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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

11Day Results This day Oyakata 60%(12/20) Okamisan 70%(14/20)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

11Day Makuuchi bout results

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 11 days)

Oyakata results 12/20 60%
Okamisan results 14/20 70%
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
○ Win
70%
Koto
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
●Loss
30%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hoshoryu ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 75% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (75%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 4 - 4 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2608 — 2439
Previous basho 0 wins, 2 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Hoshoryu See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Hoshoryu Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Hoshoryu Tsukiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 10Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 10Day Hoshoryu Oshitaoshi of
2020 Aki Basho 7Day Kotoshoho Tsukiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
○ Win
42%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
●Loss
58%
Data Oyakata Miss
Atamifuji ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 58% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 2 - 6 Onosato
Strength index 2535 — 2583
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Atamifuji See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 6Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 7Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 5Day Onosato Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
76%
One
westMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
24%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 5 - 4 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2645 — 2403
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Kirishima See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Kirishima Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 6Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Kirishima Hatakikomi
2025 Haru Basho 13Day Kirishima Shitatenage
2019 Kyushu Basho 2Day Ichiyamamoto Fusen of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
u
eastMaegashira 5
Ura
●Loss
37%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
○ Win
63%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotozakura ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ura 55% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Ura (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 6 - 8 Kotozakura
Strength index 2378 — 2469
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 3 wins, 9 losses
See Ura See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Kotozakura Oshitaoshi of
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Ura Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Ura Oshitaoshi of
2024 Kyushu Basho 5Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 9Day Ura Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Australia
eastMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
●Loss
24%
Cheap
west Sekiwake
Aonishiki
○ Win
76%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 81% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2434 — 2660
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Gonoyama See Aonishiki
・
Miss ○ Advantage
righteousness
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
●Loss
70%
beauty
westMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
○ Win
30%
Data Oyakata Miss
Churanoumi ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 78% Miss

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 3 - 1 Churanoumi
Strength index 2539 — 2385
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Yoshinofuji Uwatenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Churanoumi Uwatedashinage
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Takashi
eastMaegashira 1
Takanosho
○ Win
52%
king
west Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
48%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takanosho ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takanosho 74% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takanosho (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 5 - 7 Oho
Strength index 2440 — 2421
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Takanosho See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Oho Tsukiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 15Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Oho Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Takanosho Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
○ Win
61%
flat
westMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
●Loss
39%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujinokawa ButSukuinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 3 - 0 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2444 — 2376
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Fujinokawa See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Fujinokawa Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Fujinokawa Sukuinage of
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Fujinokawa Oshitaoshi of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
high
eastMaegashira 7
Takayasu
○ Win
44%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
●Loss
56%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takayasu ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 58% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takayasu (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takayasu 2 - 3 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2500 — 2510
Previous basho 2 wins, 2 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Takayasu See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Takayasu のsakatottari
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 15Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
2023 Nagoya Basho 11Day Hakunofuji Okuridashi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
●Loss
67%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
○ Win
33%
Data Oyakata Miss
Nishikifuji ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 79% Miss

Okamisan picks Daieisho (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 2 - 0 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2466 — 2313
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Daieisho See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2023 Natsu Basho 1Day Daieisho Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Sho
eastMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
●Loss
45%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
○ Win
55%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Oshoma ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Tobizaru 63% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Tobizaru (63%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 3 - 0 Oshoma
Strength index 2282 — 2333
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Tobizaru See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 3Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 1Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 14Day Tobizaru Kekaeshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 6
Shodai
●Loss
58%
morning
westMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
○ Win
42%
Data Oyakata Miss
Asahakuryu ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asahakuryu 60% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asahakuryu (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ほら、ここは私の見立てでよかったでしょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 1 - 2 Asahakuryu
Strength index 2324 — 2227
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Shodai See Asahakuryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Shodai Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 14Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
God
eastMaegashira 11
Mitakeumi
●Loss
34%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
○ Win
66%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujiseiun ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiseiun 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Fujiseiun (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Mitakeumi 0 - 2 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2230 — 2341
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Mitakeumi See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Koto
eastMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
●Loss
68%
lion
westMaegashira 14
Shishi
○ Win
32%
Data Oyakata Miss
Shishi ButYoritaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoeiho 2 - 3 Shishi
Strength index 2447 — 2323
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Kotoeiho See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Kotoeiho Shitatenage
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Kotoeiho Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 1Day Shishi Uwatenage
2025 Hatsu Basho 14Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2023 Hatsu Basho 8Day Shishi Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
○ Win
56%
gold
westMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
●Loss
44%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakamotoharu ButKotenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Wakamotoharu 80% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Wakamotoharu (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 2 - 0 Kinbozan
Strength index 2355 — 2289
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 12Day Wakamotoharu Okuridashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Ah
eastMaegashira 15
Onokatsu
●Loss
42%
wolf
westMaegashira 8
Roga
○ Win
58%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Roga ButSukuinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Roga 61% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Roga (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onokatsu 2 - 3 Roga
Strength index 2220 — 2294
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Onokatsu See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Roga Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 9Day Roga Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 12Day Roga Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
○ Win
68%
One
westMaegashira 15
Kazuma
●Loss
32%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujiryoga ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 76% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日は順当に合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2392 — 2239
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Fujiryoga See Kazuma
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
●Loss
57%
Respect
westMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
○ Win
43%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takerufuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 80% Miss

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 2 - 0 Takerufuji
Strength index 2422 — 2349
Previous basho 7 wins, 5 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Asanoyama See Takerufuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Asanoyama Tsukiotoshi
2024 Haru Basho 14Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 16
Asakoryu
○ Win
57%
thousand
westMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
43%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asakoryu ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asakoryu 72% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asakoryu (72%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asakoryu 6 - 3 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2303 — 2258
Previous basho 3 wins, 4 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Asakoryu See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 3Day Chiyoshoma Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Asakoryu Sukuinage of
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
2024 Kyushu Basho 9Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
○ Win
41%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
●Loss
59%
Data Oyakata Miss
Daiseizan ButOkuridashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daiseizan 57% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Daiseizan (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2219 — 2312
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Daiseizan See Abi
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