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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

7Day Results This day Oyakata 71%(15/21) Okamisan 67%(14/21)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

7Day Makuuchi bout results

🏆Championship battle(At the end of 7 days)

Oyakata results 15/21 71%
Okamisan results 14/21 67%
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
friend
eastJuryo 4
Tomokaze
●Loss
37%
morning
westMaegashira 16
Asakoryu
○ Win
63%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asakoryu ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Tomokaze 54% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Tomokaze (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tomokaze 6 - 3 Asakoryu
Strength index 2180 — 2287
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 3 wins, 4 losses
See Tomokaze See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 3Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Tomokaze Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Asakoryu Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Tomokaze Hatakikomi
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Tomokaze Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Ah
eastMaegashira 15
Onokatsu
●Loss
35%
Respect
westMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
○ Win
65%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takerufuji ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは私も素直に見てCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onokatsu 1 - 4 Takerufuji
Strength index 2233 — 2335
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Onokatsu See Takerufuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 11Day Onokatsu Tsukihiza of
2025 Hatsu Basho 3Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 7Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 8Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
○ Win
47%
lion
westMaegashira 14
Shishi
●Loss
53%
Data Oyakata Miss
Nishikifuji ButOkuridashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 53% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 2 - 1 Shishi
Strength index 2311 — 2328
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Nishikifuji See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Nishikifuji Okuridashi
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 11Day Nishikifuji Uwatenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
One
eastMaegashira 15
Kazuma
●Loss
48%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
○ Win
52%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Abi ButTsukidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Abi 53% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Abi (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2267 — 2311
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Kazuma See Abi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
●Loss
56%
Large
westMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
○ Win
44%
Data Oyakata Miss
Daiseizan ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daiseizan 52% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Daiseizan (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日はこの読みで合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asahakuryu 1 - 1 Daiseizan
Strength index 2247 — 2205
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Asahakuryu See Daiseizan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Daiseizan Yorikiri of
2024 Hatsu Basho 4Day Asahakuryu Uwatedashinage
・
Miss ○ Advantage
young
eastMaegashira 11
Wakanosho
●Loss
62%
gold
westMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
○ Win
38%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kinbozan ButFusen✦ Rare techniqueDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Wakanosho 51% Miss

Okamisan picks Wakanosho (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakanosho 1 - 0 Kinbozan
Strength index 2355 — 2293
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Wakanosho See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 14Day Wakanosho Okuridashi
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
morning
eastMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
○ Win
72%
God
westMaegashira 11
Mitakeumi
●Loss
28%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asanoyama ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは私も素直に見てCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 8 - 6 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2398 — 2241
Previous basho 7 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Asanoyama See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Asanoyama Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 3Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2023 Aki Basho 13Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2021 Natsu Basho 10Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2021 Haru Basho 12Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
○ Win
69%
thousand
westMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
31%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujiryoga ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 74% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日は順当に合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiryoga 1 - 0 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2403 — 2269
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Fujiryoga See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Fujiryoga Oshitaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
○ Win
58%
Sho
westMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
●Loss
42%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakamotoharu ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Tobizaru 51% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Tobizaru (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、Oyakataの数字に軍配です。ここは読み違えました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 13 - 9 Tobizaru
Strength index 2360 — 2295
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Tobizaru
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 9Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 5Day Wakamotoharu Tsukidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 12Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Koto
eastMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
○ Win
67%
wolf
westMaegashira 8
Roga
●Loss
33%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotoeiho ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは私も素直に見てCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoeiho 1 - 1 Roga
Strength index 2408 — 2286
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Kotoeiho See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Kotoeiho Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 11Day Roga Shitatenage
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Positive
eastMaegashira 6
Shodai
●Loss
32%
high
westMaegashira 7
Takayasu
○ Win
68%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takayasu ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shodai 51% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Shodai (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あらら、最後はrikishiの気迫が上 timesりましたか。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 19 - 9 Takayasu
Strength index 2335 — 2499
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 2 wins, 2 losses
See Shodai See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Haru Basho 4Day Shodai Oshidashi
2022 Kyushu Basho 2Day Shodai Yorikiri of
2022 Natsu Basho 4Day Shodai Oshidashi
2022 Haru Basho 14Day Shodai Sukuinage of
2021 Kyushu Basho 10Day Shodai Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 5
Ura
●Loss
48%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
○ Win
52%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujiseiun ButYoritaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiseiun 61% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Fujiseiun (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2354 — 2343
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Ura See Fujiseiun
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
●Loss
71%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
○ Win
29%
Data Oyakata Miss
Oshoma ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Daieisho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 2 - 1 Oshoma
Strength index 2486 — 2305
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Daieisho See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 13Day Daieisho Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
One
eastMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
○ Win
55%
beauty
westMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
●Loss
45%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Ichiyamamoto ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ichiyamamoto 63% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Ichiyamamoto (63%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ichiyamamoto 9 - 6 Churanoumi
Strength index 2398 — 2372
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Ichiyamamoto See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Churanoumi Okuridashi
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Ichiyamamoto Uwatenage
2025 Hatsu Basho 8Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 6Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 6Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Australia
eastMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
○ Win
46%
king
west Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
54%
Data Oyakata Miss
Gonoyama ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Gonoyama 53% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Gonoyama (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日はこの読みで合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 4 - 2 Oho
Strength index 2407 — 2458
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Gonoyama See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Oho Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Oho Hatakikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 10Day Gonoyama Oshitaoshi of
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2024 Natsu Basho 11Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
righteousness
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
●Loss
64%
Takashi
westMaegashira 1
Takanosho
○ Win
36%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takanosho ButAbisetaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 62% Miss

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは読みが甘かったです。次の一番で取り返しましょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 2 - 2 Takanosho
Strength index 2549 — 2432
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Yoshinofuji Kubinage
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Yoshinofuji Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 9Day Takanosho Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
●Loss
29%
Cheap
west Sekiwake
Aonishiki
○ Win
71%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 0 - 2 Aonishiki
Strength index 2463 — 2620
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Fujinokawa See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Aonishiki Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Aonishiki Kirikaeshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
○ Win
56%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
●Loss
44%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Atamifuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 74% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 3 - 8 Kotozakura
Strength index 2519 — 2469
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 3 wins, 9 losses
See Atamifuji See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Kotozakura Katasukashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 13Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 6Day Atamifuji Kimedashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 7Day Kotozakura Uwatenage
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
71%
Koto
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
●Loss
29%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 2 - 1 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2643 — 2456
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Kirishima See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Kirishima Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Kotoshoho Uwatenage
2024 Aki Basho 7Day Kirishima Yoritaoshi of
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Haku
eastMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
●Loss
45%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
55%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 65% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 3 - 2 Onosato
Strength index 2507 — 2565
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Hakunofuji See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Onosato Yoritaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Hakunofuji Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Onosato Hatakikomi
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
○ Win
75%
flat
westMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
●Loss
25%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hoshoryu ButSukuinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日は順当に合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 11 - 1 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2619 — 2408
Previous basho 0 wins, 2 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Hoshoryu See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Hoshoryu Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Hoshoryu Sukuinage of
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Hoshoryu Kotenage
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Hiradoumi Tsukiotoshi
🧐
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