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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

Day 1 Results This day Oyakata 76%(16/21) Okamisan 65%(13/20)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

Makuuchi bout results on Day 1

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 1 day)

Oyakata results 16/21 76%
Okamisan results 13/20 65%
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Large
eastMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
○ Win
33%
One
westMaegashira 15
Kazuma
●Loss
67%
Data Oyakata Miss
Daiseizan ButShitatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kazuma 77% Miss

Okamisan picks Kazuma (77%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:Day 1はLossてしまいましたが、ここから取り返しますよ。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daiseizan 0 - 1 Kazuma
Strength index 2215 — 2325
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Daiseizan See Kazuma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Kazuma Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Ah
eastMaegashira 15
Onokatsu
●Loss
53%
lion
westMaegashira 14
Shishi
○ Win
47%
Data Oyakata Miss
Shishi ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 51% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Shishi (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onokatsu 1 - 1 Shishi
Strength index 2288 — 2265
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Onokatsu See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 5Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 3Day Onokatsu Uwatenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
gold
eastMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
●Loss
46%
Respect
westMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
○ Win
54%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takerufuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 70% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (70%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 1 - 1 Takerufuji
Strength index 2269 — 2288
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Kinbozan See Takerufuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 2Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Kinbozan Kotenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
●Loss
45%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
○ Win
55%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Abi ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 53% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:Day 1はLossてしまいましたが、ここから取り返しますよ。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 2 - 5 Abi
Strength index 2273 — 2315
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Nishikifuji See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Abi Hatakikomi
2026 Haru Basho 15Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 3Day Abi Uwatedashinage
2023 Natsu Basho 13Day Abi Oshitaoshi of
2022 Kyushu Basho 9Day Nishikifuji Tsukiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
○ Win
49%
God
westMaegashira 11
Mitakeumi
●Loss
51%
Data Oyakata Miss
Asahakuryu ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Mitakeumi 73% Miss

Okamisan picks Mitakeumi (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asahakuryu 0 - 2 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2267 — 2293
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Asahakuryu See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Mitakeumi Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Mitakeumi Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 11
Wakanosho
○ Win
56%
thousand
westMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
44%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakanosho ButTsukidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Wakanosho 79% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Wakanosho (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2307 — 2282
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Wakanosho See Chiyoshoma
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
morning
eastMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
○ Win
63%
Sho
westMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
●Loss
37%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asanoyama ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 72% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (72%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 4 - 2 Tobizaru
Strength index 2391 — 2310
Previous basho 7 wins, 5 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Asanoyama See Tobizaru
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 11Day Tobizaru Hikiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Tobizaru Isamiashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2023 Aki Basho 12Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2023 Nagoya Basho 12Day Asanoyama Sukuinage of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
○ Win
62%
wolf
westMaegashira 8
Roga
●Loss
38%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujiryoga ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Roga 65% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Roga (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:Day 1はLossてしまいましたが、ここから取り返しますよ。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiryoga 0 - 2 Roga
Strength index 2369 — 2294
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Fujiryoga See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 7Day Roga Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Roga Uwatenage
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
young
eastMaegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
38%
high
westMaegashira 7
Takayasu
○ Win
62%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takayasu ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takayasu (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 2 - 12 Takayasu
Strength index 2381 — 2484
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 2 wins, 2 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Takayasu Tsukiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 5Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Takayasu Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 13Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
●Loss
54%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
○ Win
46%
Data Oyakata Miss
Fujiseiun ButSotogakeDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 53% Miss

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoeiho 3 - 3 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2358 — 2335
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kotoeiho See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Kotoeiho Yoritaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 1Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Kotoeiho Hikiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 8Day Fujiseiun Kirikaeshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 6
Shodai
●Loss
47%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
○ Win
53%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Oshoma ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Oshoma 72% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Oshoma (72%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:Day 1はまず一つ、読みどおりです。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 2 - 8 Oshoma
Strength index 2328 — 2339
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Shodai See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 7Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Shodai Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 3Day Oshoma Tsukidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Oshoma Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 5
Ura
●Loss
48%
One
westMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
○ Win
52%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Ichiyamamoto ButHikiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ura 52% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Ura (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 8 - 4 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2389 — 2402
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Ura See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Ichiyamamoto Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Ura Oshitaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Ura Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 4Day Ichiyamamoto Oshitaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 1Day Ichiyamamoto Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
●Loss
49%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
○ Win
51%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hakunofuji ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 62% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Daieisho (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:Day 1はLossてしまいましたが、ここから取り返しますよ。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 2 - 0 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2454 — 2456
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Daieisho See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 10Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
flat
eastMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
●Loss
28%
Cheap
west Sekiwake
Aonishiki
○ Win
72%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは私も素直に見てCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 0 - 3 Aonishiki
Strength index 2427 — 2596
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Hiradoumi See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Aonishiki Uwatenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Aonishiki Yoritaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Aonishiki Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
beauty
eastMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
●Loss
38%
Koto
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
○ Win
62%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotoshoho ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotoshoho 76% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kotoshoho (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 5 - 10 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2388 — 2461
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Churanoumi See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 15Day Kotoshoho Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 10Day Kotoshoho Sukuinage of
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
○ Win
63%
Australia
westMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
●Loss
37%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Atamifuji ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 6 - 3 Gonoyama
Strength index 2513 — 2402
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Atamifuji See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 13Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 8Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 14Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Takashi
eastMaegashira 1
Takanosho
●Loss
43%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
○ Win
57%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotozakura ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotozakura 53% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kotozakura (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 5 - 11 Kotozakura
Strength index 2432 — 2470
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 3 wins, 9 losses
See Takanosho See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 3Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Kotozakura Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Takanosho Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
71%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
●Loss
29%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 2 - 0 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2634 — 2443
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kirishima See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 3Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Kirishima Uwatenage
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
righteousness
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
○ Win
45%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
●Loss
55%
Data Oyakata Miss
Yoshinofuji ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 82% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 3 - 0 Onosato
Strength index 2550 — 2594
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Yoshinofuji のFusensho
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Yoshinofuji Uwatenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
○ Win
67%
king
west Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
33%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hoshoryu ButWatashikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hoshoryu 62% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hoshoryu (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 8 - 7 Oho
Strength index 2629 — 2482
Previous basho 0 wins, 2 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Hoshoryu See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Hoshoryu Yoritaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Hoshoryu Uwatedashinage
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Hoshoryu Yoritaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 6Day Hoshoryu Shitatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 5Day Oho のFusenpai
🧐
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