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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

12Day Results This day Oyakata 45%(9/20) Okamisan 50%(10/20)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

12Day Makuuchi bout results

🏆Championship battle(At the end of 12 days)

Oyakata results 9/20 45%
Okamisan results 10/20 50%
Most popular
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
56%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
●Loss
44%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButTottariDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 55% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kirishima (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 0 - 10 Onosato
Strength index 2649 — 2568
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Kirishima See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Onosato Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 11Day Onosato Uwatehineri
2025 Haru Basho 2Day Onosato Oshidashi
Most popular
Miss ○ Advantage
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
●Loss
66%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
○ Win
34%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kotozakura ButUwatedashinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 66% Miss

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (66%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 16 - 11 Kotozakura
Strength index 2613 — 2476
Previous basho 0 wins, 2 losses — 3 wins, 9 losses
See Hoshoryu See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Kotozakura Sotogake
2026 Hatsu Basho 14Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 13Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
・
Miss ◎ High confidence
Cheap
east Sekiwake
Aonishiki
●Loss
78%
Koto
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
○ Win
22%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kotoshoho ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 1 - 2 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2666 — 2434
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Aonishiki See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Kotoshoho Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Kotoshoho Tsukiotoshi
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Aonishiki Uwatedashinage
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
beauty
eastMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
○ Win
49%
king
west Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
51%
Data Oyakata Miss
Churanoumi ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Churanoumi 61% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Churanoumi (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 3 - 5 Oho
Strength index 2398 — 2412
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Churanoumi See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Oho Yoritaoshi of
2024 Nagoya Basho 11Day Churanoumi Yorikiri of
2023 Kyushu Basho 14Day Oho Kimedashi
2021 Kyushu Basho 7Day Oho Yorikiri of
2021 Natsu Basho 8Day Oho Oshidashi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
righteousness
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
●Loss
71%
flat
westMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
○ Win
29%
Data Oyakata Miss
Hiradoumi ButOkuridashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 4 - 0 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2518 — 2368
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 11Day Yoshinofuji Shitatenage
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Yoshinofuji Sukuinage of
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 11Day Yoshinofuji Tsukidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Haku
eastMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
●Loss
59%
Takashi
westMaegashira 1
Takanosho
○ Win
41%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takanosho ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takanosho 52% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takanosho (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 1 - 0 Takanosho
Strength index 2498 — 2448
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Hakunofuji See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
○ Win
54%
Australia
westMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
●Loss
46%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujinokawa ButSukuinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 79% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは私も素直に見てCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 3 - 0 Gonoyama
Strength index 2454 — 2429
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Fujinokawa See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 6Day Fujinokawa Oshitaoshi of
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Fujinokawa Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Fujinokawa Yoritaoshi of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
○ Win
46%
One
westMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
54%
Data Oyakata Miss
Wakamotoharu ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Wakamotoharu 65% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Wakamotoharu (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この流れ、ちゃんと見えていましたよ。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 10 - 4 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2362 — 2399
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Ichiyamamoto Okuritaoshi
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Wakamotoharu Tsukiotoshi
2025 Natsu Basho 15Day Wakamotoharu Katasukashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
○ Win
60%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
●Loss
40%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Daieisho ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiseiun 51% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Fujiseiun (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2454 — 2349
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Daieisho See Fujiseiun
・
Miss ○ Advantage
thousand
eastMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
○ Win
39%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
●Loss
61%
Data Oyakata Miss
Chiyoshoma ButShitatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Oshoma 79% Miss

Okamisan picks Oshoma (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは読みが甘かったです。次の一番で取り返しましょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 1 - 2 Oshoma
Strength index 2250 — 2343
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Oshoma Uwatenage
2025 Natsu Basho 1Day Oshoma Okuridashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 1Day Chiyoshoma Shitatenage
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 5
Ura
●Loss
58%
wolf
westMaegashira 8
Roga
○ Win
42%
Data Oyakata Miss
Roga ButYoritaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ura 67% Miss

Okamisan picks Ura (67%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 2 - 0 Roga
Strength index 2370 — 2303
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Ura See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Ura Shitatenage
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Ura Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 6
Shodai
●Loss
52%
gold
westMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
○ Win
48%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kinbozan ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shodai 54% Miss

Okamisan picks Shodai (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 5 - 5 Kinbozan
Strength index 2313 — 2280
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Shodai See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 1Day Shodai Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Shodai Yoritaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 3Day Kinbozan Oshidashi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Respect
eastMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
○ Win
38%
high
westMaegashira 7
Takayasu
●Loss
62%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takerufuji ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 61% Miss

Okamisan picks Takayasu (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 0 - 1 Takayasu
Strength index 2365 — 2510
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 2 wins, 2 losses
See Takerufuji See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Takayasu Uwatenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Ah
eastMaegashira 15
Onokatsu
●Loss
44%
Sho
westMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
○ Win
56%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Tobizaru ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onokatsu 55% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Onokatsu (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onokatsu 2 - 1 Tobizaru
Strength index 2210 — 2274
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Onokatsu See Tobizaru
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 14Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
○ Win
61%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
●Loss
39%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujiryoga ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 64% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiryoga 0 - 1 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2403 — 2327
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Fujiryoga See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Nishikifuji Oshitaoshi of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
●Loss
59%
lion
westMaegashira 14
Shishi
○ Win
41%
Data Oyakata Miss
Shishi ButShitatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 73% Miss

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは読みが甘かったです。次の一番で取り返しましょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 3 - 0 Shishi
Strength index 2410 — 2338
Previous basho 7 wins, 5 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Asanoyama See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Asanoyama Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Asanoyama Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Asanoyama Sukuinage of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
○ Win
54%
God
westMaegashira 11
Mitakeumi
●Loss
46%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Daiseizan ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daiseizan 54% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Daiseizan (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daiseizan 0 - 2 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2234 — 2223
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Daiseizan See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Mitakeumi Hatakikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Mitakeumi Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 16
Asakoryu
○ Win
52%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
●Loss
48%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asakoryu ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asakoryu 72% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asakoryu (72%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asakoryu 1 - 1 Abi
Strength index 2313 — 2300
Previous basho 3 wins, 4 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Asakoryu See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 6Day Abi Tsukidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
○ Win
51%
One
westMaegashira 15
Kazuma
●Loss
49%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asahakuryu ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asahakuryu 64% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asahakuryu (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2245 — 2227
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Asahakuryu See Kazuma
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