Data Oyakata
Grand Sumo Predictions
JP EN

2026 Aki Basho Makuuchi Kunio Win-loss predictions|Data Oyakata

Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
60%
24/40 bouts
Okamisan
57%
23/40 bouts
Day 1 Results This day Oyakata 55%(11/20) Okamisan 45%(9/20)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Aki Basho

Makuuchi bout results on Day 1

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 1 day)

Oyakata results 11/20 55%
Okamisan results 9/20 45%
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Dewanoryu ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shonannoumi 75% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Shonannoumi (75%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Shonannoumi 2 - 0 Dewanoryu
Strength index 21722178
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 0 wins, 1 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Shonannoumi Okuridashi
2021 Nagoya Basho 9Day Shonannoumi Uwatenage
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Asasuiryu ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asasuiryu 66% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asasuiryu (66%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:Day 1はまず一つ、読みどおりです。

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 22692262
Previous basho 1 wins, 0 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Asakoryu ButShitatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asakoryu 68% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asakoryu (68%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Asakoryu 3 - 1 Tobizaru
Strength index 23252278
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Asakoryu Tsukiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Asakoryu Oshitaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 12Day Asakoryu Kotenage
Miss ▲ Close bout
Asahakuryu ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Abi 66% Miss

Okamisan picks Abi (66%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Abi 2 - 0 Asahakuryu
Strength index 22922262
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 5 Day Abi Shitatedashinage
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Abi Oshidashi
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Wakamotoharu ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Wakamotoharu 61% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Wakamotoharu (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 5 - 8 Shodai
Strength index 23492286
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 6 Day Shodai Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 3Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 4Day Shodai Tsukiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 6Day Shodai Hikiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 4Day Shodai Sukuinage of
Miss ○ Advantage
Kinbozan ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Oho 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Oho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Oho 4 - 1 Kinbozan
Strength index 23982292
Previous basho 2 wins, 12 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Nagoya Basho 13Day Oho Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 9Day Oho Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 15Day Oho Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 5Day Oho Oshidashi
2023 Haru Basho 2Day Kinbozan Tsukidashi
Miss ▲ Close bout
Ura ButOkuritaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ura 59% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Ura (59%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ほら、ここは私の見立てでよかったでしょう。

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Ura 1 - 0 Shishi
Strength index 23572340
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Ura Shitatenage
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Takerufuji ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 56% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あらら、最後はrikishiの気迫が上 timesりましたか。

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Takerufuji 2 - 1 Hiradoumi
Strength index 23722402
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 1Day Takerufuji Tsukiotoshi
2025 Haru Basho 3Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Fujiseiun ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 65% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:これは悔しいですね。相性を見すぎたかもしれません。

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Fujiseiun 0 - 6 Nishikifuji
Strength index 23392323
Previous basho 7 wins, 7 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 13 Day Nishikifuji Uwatenage
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Nishikifuji Kotenage
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Nishikifuji Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 6Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Asanoyama ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 76% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Asanoyama 2 - 1 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 23962366
Previous basho 9 wins, 5 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Nagoya Basho 4Day Ichiyamamoto Oshitaoshi of
2024 Hatsu Basho 1Day Asanoyama Oshidashi
2023 Natsu Basho 7Day Asanoyama Oshidashi
Miss ▲ Close bout
Oshoma ButHikiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Roga 57% Miss

Okamisan picks Roga (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Roga 4 - 11 Oshoma
Strength index 23392331
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 9 Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 14Day Oshoma Shitatenage
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Roga Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Roga Uwatedashinage
2025 Aki Basho 11Day Oshoma Oshidashi
Miss ▲ Close bout
Takanosho ButOkuridashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 80% Miss

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Takanosho 0 - 1 Fujiryoga
Strength index 24402452
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 14 Day Fujiryoga Hatakikomi
Miss ○ Advantage
Churanoumi ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 5 - 1 Churanoumi
Strength index 24792412
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 14 Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2023 Natsu Basho 4Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
Miss ▲ Close bout
Fujinokawa ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 68% Miss

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (68%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 6 - 0 Fujinokawa
Strength index 24932460
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 7 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 8 Day Yoshinofuji Sotogake
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Yoshinofuji Uwatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 1Day Yoshinofuji Tsukiotoshi
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Atamifuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Atamifuji 7 - 3 Gonoyama
Strength index 25712416
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 1 Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 13Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 8Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 81% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Aonishiki 1 - 1 Kotoeiho
Strength index 26632425
Previous basho 12 wins, 2 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Kyushu Basho 8Day Aonishiki Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 4Day Kotoeiho Yorikiri of
Miss ▲ Close bout
Kotozakura ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 67% Miss

Okamisan picks Takayasu (67%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Takayasu 8 - 7 Kotozakura
Strength index 24962487
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Kotozakura Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Takayasu Uchimuso
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Takayasu Shitatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Takayasu Uwatedashinage
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Kirishima 3 - 1 Kotoshoho
Strength index 26542451
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 7 Day Kirishima Uwatenage
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Kirishima Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Kotoshoho Uwatenage
2024 Aki Basho 7Day Kirishima Yoritaoshi of
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 79% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Onosato (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Onosato 9 - 1 Daieisho
Strength index 25752478
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 10 Day Onosato Abisetaoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Onosato Hatakikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 14Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Onosato Hatakikomi
🧐
Is it true that “7 wins, 7 losses is strong on the final day”?——Data Insights
Analysis of 18 myths about sumo using data Read →