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2026 Natsu Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

6Day Results This day Oyakata 42%(8/19)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Natsu Basho ▼
eastwest

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6Day Makuuchi bout results

Results for this Basho

Special prizes

Oyakata results 8/19 42%
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
73%
king
westMaegashira 3
Oho
●Loss
27%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 7 - 4 Oho
Strength index 2648 — 2437
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kirishima See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Kirishima Yoritaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 5Day Oho Hatakikomi
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Kirishima Oshitaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Koto
east Ozeki
Kotozakura
●Loss
62%
flat
westMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
○ Win
38%
Data Oyakata Miss
Hiradoumi ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 9 - 2 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2537 — 2429
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kotozakura See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Kotozakura Sukuinage of
2025 Aki Basho 6Day Kotozakura Kotenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Kotozakura Sukuinage of
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Kotozakura Hikiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
●Loss
59%
Australia
westMaegashira 4
Gonoyama
○ Win
41%
Data Oyakata Miss
Gonoyama ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 6 - 2 Gonoyama
Strength index 2500 — 2414
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Atamifuji See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 13Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 8Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 14Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2024 Natsu Basho 6Day Gonoyama Tsukiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
●Loss
54%
Koto
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
○ Win
46%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kotoshoho ButOshidashiDeWin
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Head-to-head Daieisho 3 - 3 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2455 — 2420
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Daieisho See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Kotoshoho Hikiotoshi
2024 Natsu Basho 15Day Daieisho Hikiotoshi
2023 Natsu Basho 10Day Kotoshoho Fusen of
2023 Hatsu Basho 14Day Kotoshoho Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
righteousness
eastMaegashira 2
Yoshinofuji
○ Win
55%
Takashi
westMaegashira 1
Takanosho
●Loss
45%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Yoshinofuji ButKubinageDeWin
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Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 1 - 2 Takanosho
Strength index 2475 — 2459
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Yoshinofuji Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 9Day Takanosho Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 5
Wakamotoharu
○ Win
49%
One
westMaegashira 2
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
51%
Data Oyakata Miss
Wakamotoharu ButOshidashiDeWin
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Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 9 - 4 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2395 — 2409
Previous basho 3 wins, 12 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Ichiyamamoto Okuritaoshi
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Wakamotoharu Tsukiotoshi
2025 Natsu Basho 15Day Wakamotoharu Katasukashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 13Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
thousand
eastMaegashira 7
Chiyoshoma
○ Win
37%
Ah
westMaegashira 9
Abi
●Loss
63%
Data Oyakata Miss
Chiyoshoma ButHatakikomiDeWin
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Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 3 - 5 Abi
Strength index 2303 — 2375
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 4 wins, 6 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 5Day Abi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
2022 Kyushu Basho 2Day Abi Oshidashi
2022 Hatsu Basho 2Day Abi Oshidashi
2019 Hatsu Basho 8Day Abi Tsukidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
gold
eastMaegashira 11
Kinbozan
○ Win
51%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 9
Nishikifuji
●Loss
49%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kinbozan ButUwatenageDeWin
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Head-to-head Kinbozan 4 - 3 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2294 — 2297
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Kinbozan See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Kinbozan Hikiotoshi
2025 Hatsu Basho 5Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 7Day Nishikifuji Oshitaoshi of
2023 Aki Basho 11Day Kinbozan Tsukidashi
2023 Nagoya Basho 5Day Kinbozan Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Haku
eastMaegashira 10
Hakunofuji
○ Win
68%
time
westMaegashira 12
Tokihayate
●Loss
32%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hakunofuji ButYorikiriDeWin
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Head-to-head Hakunofuji 2 - 3 Tokihayate
Strength index 2395 — 2239
Previous basho 5 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Hakunofuji See Tokihayate
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Tokihayate Uwatenage
2025 Natsu Basho 15Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 2Day Hakunofuji Shitatenage
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Tokihayate Uwatedashinage
2023 Hatsu Basho 9Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
God
eastMaegashira 14
Mitakeumi
○ Win
48%
Europe
westMaegashira 15
Oshoumi
●Loss
52%
Data Oyakata Miss
Mitakeumi ButSukuinageDeWin
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Head-to-head Mitakeumi 2 - 2 Oshoumi
Strength index 2271 — 2233
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Mitakeumi See Oshoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Mitakeumi Tsukiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 6Day Oshoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Mitakeumi Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 15Day Oshoumi Yorikiri of
・
Miss ○ Advantage
wolf
eastMaegashira 14
Roga
●Loss
64%
dragon
westMaegashira 16
Ryuden
○ Win
36%
Data Oyakata Miss
Ryuden ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 6 - 1 Ryuden
Strength index 2268 — 2200
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Roga See Ryuden
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Roga Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Roga Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 13Day Roga Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 8Day Roga Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 10Day Ryuden Yorikiri of
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