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2026 Nagoya Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

3Day Results This day Oyakata 52%(11/21) Okamisan 57%(12/21)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Nagoya Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

3Day Makuuchi bout results

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 3 days)

Oyakata results 11/21 52%
Okamisan results 12/21 57%
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Ah
eastMaegashira 15
Onokatsu
●Loss
45%
morning
westMaegashira 16
Asakoryu
○ Win
55%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asakoryu ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asakoryu 62% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asakoryu (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onokatsu 3 - 2 Asakoryu
Strength index 2259 — 2314
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 3 wins, 4 losses
See Onokatsu See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
2025 Haru Basho 8Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 8Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 7Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2024 Natsu Basho 15Day Onokatsu Okuritaoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 16
Daiseizan
●Loss
45%
lion
westMaegashira 14
Shishi
○ Win
55%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Shishi ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 70% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Shishi (70%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daiseizan 1 - 0 Shishi
Strength index 2220 — 2289
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Daiseizan See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Daiseizan Uwatenage
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 13
Nishikifuji
○ Win
50%
gold
westMaegashira 14
Kinbozan
●Loss
50%
Data Oyakata Miss
Nishikifuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 70% Miss

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (70%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 3 - 5 Kinbozan
Strength index 2274 — 2270
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Nishikifuji See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Kinbozan Uwatenage
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Kinbozan Hikiotoshi
2025 Hatsu Basho 5Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 7Day Nishikifuji Oshitaoshi of
2023 Aki Basho 11Day Kinbozan Tsukidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Respect
eastMaegashira 13
Takerufuji
○ Win
47%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
●Loss
53%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takerufuji ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Abi 65% Miss

Okamisan picks Abi (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 2 - 2 Abi
Strength index 2287 — 2332
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Takerufuji See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Abi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Hatsu Basho 13Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 13Day Abi Hatakikomi
2024 Haru Basho 9Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 11
Wakanosho
○ Win
58%
morning
westMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
●Loss
42%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakanosho ButOkuridashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Wakanosho 81% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Wakanosho (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakanosho 2 - 3 Asahakuryu
Strength index 2336 — 2267
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Wakanosho See Asahakuryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 15Day Wakanosho Tsukiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 6Day Wakanosho Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 8Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 2Day Asahakuryu Oshidashi
2023 Aki Basho 4Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
God
eastMaegashira 11
Mitakeumi
●Loss
51%
thousand
westMaegashira 10
Chiyoshoma
○ Win
49%
Data Oyakata Miss
Chiyoshoma ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Mitakeumi 63% Miss

Okamisan picks Mitakeumi (63%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Mitakeumi 2 - 3 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2274 — 2265
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Mitakeumi See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 14Day Mitakeumi Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Chiyoshoma Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Mitakeumi Hatakikomi
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 6Day Chiyoshoma Uwatenage
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 9
Fujiryoga
○ Win
46%
morning
westMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
●Loss
54%
Data Oyakata Miss
Fujiryoga ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 73% Miss

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、これは外れました。相撲は最後までわかりませんね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiryoga 0 - 3 Asanoyama
Strength index 2364 — 2387
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 5 losses
See Fujiryoga See Asanoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 11Day Asanoyama Uwatedashinage
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Sho
eastMaegashira 9
Tobizaru
●Loss
53%
wolf
westMaegashira 8
Roga
○ Win
47%
Data Oyakata Miss
Roga ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Tobizaru 70% Miss

Okamisan picks Tobizaru (70%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 4 - 3 Roga
Strength index 2311 — 2281
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Tobizaru See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Tobizaru Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Roga Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Roga Uwatenage
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Tobizaru Hikiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 7
Kotoeiho
○ Win
50%
young
westMaegashira 8
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
50%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kotoeiho ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 54% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2356 — 2384
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Kotoeiho See Wakamotoharu
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 5
Ura
●Loss
58%
Positive
westMaegashira 6
Shodai
○ Win
42%
Data Oyakata Miss
Shodai ButYoritaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ura 60% Miss

Okamisan picks Ura (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 10 - 8 Shodai
Strength index 2372 — 2310
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Ura See Shodai
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Ura Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Shodai Uwatenage
2025 Haru Basho 6Day Shodai Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 1Day Ura Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 10Day Shodai Oshitaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Europe
eastMaegashira 5
Oshoma
●Loss
42%
One
westMaegashira 4
Ichiyamamoto
○ Win
58%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Ichiyamamoto ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ichiyamamoto 51% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Ichiyamamoto (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは私も素直に見てCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoma 4 - 5 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2339 — 2403
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Oshoma See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Oshoma Shitatenage
2025 Aki Basho 6Day Oshoma Hatakikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Ichiyamamoto Oshitaoshi of
2024 Aki Basho 1Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
flat
eastMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
●Loss
46%
Large
westMaegashira 4
Daieisho
○ Win
54%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Daieisho ButHikiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 52% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 4 - 7 Daieisho
Strength index 2414 — 2452
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Hiradoumi See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 6Day Hiradoumi Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 14Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 7Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
righteousness
east Komusubi
Yoshinofuji
●Loss
58%
Koto
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
○ Win
42%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kotoshoho ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 51% Miss

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 2 - 2 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2548 — 2476
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Yoshinofuji Sukuinage of
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Kotoshoho Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Yoshinofuji Abisetaoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Kotoshoho Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
○ Win
58%
king
west Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
42%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Atamifuji ButUwatedashinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 73% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 3 - 6 Oho
Strength index 2528 — 2470
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Atamifuji See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 3Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Oho Katasukashi
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Oho Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Oho Katasukashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 13Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Haku
eastMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
●Loss
32%
Cheap
west Sekiwake
Aonishiki
○ Win
68%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 77% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (77%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 0 - 5 Aonishiki
Strength index 2479 — 2610
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Hakunofuji See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Aonishiki Shitatenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Aonishiki Kubinage
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 13Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 11Day Aonishiki Hatakikomi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
beauty
eastMaegashira 2
Churanoumi
○ Win
35%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
●Loss
65%
Data Oyakata Miss
Churanoumi ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotozakura 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Kotozakura (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 2 - 5 Kotozakura
Strength index 2376 — 2490
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 3 wins, 9 losses
See Churanoumi See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Churanoumi のFusensho
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Kotozakura Sukuinage of
2024 Kyushu Basho 8Day Kotozakura Uwatehineri
2021 Hatsu Basho 3Day Kotozakura Tsukiotoshi
2020 Aki Basho 11Day Kotozakura Uwatedashinage
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
78%
Australia
westMaegashira 2
Gonoyama
●Loss
22%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 5 - 5 Gonoyama
Strength index 2644 — 2385
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Kirishima See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Kirishima Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Kirishima Uwatedashinage
2025 Natsu Basho 1Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 9Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Takashi
eastMaegashira 1
Takanosho
●Loss
31%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
69%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 63% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Onosato (63%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 3 - 5 Onosato
Strength index 2419 — 2562
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 0 wins, 4 losses
See Takanosho See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 5Day Onosato Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Takanosho Hikiotoshi
2025 Haru Basho 6Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 3Day Onosato Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 11Day Takanosho Oshidashi
★ Kinboshi
Miss ○ Advantage
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
●Loss
68%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
○ Win
32%
Data Oyakata Miss
Fujinokawa ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 55% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日はこの読みで合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 0 - 2 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2639 — 2455
Previous basho 0 wins, 2 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Hoshoryu See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Fujinokawa のFusenpai
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Fujinokawa Hatakikomi
🧐
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