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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
64%
132/207 bouts
Okamisan
62%
127/206 bouts
明日・11 DayのWin-loss predictions
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
🏆
Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
👑
Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

11 DayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 11 days)

・
▲ Close bout
大
eastMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
 41%
阿
westMaegashira 12
Abi
 59%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daiseizan 57% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Daiseizan (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2219 — 2312
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Daiseizan See Abi
・
▲ Close bout
朝
eastMaegashira 16
Asakoryu
 57%
千
westMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
 43%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asakoryu 72%

Okamisan picks Asakoryu (72%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asakoryu 6 - 3 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2303 — 2258
Previous basho 3 wins, 4 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Asakoryu See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 3Day Chiyoshoma Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Asakoryu Sukuinage of
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
2024 Kyushu Basho 9Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
朝
eastMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
 57%
尊
westMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
 43%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 80%

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 2 - 0 Takerufuji
Strength index 2422 — 2349
Previous basho 7 wins, 5 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Asanoyama See Takerufuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Asanoyama Tsukiotoshi
2024 Haru Basho 14Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
藤
eastMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
 68%
一
westMaegashira 15
Kazuma
 32%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 76%

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2392 — 2239
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Fujiryoga See Kazuma
・
▲ Close bout
阿
eastMaegashira 15
Onokatsu
 42%
狼
westMaegashira 8
Roga
 58%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Roga 61%

Okamisan picks Roga (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onokatsu 2 - 3 Roga
Strength index 2220 — 2294
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Onokatsu See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Roga Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 9Day Roga Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 12Day Roga Hatakikomi
・
▲ Close bout
若
eastMaegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
 56%
金
westMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
 44%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Wakamotoharu 80%

Okamisan picks Wakamotoharu (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 2 - 0 Kinbozan
Strength index 2355 — 2289
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 12Day Wakamotoharu Okuridashi
・
○ Advantage
琴
eastMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
 68%
獅
westMaegashira 14
Shishi
 32%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 82%

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoeiho 2 - 3 Shishi
Strength index 2447 — 2323
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Kotoeiho See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Kotoeiho Shitatenage
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Kotoeiho Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 1Day Shishi Uwatenage
2025 Hatsu Basho 14Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2023 Hatsu Basho 8Day Shishi Tsukiotoshi
・
○ Advantage
御
eastMaegashira 11
Mitakeumi
 34%
藤
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
 66%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiseiun 82%

Okamisan picks Fujiseiun (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Mitakeumi 0 - 2 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2230 — 2341
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Mitakeumi See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
正
eastMaegashira 6
Shodai
 58%
朝
westMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
 42%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asahakuryu 60% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Asahakuryu (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 1 - 2 Asahakuryu
Strength index 2324 — 2227
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Shodai See Asahakuryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Shodai Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 14Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
翔
eastMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
 45%
欧
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
 55%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Tobizaru 63% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Tobizaru (63%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 3 - 0 Oshoma
Strength index 2282 — 2333
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Tobizaru See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 3Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 1Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 14Day Tobizaru Kekaeshi
・
○ Advantage
大
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
 67%
錦
westMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
 33%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 79%

Okamisan picks Daieisho (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 2 - 0 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2466 — 2313
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Daieisho See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2023 Natsu Basho 1Day Daieisho Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
高
eastMaegashira 7
Takayasu
 44%
伯
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
 56%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 58% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Takayasu (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takayasu 2 - 3 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2500 — 2510
Previous basho 2 wins, 2 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Takayasu See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Takayasu のsakatottari
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 15Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
2023 Nagoya Basho 11Day Hakunofuji Okuridashi
・
○ Advantage
藤
eastMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
 61%
平
westMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
 39%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 82%

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 3 - 0 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2444 — 2376
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Fujinokawa See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Fujinokawa Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Fujinokawa Sukuinage of
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Fujinokawa Oshitaoshi of
・
▲ Close bout
隆
eastMaegashira 1
Takanosho
 52%
王
west Komusubi
Oho
 48%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takanosho 74%

Okamisan picks Takanosho (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 5 - 7 Oho
Strength index 2440 — 2421
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Takanosho See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Oho Tsukiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 15Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Oho Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Takanosho Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
義
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
 70%
美
westMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
 30%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 78%

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 3 - 1 Churanoumi
Strength index 2539 — 2385
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Yoshinofuji Uwatenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Churanoumi Uwatedashinage
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
・
◎ High confidence
豪
eastMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
 24%
安
west Sekiwake
Aonishiki
 76%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 81%

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2434 — 2660
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Gonoyama See Aonishiki
・
○ Advantage
宇
eastMaegashira 5
Ura
 37%
琴
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
 63%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Ura 55% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Ura (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 6 - 8 Kotozakura
Strength index 2378 — 2469
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 3 wins, 9 losses
See Ura See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Kotozakura Oshitaoshi of
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Ura Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Ura Oshitaoshi of
2024 Kyushu Basho 5Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 9Day Ura Oshidashi
・
◎ High confidence
霧
east Ozeki
Kirishima
 76%
一
westMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
 24%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82%

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 5 - 4 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2645 — 2403
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Kirishima See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Kirishima Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 6Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Kirishima Hatakikomi
2025 Haru Basho 13Day Kirishima Shitatenage
2019 Kyushu Basho 2Day Ichiyamamoto Fusen of
・
▲ Close bout
熱
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 42%
大
west Yokozuna
Onosato
 58%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 58% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 2 - 6 Onosato
Strength index 2535 — 2583
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Atamifuji See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 6Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 7Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 5Day Onosato Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
豊
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
 70%
琴
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
 30%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 75%

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (75%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 4 - 4 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2608 — 2439
Previous basho 0 wins, 2 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Hoshoryu See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Hoshoryu Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Hoshoryu Tsukiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 10Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 10Day Hoshoryu Oshitaoshi of
2020 Aki Basho 7Day Kotoshoho Tsukiotoshi
🧐
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