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2026 Aki Basho Makuuchi Kunio Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
60%
48/80 bouts
Okamisan
52%
42/80 bouts
今日・4 DayのResults This day Oyakata 70%(14/20) Okamisan 60%(12/20)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Aki Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

4Day Makuuchi bout results

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 4 days)

Oyakata results 14/20 70%
Okamisan results 12/20 60%
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
morning
eastMaegashira 15
Asasuiryu
○ Win
60%
One
westJuryo 2
Kazuma
●Loss
40%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asasuiryu ButKatasukashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asasuiryu 60% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asasuiryu (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asasuiryu 0 - 1 Kazuma
Strength index 2275 — 2214
Previous basho 1 wins, 0 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
See Asasuiryu See Kazuma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 14Day Kazuma Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Sho
eastMaegashira 14
Tobizaru
○ Win
63%
Xiang
westMaegashira 17
Shonannoumi
●Loss
37%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Tobizaru ButUwatedashinageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Tobizaru 78% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Tobizaru (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 4 - 1 Shonannoumi
Strength index 2252 — 2148
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Tobizaru See Shonannoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 15Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 14Day Tobizaru Sokubiotoshi
2024 Haru Basho 12Day Shonannoumi Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
time
eastMaegashira 15
Tokihayate
●Loss
41%
Ah
westMaegashira 13
Abi
○ Win
59%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Abi ButTsukidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Abi 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Abi (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tokihayate 0 - 2 Abi
Strength index 2216 — 2283
Previous basho 0 wins, 1 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Tokihayate See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Abi Oshidashi
2021 Haru Basho 13Day Abi Hikiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
thousand
eastMaegashira 14
Chiyoshoma
○ Win
46%
morning
westMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
●Loss
54%
Data Oyakata Miss
Chiyoshoma ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asahakuryu 54% Miss

Okamisan picks Asahakuryu (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 2 - 2 Asahakuryu
Strength index 2250 — 2279
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Asahakuryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Chiyoshoma Okuridashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 11
Shodai
●Loss
43%
gold
westMaegashira 10
Kinbozan
○ Win
57%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kinbozan ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 76% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 5 - 6 Kinbozan
Strength index 2265 — 2308
Previous basho 4 wins, 10 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Shodai See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 12 Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 1Day Shodai Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Shodai Yoritaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 11
Wakamotoharu
○ Win
52%
lion
westMaegashira 9
Shishi
●Loss
48%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakamotoharu ButYoritaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 54% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Shishi (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 0 - 1 Shishi
Strength index 2354 — 2331
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Shishi Uwatedashinage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Respect
eastMaegashira 8
Takerufuji
○ Win
55%
king
westMaegashira 10
Oho
●Loss
45%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takerufuji ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 61% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 0 - 1 Oho
Strength index 2382 — 2381
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 2 wins, 12 losses
See Takerufuji See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Oho Sukuinage of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 7
Fujiseiun
●Loss
50%
flat
westMaegashira 8
Hiradoumi
○ Win
50%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hiradoumi ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiseiun 73% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Fujiseiun (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あらら、最後はrikishiの気迫が上 timesりましたか。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiseiun 1 - 0 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2375 — 2387
Previous basho 7 wins, 7 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
See Fujiseiun See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 14Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 9
Ura
○ Win
56%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 7
Nishikifuji
●Loss
44%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Ura ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ura 61% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Ura (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 6 - 1 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2368 — 2319
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
See Ura See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 14Day Ura Oshidashi
2023 Nagoya Basho 11Day Ura Yorikiri of
2023 Natsu Basho 11Day Ura Tottari
2023 Haru Basho 7Day Ura Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
wolf
eastMaegashira 5
Roga
○ Win
54%
One
westMaegashira 6
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
46%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Roga ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Roga 72% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Roga (72%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 5 - 7 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2354 — 2337
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
See Roga See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 13 Day Roga Shitatenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Ichiyamamoto Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 5Day Ichiyamamoto Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 10Day Ichiyamamoto Hikiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 5Day Roga Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 6
Asanoyama
○ Win
59%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
●Loss
41%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asanoyama ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 74% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは私も素直に見てCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 3 - 0 Oshoma
Strength index 2401 — 2346
Previous basho 9 wins, 5 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Asanoyama See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 13 Day Asanoyama Uwatenage
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Asanoyama Uwatenage
2023 Haru Basho 8Day Asanoyama Hatakikomi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Takashi
eastMaegashira 4
Takanosho
●Loss
56%
beauty
westMaegashira 3
Churanoumi
○ Win
44%
Data Oyakata Miss
Churanoumi ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takanosho 71% Miss

Okamisan picks Takanosho (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 3 - 1 Churanoumi
Strength index 2468 — 2428
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Takanosho See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Churanoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Takanosho Hatakikomi
2024 Hatsu Basho 3Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2019 Natsu Basho 14Day Takanosho Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
righteousness
eastMaegashira 2
Yoshinofuji
●Loss
50%
Large
west Komusubi
Daieisho
○ Win
50%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Daieisho ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 64% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Daieisho (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日は順当に合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 1 - 2 Daieisho
Strength index 2446 — 2453
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Yoshinofuji Okuridashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
○ Win
68%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 4
Fujiryoga
●Loss
32%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Atamifuji ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 61% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2569 — 2430
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Atamifuji See Fujiryoga
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 1
Kotoshoho
○ Win
45%
Wisteria
west Sekiwake
Fujinokawa
●Loss
55%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kotoshoho ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは読みが甘かったです。次の一番で取り返しましょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 0 - 5 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2436 — 2471
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 7 losses
See Kotoshoho See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 5 Day Fujinokawa Hikiotoshi
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Fujinokawa Tsukiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Fujinokawa Oshitaoshi of
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Fujinokawa Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 4Day Fujinokawa Hatakikomi
◎ Surprising result
Miss ◎ High confidence
Cheap
east Ozeki
Aonishiki
●Loss
80%
Haku
west Komusubi
Hakunofuji
○ Win
20%
Data Oyakata Miss
Hakunofuji ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 6 - 0 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2681 — 2445
Previous basho 12 wins, 2 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Aonishiki See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 3 Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Aonishiki Shitatenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Aonishiki Kubinage
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 13Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Australia
eastMaegashira 3
Gonoyama
●Loss
37%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
○ Win
63%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotozakura ButUwatenageDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotozakura 76% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kotozakura (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 3 - 9 Kotozakura
Strength index 2412 — 2515
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Gonoyama See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 6 Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Gonoyama Hatakikomi
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Gonoyama Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
76%
Koto
westMaegashira 1
Kotoeiho
●Loss
24%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 78% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kirishima (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 1 - 0 Kotoeiho
Strength index 2649 — 2427
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Kirishima See Kotoeiho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Kirishima Utchari
★ Kinboshi
Miss ○ Advantage
Large
east Yokozuna
Onosato
●Loss
65%
high
westMaegashira 2
Takayasu
○ Win
35%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takayasu ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Onosato (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 5 - 2 Takayasu
Strength index 2599 — 2496
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Onosato See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 11Day Onosato Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 9Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 2Day Onosato Hatakikomi
🧐
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