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2026 Aki Basho Makuuchi Kunio Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
61%
181/297 bouts
Okamisan
59%
174/297 bouts
9Day Results This day Oyakata 80%(16/20) Okamisan 60%(12/20)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Aki Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

9Day Makuuchi bout results

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 9 days)

Oyakata results 16/20 80%
Okamisan results 12/20 60%
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Sa
eastJuryo 5
Sadanoumi Koji
●Loss
45%
time
westMaegashira 15
Tokihayate
○ Win
55%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Tokihayate ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Sadanoumi Koji 72% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Sadanoumi Koji (72%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、Oyakataの数字に軍配です。ここは読み違えました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Sadanoumi Koji 4 - 3 Tokihayate
Strength index 2187 — 2232
Previous basho 1 wins, 0 losses — 0 wins, 1 losses
See Sadanoumi Koji See Tokihayate
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Tokihayate Sukuinage of
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Sadanoumi Koji Yoritaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 4Day Sadanoumi Koji Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 6Day Tokihayate Shitatedashinage
2025 Hatsu Basho 5Day Sadanoumi Koji Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Xiang
eastMaegashira 17
Shonannoumi
●Loss
31%
Ah
westMaegashira 13
Abi
○ Win
69%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Abi ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Abi 81% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Abi (81%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shonannoumi 0 - 3 Abi
Strength index 2151 — 2309
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Shonannoumi See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Natsu Basho 12Day Abi Oshidashi
2024 Haru Basho 11Day Abi Oshidashi
2023 Kyushu Basho 13Day Abi Hikiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Sho
eastMaegashira 14
Tobizaru
○ Win
50%
Positive
westMaegashira 11
Shodai
●Loss
50%
Data Oyakata Miss
Tobizaru ButHikiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shodai 71% Miss

Okamisan picks Shodai (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは読みが甘かったです。次の一番で取り返しましょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 7 - 11 Shodai
Strength index 2257 — 2264
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
See Tobizaru See Shodai
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Shodai Sukuinage of
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Shodai Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 13Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 7Day Tobizaru Okuridashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 13Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 11
Wakamotoharu
○ Win
55%
Kotobuki
westMaegashira 16
Toshinofuji
●Loss
45%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakamotoharu ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Toshinofuji 60% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Toshinofuji (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:これは悔しいですね。相性を見すぎたかもしれません。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2342 — 2275
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Wakamotoharu Toshinofujiを見る
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
thousand
eastMaegashira 14
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
39%
gold
westMaegashira 10
Kinbozan
○ Win
61%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kinbozan ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 71% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 6 - 3 Kinbozan
Strength index 2261 — 2340
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 13 Day Kinbozan Shitatehineri
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Chiyoshoma Watashikomi
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Chiyoshoma Tottari
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
morning
eastMaegashira 15
Asasuiryu
●Loss
34%
flat
westMaegashira 8
Hiradoumi
○ Win
66%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hiradoumi ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 64% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2254 — 2393
Previous basho 1 wins, 0 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
See Asasuiryu See Hiradoumi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Respect
eastMaegashira 8
Takerufuji
○ Win
61%
morning
westMaegashira 13
Asakoryu
●Loss
39%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takerufuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 78% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 4 - 0 Asakoryu
Strength index 2391 — 2333
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Takerufuji See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 9 Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 1Day Takerufuji Hatakikomi
2024 Aki Basho 8Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 5Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
●Loss
47%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 7
Nishikifuji
○ Win
53%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Nishikifuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asahakuryu 55% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Asahakuryu (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asahakuryu 3 - 2 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2268 — 2295
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
See Asahakuryu See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 2 Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2026 Natsu Basho 3Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Asahakuryu Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 7
Fujiseiun
○ Win
51%
king
westMaegashira 10
Oho
●Loss
49%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujiseiun ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Oho 56% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Oho (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、Oyakataの数字に軍配です。ここは読み違えました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2364 — 2366
Previous basho 7 wins, 7 losses — 2 wins, 12 losses
See Fujiseiun See Oho
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
lion
eastMaegashira 9
Shishi
○ Win
52%
One
westMaegashira 6
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
48%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Shishi ButKotenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 52% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Shishi (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日は順当に合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shishi 0 - 1 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2320 — 2313
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
See Shishi See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2023 Aki Basho 1Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 9
Ura
●Loss
57%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
○ Win
43%
Data Oyakata Miss
Oshoma ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ura 80% Miss

