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2026 Natsu Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

4Day Results This day Oyakata 60%(12/20)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Natsu Basho ▼
eastwest

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4Day Makuuchi bout results

Results for this Basho

Special prizes

Oyakata results 12/20 60%
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
73%
One
westMaegashira 2
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
27%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButHatakikomiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 4 - 4 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2639 — 2399
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Kirishima See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 6Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Kirishima Hatakikomi
2025 Haru Basho 13Day Kirishima Shitatenage
2019 Kyushu Basho 2Day Ichiyamamoto Fusen of
2019 Aki Basho 9Day Ichiyamamoto Hikiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Koto
east Ozeki
Kotozakura
○ Win
59%
righteousness
westMaegashira 2
Yoshinofuji
●Loss
41%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotozakura ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 3 - 0 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2543 — 2471
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kotozakura See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Kotozakura Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 1Day Kotozakura Okuridashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Kotozakura Hatakikomi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
●Loss
60%
Takashi
westMaegashira 1
Takanosho
○ Win
40%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takanosho ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 5 - 3 Takanosho
Strength index 2502 — 2436
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Atamifuji See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 3Day Atamifuji Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 11Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 6Day Takanosho Hikiotoshi
2024 Natsu Basho 15Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 1
Fujinokawa
○ Win
64%
Koto
west Sekiwake
Kotoshoho
●Loss
36%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujinokawa ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
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Head-to-head Fujinokawa 3 - 0 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2483 — 2417
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Fujinokawa See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Fujinokawa Oshitaoshi of
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Fujinokawa Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 4Day Fujinokawa Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
●Loss
39%
young
west Komusubi
Wakatakakage
○ Win
61%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakatakakage ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 9 - 10 Wakatakakage
Strength index 2471 — 2562
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Daieisho See Wakatakakage
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Daieisho のFusensho
2026 Hatsu Basho 14Day Wakatakakage Hikiotoshi
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Wakatakakage Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 3Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2025 Hatsu Basho 5Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
king
eastMaegashira 3
Oho
○ Win
39%
high
west Komusubi
Takayasu
●Loss
61%
Data Oyakata Miss
Oho ButFusenpai✦ Rare techniqueDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oho 2 - 8 Takayasu
Strength index 2436 — 2495
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Oho See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Oho Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Takayasu Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Oho Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 10Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
flat
eastMaegashira 3
Hiradoumi
●Loss
56%
Australia
westMaegashira 4
Gonoyama
○ Win
44%
Data Oyakata Miss
Gonoyama ButHikiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 7 - 2 Gonoyama
Strength index 2445 — 2394
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Hiradoumi See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Hiradoumi Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Gonoyama Tsukiotoshi
2025 Hatsu Basho 4Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 5
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
59%
beauty
westMaegashira 6
Churanoumi
○ Win
41%
Data Oyakata Miss
Churanoumi ButOshidashiDeWin
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Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 7 - 1 Churanoumi
Strength index 2417 — 2360
Previous basho 3 wins, 12 losses — 4 wins, 11 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Wakamotoharu Kotenage
2024 Kyushu Basho 13Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2021 Natsu Basho 1Day Wakamotoharu Tsukidashi
2021 Haru Basho 2Day Wakamotoharu Hatakikomi
2020 Kyushu Basho 5Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
thousand
eastMaegashira 7
Chiyoshoma
○ Win
41%
Positive
westMaegashira 5
Shodai
●Loss
59%
Data Oyakata Miss
Chiyoshoma ButKatasukashiDeWin
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Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 1 - 8 Shodai
Strength index 2303 — 2321
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Shodai
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Nagoya Basho 13Day Shodai Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Chiyoshoma Katasukashi
2022 Hatsu Basho 15Day Shodai Kotenage
2021 Aki Basho 9Day Shodai Oshidashi
2018 Nagoya Basho 13Day Shodai Shitatedashinage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 7
Asakoryu
●Loss
48%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 6
Fujiseiun
○ Win
52%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujiseiun ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
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Head-to-head Asakoryu 1 - 3 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2338 — 2337
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Asakoryu See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 13Day Fujiseiun Sotogake
2024 Aki Basho 13Day Asakoryu Yorikiri of
2022 Hatsu Basho 3Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Europe
eastMaegashira 8
Oshoma
○ Win
49%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 9
Nishikifuji
●Loss
51%
Data Oyakata Miss
Oshoma ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoma 1 - 2 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2306 — 2315
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Oshoma See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Hatsu Basho 11Day Nishikifuji Oshitaoshi of
2024 Haru Basho 11Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 14Day Oshoma Hatakikomi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Ah
eastMaegashira 9
Abi
○ Win
40%
morning
westMaegashira 10
Asanoyama
●Loss
60%
Data Oyakata Miss
Abi ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Abi 5 - 10 Asanoyama
Strength index 2357 — 2402
Previous basho 4 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Abi See Asanoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Abi Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Asanoyama Hikiotoshi
2024 Haru Basho 13Day Asanoyama Tsukiotoshi
2023 Kyushu Basho 15Day Asanoyama Tsukiotoshi
2023 Aki Basho 7Day Asanoyama Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
time
eastMaegashira 12
Tokihayate
○ Win
49%
ball
westMaegashira 13
Tamawashi
●Loss
51%
Data Oyakata Miss
Tokihayate ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tokihayate 3 - 1 Tamawashi
Strength index 2237 — 2298
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Tokihayate See Tamawashi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 14Day Tokihayate Tsukiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 8Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2024 Natsu Basho 10Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
🧐
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