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2026 Aki Basho Makuuchi Kunio Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
59%
94/160 bouts
Okamisan
56%
89/160 bouts
明日・9 DayのWin-loss predictions
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
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Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
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Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Aki Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

9 DayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 9 days)

・
▲ Close bout
Sa
eastJuryo 5
Sadanoumi Koji
 45%
time
westMaegashira 15
Tokihayate
 55%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Sadanoumi Koji 72% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Sadanoumi Koji (72%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Sadanoumi Koji 4 - 3 Tokihayate
Strength index 2187 — 2232
Previous basho 1 wins, 0 losses — 0 wins, 1 losses
See Sadanoumi Koji See Tokihayate
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Tokihayate Sukuinage of
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Sadanoumi Koji Yoritaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 4Day Sadanoumi Koji Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 6Day Tokihayate Shitatedashinage
2025 Hatsu Basho 5Day Sadanoumi Koji Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
Xiang
eastMaegashira 17
Shonannoumi
 31%
Ah
westMaegashira 13
Abi
 69%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Abi 81%

Okamisan picks Abi (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shonannoumi 0 - 3 Abi
Strength index 2151 — 2309
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Shonannoumi See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Natsu Basho 12Day Abi Oshidashi
2024 Haru Basho 11Day Abi Oshidashi
2023 Kyushu Basho 13Day Abi Hikiotoshi
・
▲ Close bout
Sho
eastMaegashira 14
Tobizaru
 50%
Positive
westMaegashira 11
Shodai
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Shodai 71%

Okamisan picks Shodai (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 7 - 11 Shodai
Strength index 2257 — 2264
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
See Tobizaru See Shodai
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Shodai Sukuinage of
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Shodai Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 13Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 7Day Tobizaru Okuridashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 13Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
thousand
eastMaegashira 14
Chiyoshoma
 39%
gold
westMaegashira 10
Kinbozan
 61%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 71%

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 6 - 3 Kinbozan
Strength index 2261 — 2340
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 13 Day Kinbozan Shitatehineri
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Chiyoshoma Watashikomi
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Chiyoshoma Tottari
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
Respect
eastMaegashira 8
Takerufuji
 61%
morning
westMaegashira 13
Asakoryu
 39%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 78%

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 4 - 0 Asakoryu
Strength index 2391 — 2333
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Takerufuji See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 9 Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 1Day Takerufuji Hatakikomi
2024 Aki Basho 8Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 5Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
 47%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 7
Nishikifuji
 53%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asahakuryu 55% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Asahakuryu (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asahakuryu 3 - 2 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2268 — 2295
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
See Asahakuryu See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 2 Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2026 Natsu Basho 3Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Asahakuryu Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 7
Fujiseiun
 51%
king
westMaegashira 10
Oho
 49%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Oho 56% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Oho (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2364 — 2366
Previous basho 7 wins, 7 losses — 2 wins, 12 losses
See Fujiseiun See Oho
・
▲ Close bout
lion
eastMaegashira 9
Shishi
 52%
One
westMaegashira 6
Ichiyamamoto
 48%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 52%

Okamisan picks Shishi (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shishi 0 - 1 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2320 — 2313
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
See Shishi See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2023 Aki Basho 1Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 9
Ura
 57%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
 43%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Ura 80%

Okamisan picks Ura (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 5 - 2 Oshoma
Strength index 2387 — 2339
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Ura See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Ura Uwatedashinage
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Ura Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Ura Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Oshoma Tsukidashi
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Ura Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
Takashi
eastMaegashira 4
Takanosho
 49%
morning
westMaegashira 6
Asanoyama
 51%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 82%

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 1 - 6 Asanoyama
Strength index 2433 — 2424
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
See Takanosho See Asanoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Haru Basho 12Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2021 Natsu Basho 11Day Asanoyama Sukuinage of
2021 Haru Basho 10Day Asanoyama Sukuinage of
2021 Hatsu Basho 11Day Asanoyama Hatakikomi
2020 Aki Basho 2Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
wolf
eastMaegashira 5
Roga
 36%
beauty
westMaegashira 3
Churanoumi
 64%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Churanoumi 74%

Okamisan picks Churanoumi (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 5 - 6 Churanoumi
Strength index 2363 — 2469
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Roga See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 14Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Roga Uwatedashinage
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Churanoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 7Day Roga Uwatedashinage
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Roga Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 1
Kotoshoho
 57%
Australia
westMaegashira 3
Gonoyama
 43%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotoshoho 70%

Okamisan picks Kotoshoho (70%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 4 - 4 Gonoyama
Strength index 2452 — 2401
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Kotoshoho See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 2 Day Kotoshoho Tsukiotoshi
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Gonoyama Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 5Day Kotoshoho Kubinage
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
Haku
east Komusubi
Hakunofuji
 54%
Koto
westMaegashira 1
Kotoeiho
 46%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 65%

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 1 - 0 Kotoeiho
Strength index 2443 — 2406
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Hakunofuji See Kotoeiho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Hatsu Basho 9Day Hakunofuji Shitatenage
・
○ Advantage
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 65%
high
westMaegashira 2
Takayasu
 35%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 67%

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (67%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 4 - 4 Takayasu
Strength index 2586 — 2485
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Atamifuji See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 15Day Takayasu Uwatehineri
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Takayasu Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Takayasu Shitatenage
2025 Hatsu Basho 12Day Atamifuji Okuridashi
・
▲ Close bout
Wisteria
east Sekiwake
Fujinokawa
 51%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
 49%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 62%

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 1 - 2 Kotozakura
Strength index 2513 — 2513
Previous basho 7 wins, 7 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Fujinokawa See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Kotozakura Hatakikomi
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Fujinokawa Tsukidashi
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Kotozakura Oshitaoshi of
・
◎ High confidence
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
 74%
Large
west Komusubi
Daieisho
 26%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82%

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 18 - 11 Daieisho
Strength index 2633 — 2451
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
See Kirishima See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 7Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Kirishima Tsukiotoshi
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 6Day Kirishima Hikiotoshi
・
○ Advantage
Cheap
east Ozeki
Aonishiki
 71%
righteousness
westMaegashira 2
Yoshinofuji
 29%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 64%

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 1 - 5 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2637 — 2475
Previous basho 12 wins, 2 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Aonishiki See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Yoshinofuji Uwatenage
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Yoshinofuji Yoritaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Aonishiki Kubinage
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Yoshinofuji Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
Kinboshi Naruka
◎ High confidence
Large
east Yokozuna
Onosato
 73%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 4
Fujiryoga
 27%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 80%

Okamisan picks Onosato (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2612 — 2425
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Onosato See Fujiryoga
🧐
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