Okamisan picks Ura (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは読みが甘かったです。次の一番で取り返しましょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 5 - 2 Oshoma
Strength index 2387 — 2339
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Ura See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Ura Uwatedashinage
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Ura Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Ura Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Oshoma Tsukidashi
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Ura Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Takashi
eastMaegashira 4
Takanosho
○ Win
49%
morning
westMaegashira 6
Asanoyama
●Loss
51%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takanosho ButHikiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 1 - 6 Asanoyama
Strength index 2433 — 2424
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
See Takanosho See Asanoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Haru Basho 12Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2021 Natsu Basho 11Day Asanoyama Sukuinage of
2021 Haru Basho 10Day Asanoyama Sukuinage of
2021 Hatsu Basho 11Day Asanoyama Hatakikomi
2020 Aki Basho 2Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
wolf
eastMaegashira 5
Roga
●Loss
36%
beauty
westMaegashira 3
Churanoumi
○ Win
64%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Churanoumi ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Churanoumi 74% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Churanoumi (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 5 - 6 Churanoumi
Strength index 2363 — 2469
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Roga See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 14Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Roga Uwatedashinage
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Churanoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 7Day Roga Uwatedashinage
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Roga Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 1
Kotoshoho
○ Win
57%
Australia
westMaegashira 3
Gonoyama
●Loss
43%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotoshoho ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotoshoho 70% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kotoshoho (70%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは私も素直に見てCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 4 - 4 Gonoyama
Strength index 2452 — 2401
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Kotoshoho See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 2 Day Kotoshoho Tsukiotoshi
2026 Natsu Basho 10Day Gonoyama Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 5Day Kotoshoho Kubinage
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Haku
east Komusubi
Hakunofuji
○ Win
54%
Koto
westMaegashira 1
Kotoeiho
●Loss
46%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hakunofuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 65% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 1 - 0 Kotoeiho
Strength index 2443 — 2406
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Hakunofuji See Kotoeiho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Hatsu Basho 9Day Hakunofuji Shitatenage
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
○ Win
65%
high
westMaegashira 2
Takayasu
●Loss
35%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Atamifuji ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 67% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (67%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは私も素直に見てCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 4 - 4 Takayasu
Strength index 2586 — 2485
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Atamifuji See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 15Day Takayasu Uwatehineri
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Takayasu Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Takayasu Shitatenage
2025 Hatsu Basho 12Day Atamifuji Okuridashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Wisteria
east Sekiwake
Fujinokawa
○ Win
51%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
●Loss
49%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujinokawa ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 62% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujinokawa 1 - 2 Kotozakura
Strength index 2513 — 2513
Previous basho 7 wins, 7 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Fujinokawa See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Kotozakura Hatakikomi
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Fujinokawa Tsukidashi
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Kotozakura Oshitaoshi of
・
Miss ◎ High confidence
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
●Loss
74%
Large
west Komusubi
Daieisho
○ Win
26%
Data Oyakata Miss
Daieisho ButHikiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 18 - 11 Daieisho
Strength index 2633 — 2451
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
See Kirishima See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 7Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Kirishima Tsukiotoshi
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 6Day Kirishima Hikiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Cheap
east Ozeki
Aonishiki
○ Win
71%
righteousness
westMaegashira 2
Yoshinofuji
●Loss
29%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButSukuinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 64% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 1 - 5 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2637 — 2475
Previous basho 12 wins, 2 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Aonishiki See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Yoshinofuji Uwatenage
2026 Haru Basho 2Day Yoshinofuji Yoritaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Aonishiki Kubinage
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Yoshinofuji Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Large
east Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
73%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 4
Fujiryoga
●Loss
27%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButHikiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 80% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Onosato (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2612 — 2425
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Onosato See Fujiryoga
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