違えました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asakoryu 1 - 3 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2293 — 2238
Previous basho 3 wins, 4 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Asakoryu See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Mitakeumi Uwatenage
2025 Aki Basho 11Day Mitakeumi Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 6Day Mitakeumi Yorikiri of
・
Miss ○ Advantage
morning
eastMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
○ Win
36%
lion
westMaegashira 14
Shishi
●Loss
64%
Data Oyakata Miss
Asahakuryu ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Shishi (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asahakuryu 0 - 2 Shishi
Strength index 2208 — 2338
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Asahakuryu See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Shishi Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
○ Win
58%
Ah
westMaegashira 15
Onokatsu
●Loss
42%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Nishikifuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onokatsu 76% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Onokatsu (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:これは悔しいですね。相性を見すぎたかもしれません。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 1 - 4 Onokatsu
Strength index 2305 — 2231
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Nishikifuji See Onokatsu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Onokatsu のFusenpai
2025 Haru Basho 1Day Onokatsu Tsuridashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Onokatsu Yoritaoshi of
2024 Kyushu Basho 1Day Onokatsu Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 4Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
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