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2026 Natsu Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

11Day Results This day Oyakata 47%(9/19)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Natsu Basho ▼
eastwest

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11Day Makuuchi bout results

Results for this Basho

Special prizes

Oyakata results 9/19 47%
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Koto
east Ozeki
Kotozakura
●Loss
67%
Positive
westMaegashira 5
Shodai
○ Win
33%
Data Oyakata Miss
Shodai ButOkuridashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 10 - 5 Shodai
Strength index 2496 — 2327
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Kotozakura See Shodai
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Hatsu Basho 5Day Shodai Yoritaoshi of
2024 Kyushu Basho 1Day Kotozakura Tsukiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 8Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2023 Kyushu Basho 8Day Shodai Yorikiri of
2023 Aki Basho 1Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
57%
young
west Komusubi
Wakatakakage
●Loss
43%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 13 - 10 Wakatakakage
Strength index 2628 — 2571
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Kirishima See Wakatakakage
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 1Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Kirishima Sukuinage of
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Wakatakakage Yorikiri of
・
Miss ○ Advantage
beauty
eastMaegashira 6
Churanoumi
○ Win
33%
fever
west Sekiwake
Atamifuji
●Loss
67%
Data Oyakata Miss
Churanoumi ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 2 - 10 Atamifuji
Strength index 2371 — 2500
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Churanoumi See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Churanoumi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 15Day Atamifuji Kimedashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
○ Win
52%
Takashi
westMaegashira 1
Takanosho
●Loss
48%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Daieisho ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 12 - 10 Takanosho
Strength index 2451 — 2431
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Daieisho See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 8Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 8Day Daieisho Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 14Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 7Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
flat
eastMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
●Loss
31%
righteousness
westMaegashira 2
Yoshinofuji
○ Win
69%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Yoshinofuji ButShitatenageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 0 - 3 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2421 — 2540
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Hiradoumi See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Yoshinofuji Sukuinage of
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 11Day Yoshinofuji Tsukidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Australia
eastMaegashira 4
Gonoyama
●Loss
53%
One
westMaegashira 2
Ichiyamamoto
○ Win
47%
Data Oyakata Miss
Ichiyamamoto ButHikiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 1 - 4 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2461 — 2410
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Gonoyama See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 9Day Ichiyamamoto Hikiotoshi
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Ichiyamamoto Hikiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 5Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 8Day Ichiyamamoto Hikiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
thousand
eastMaegashira 7
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
41%
young
westMaegashira 5
Wakamotoharu
○ Win
59%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakamotoharu ButOshitaoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 2 - 3 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2300 — 2379
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 3 wins, 12 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 8Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 14Day Wakamotoharu Tsukiotoshi
2022 Haru Basho 7Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2020 Aki Basho 2Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
2020 Haru Basho 15Day Chiyoshoma Uwatenage
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 9
Nishikifuji
●Loss
62%
dragon
westMaegashira 16
Ryuden
○ Win
38%
Data Oyakata Miss
Ryuden ButOkuridashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 4 - 8 Ryuden
Strength index 2286 — 2218
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Nishikifuji See Ryuden
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 6Day Ryuden Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Nishikifuji Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 2Day Ryuden のFusenpai
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Ryuden Okuridashi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Sho
eastMaegashira 15
Tobizaru
○ Win
30%
morning
westMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
●Loss
70%
Data Oyakata Miss
Tobizaru ButHikiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 1 - 4 Asanoyama
Strength index 2323 — 2415
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Tobizaru See Asanoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Tobizaru Isamiashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2023 Aki Basho 12Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2023 Nagoya Basho 12Day Asanoyama Sukuinage of
2021 Natsu Basho 5Day Asanoyama Uwatenage
・
Miss ○ Advantage
gold
eastMaegashira 11
Kinbozan
●Loss
60%
ball
westMaegashira 13
Tamawashi
○ Win
40%
Data Oyakata Miss
Tamawashi ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 7 - 4 Tamawashi
Strength index 2298 — 2256
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Kinbozan See Tamawashi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 5Day Kinbozan Tsukidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 8Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 9Day Kinbozan Hatakikomi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
lion
eastMaegashira 12
Shishi
●Loss
53%
Europe
westMaegashira 15
Oshoumi
○ Win
47%
Data Oyakata Miss
Oshoumi ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shishi 4 - 3 Oshoumi
Strength index 2250 — 2208
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Shishi See Oshoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Shishi Yoritaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 5Day Oshoumi Shitatenage
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Oshoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2024 Haru Basho 10Day Oshoumi Yorikiri of
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