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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

明日・7DayのWin-loss predictions
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
🏆
Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
👑
Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

7DayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(At the end of 7 days)

・
○ Advantage
朝
west West Maegashira 16
Asakoryu
 63%
友
east East Juryo 4
Tomokaze
 37%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Tomokaze 54% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Tomokaze (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asakoryu 3 - 6 Tomokaze
Strength index 2287 — 2180
Previous basho 3 wins, 4 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Asakoryu See Tomokaze
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 3Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Tomokaze Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Asakoryu Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Tomokaze Hatakikomi
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Tomokaze Hatakikomi
・
○ Advantage
尊
west West Maegashira 13
Takerufuji
 65%
阿
east East Maegashira 15
Onokatsu
 35%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 82%

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 4 - 1 Onokatsu
Strength index 2335 — 2233
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Takerufuji See Onokatsu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 11Day Onokatsu Tsukihiza of
2025 Hatsu Basho 3Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 7Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 8Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
獅
west West Maegashira 14
Shishi
 53%
錦
east East Maegashira 13
Nishikifuji
 47%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 53% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shishi 1 - 2 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2328 — 2311
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Shishi See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Nishikifuji Okuridashi
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 11Day Nishikifuji Uwatenage
・
▲ Close bout
大
west East Maegashira 16
Daiseizan
 44%
朝
east East Maegashira 12
Asahakuryu
 56%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daiseizan 52% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Daiseizan (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daiseizan 1 - 1 Asahakuryu
Strength index 2205 — 2247
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Daiseizan See Asahakuryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Daiseizan Yorikiri of
2024 Hatsu Basho 4Day Asahakuryu Uwatedashinage
・
○ Advantage
金
west East Maegashira 14
Kinbozan
 38%
若
east East Maegashira 11
Wakanosho
 62%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Wakanosho 51%

Okamisan picks Wakanosho (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 0 - 1 Wakanosho
Strength index 2293 — 2355
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Kinbozan See Wakanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 14Day Wakanosho Okuridashi
・
◎ High confidence
御
west West Maegashira 11
Mitakeumi
 28%
朝
east East Maegashira 10
Asanoyama
 72%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 82%

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Mitakeumi 6 - 8 Asanoyama
Strength index 2241 — 2398
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 7 wins, 5 losses
See Mitakeumi See Asanoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Asanoyama Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 3Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2023 Aki Basho 13Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2021 Natsu Basho 10Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2021 Haru Basho 12Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
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○ Advantage
千
west West Maegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
 31%
藤
east East Maegashira 9
Fujiryoga
 69%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 74%

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 0 - 1 Fujiryoga
Strength index 2269 — 2403
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Fujiryoga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Fujiryoga Oshitaoshi of
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▲ Close bout
翔
west West Maegashira 9
Tobizaru
 42%
若
east East Maegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
 58%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Tobizaru 51% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Tobizaru (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 9 - 13 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2295 — 2360
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Tobizaru See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 9Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 5Day Wakamotoharu Tsukidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 12Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
狼
west West Maegashira 8
Roga
 33%
琴
east East Maegashira 7
Kotoeiho
 67%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 82%

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 1 - 1 Kotoeiho
Strength index 2286 — 2408
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Roga See Kotoeiho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Kotoeiho Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 11Day Roga Shitatenage
・
○ Advantage
高
west West Maegashira 7
Takayasu
 68%
正
east East Maegashira 6
Shodai
 32%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Shodai 51% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Shodai (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takayasu 9 - 19 Shodai
Strength index 2499 — 2335
Previous basho 2 wins, 2 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Takayasu See Shodai
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Haru Basho 4Day Shodai Oshidashi
2022 Kyushu Basho 2Day Shodai Yorikiri of
2022 Natsu Basho 4Day Shodai Oshidashi
2022 Haru Basho 14Day Shodai Sukuinage of
2021 Kyushu Basho 10Day Shodai Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
欧
west West Maegashira 5
Oshoma
 29%
大
east East Maegashira 4
Daieisho
 71%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 82%

Okamisan picks Daieisho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoma 1 - 2 Daieisho
Strength index 2305 — 2486
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Oshoma See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 13Day Daieisho Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
美
west West Maegashira 2
Churanoumi
 45%
一
east West Maegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
 55%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Ichiyamamoto 63%

Okamisan picks Ichiyamamoto (63%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 6 - 9 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2372 — 2398
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Churanoumi See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Churanoumi Okuridashi
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Ichiyamamoto Uwatenage
2025 Hatsu Basho 8Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 6Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 6Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
王
west West Komusubi
Oho
 54%
豪
east East Maegashira 2
Gonoyama
 46%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Gonoyama 53% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Gonoyama (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oho 2 - 4 Gonoyama
Strength index 2458 — 2407
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Oho See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Oho Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Oho Hatakikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 10Day Gonoyama Oshitaoshi of
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2024 Natsu Basho 11Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
隆
west West Maegashira 1
Takanosho
 36%
義
east East Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
 64%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 62%

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 2 - 2 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2432 — 2549
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Takanosho See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Yoshinofuji Kubinage
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Yoshinofuji Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 9Day Takanosho Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
安
west West Sekiwake
Aonishiki
 71%
藤
east East Maegashira 1
Fujinokawa
 29%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 82%

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 2 - 0 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2620 — 2463
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Aonishiki See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Aonishiki Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Aonishiki Kirikaeshi
・
▲ Close bout
琴
west West Ozeki
Kotozakura
 44%
熱
east East Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 56%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 74%

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 8 - 3 Atamifuji
Strength index 2469 — 2519
Previous basho 3 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Kotozakura See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Kotozakura Katasukashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 13Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 6Day Atamifuji Kimedashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 7Day Kotozakura Uwatenage
・
○ Advantage
琴
west West Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
 29%
霧
east East Ozeki
Kirishima
 71%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82%

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 1 - 2 Kirishima
Strength index 2456 — 2643
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Kotoshoho See Kirishima
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Kirishima Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Kotoshoho Uwatenage
2024 Aki Basho 7Day Kirishima Yoritaoshi of
Kinboshi Naruka
▲ Close bout
大
west West Yokozuna
Onosato
 55%
伯
east West Maegashira 3
Hakunofuji
 45%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 65% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 2 - 3 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2565 — 2507
Previous basho 0 wins, 4 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Onosato See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Onosato Yoritaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Hakunofuji Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Onosato Hatakikomi
Kinboshi Naruka
◎ High confidence
平
west East Maegashira 3
Hiradoumi
 25%
豊
east East Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
 75%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 82%

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 1 - 11 Hoshoryu
Strength index 2408 — 2619
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 0 wins, 2 losses
See Hiradoumi See Hoshoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Hoshoryu Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Hoshoryu Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Hoshoryu Sukuinage of
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Hoshoryu Kotenage
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Hiradoumi Tsukiotoshi
🧐
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