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2026 Aki Basho Makuuchi Kunio Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
61%
159/259 bouts
Okamisan
59%
153/259 bouts
明日・14 DayのWin-loss predictions
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
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Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
👑
Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Aki Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

14 DayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(At the end of 14 days)

・
▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 15
Asasuiryu
 52%
Large
westJuryo 2
Daiseizan
 48%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asasuiryu 58%

Okamisan picks Asasuiryu (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asasuiryu 2 - 2 Daiseizan
Strength index 2252 — 2236
Previous basho 1 wins, 0 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Asasuiryu See Daiseizan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 2 Day Asasuiryu Hatakikomi
2026 Natsu Basho 7Day Daiseizan Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Daiseizan Kimedashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 14Day Asasuiryu Yorikiri of
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○ Advantage
king
eastMaegashira 10
Oho
 65%
thousand
westMaegashira 14
Chiyoshoma
 35%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Oho 82%

Okamisan picks Oho (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oho 3 - 1 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2345 — 2223
Previous basho 2 wins, 12 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
See Oho See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 15Day Oho Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 1Day Chiyoshoma Uwatenage
2022 Aki Basho 1Day Oho Kotenage
2022 Nagoya Basho 4Day Oho Yoritaoshi of
・
◎ High confidence
Xiang
eastMaegashira 17
Shonannoumi
 26%
gold
westMaegashira 10
Kinbozan
 74%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 82%

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shonannoumi 3 - 9 Kinbozan
Strength index 2142 — 2335
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Shonannoumi See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Kinbozan Tsukidashi
2025 Haru Basho 15Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 2Day Kinbozan Tsukidashi
2024 Aki Basho 12Day Shonannoumi Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 6Day Kinbozan Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 9
Ura
 55%
morning
westMaegashira 13
Asakoryu
 45%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asakoryu 54% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Asakoryu (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 0 - 1 Asakoryu
Strength index 2388 — 2344
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Ura See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
Ah
eastMaegashira 13
Abi
 46%
lion
westMaegashira 9
Shishi
 54%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 71%

Okamisan picks Shishi (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Abi 2 - 2 Shishi
Strength index 2297 — 2324
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Abi See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 9 Day Shishi Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 14Day Shishi Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Abi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Abi Okuridashi
・
▲ Close bout
Respect
eastMaegashira 8
Takerufuji
 53%
young
westMaegashira 11
Wakamotoharu
 47%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 52%

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (52%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 2 - 1 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2386 — 2384
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Takerufuji See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 13Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 15Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2024 Haru Basho 13Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
time
eastMaegashira 15
Tokihayate
 34%
flat
westMaegashira 8
Hiradoumi
 66%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 66%

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (66%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tokihayate 1 - 2 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2255 — 2388
Previous basho 0 wins, 1 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
See Tokihayate See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
2021 Haru Basho 9Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2021 Hatsu Basho 1Day Hiradoumi Hatakikomi
・
○ Advantage
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 7
Fujiseiun
 61%
morning
westMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
 39%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiseiun 79%

Okamisan picks Fujiseiun (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiseiun 3 - 0 Asahakuryu
Strength index 2367 — 2283
Previous basho 7 wins, 7 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Fujiseiun See Asahakuryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 7Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
Australia
eastMaegashira 3
Gonoyama
 70%
Positive
westMaegashira 11
Shodai
 30%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Gonoyama 58%

Okamisan picks Gonoyama (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 3 - 5 Shodai
Strength index 2398 — 2241
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
See Gonoyama See Shodai
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Shodai Tsukiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Shodai Tsukiotoshi
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Shodai Oshitaoshi of
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Shodai Uwatenage
・
▲ Close bout
high
eastMaegashira 2
Takayasu
 50%
beauty
westMaegashira 3
Churanoumi
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 55% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Takayasu (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takayasu 1 - 2 Churanoumi
Strength index 2493 — 2481
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Takayasu See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 1Day Takayasu Uwatedashinage
2026 Hatsu Basho 15Day Churanoumi Okuridashi
2025 Haru Basho 14Day Churanoumi Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 4
Fujiryoga
 49%
righteousness
westMaegashira 2
Yoshinofuji
 51%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 55% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiryoga 1 - 0 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2490 — 2509
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Fujiryoga See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 14Day Fujiryoga Sukuinage of
・
○ Advantage
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 7
Nishikifuji
 39%
Koto
westMaegashira 1
Kotoeiho
 61%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 78%

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 1 - 2 Kotoeiho
Strength index 2320 — 2398
Previous basho 9 wins, 5 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Nishikifuji See Kotoeiho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Kotoeiho Uwatenage
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Nishikifuji Kotenage
2025 Natsu Basho 4Day Kotoeiho Kirikaeshi
・
○ Advantage
Haku
east Komusubi
Hakunofuji
 70%
One
westMaegashira 6
Ichiyamamoto
 30%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 82%

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 3 - 0 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2434 — 2285
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
See Hakunofuji See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 2 Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Hakunofuji Uwatehineri
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
Europe
eastMaegashira 5
Oshoma
 36%
Large
west Komusubi
Daieisho
 64%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 64%

Okamisan picks Daieisho (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoma 2 - 2 Daieisho
Strength index 2340 — 2445
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
See Oshoma See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 7 Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 13Day Daieisho Oshidashi
・
◎ High confidence
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 80%
wolf
westMaegashira 5
Roga
 20%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 82%

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 2 - 2 Roga
Strength index 2567 — 2325
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Atamifuji See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Nagoya Basho 1Day Roga Uwatedashinage
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2023 Nagoya Basho 2Day Atamifuji Kotenage
2022 Hatsu Basho 9Day Roga Shitatenage
・
▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 6
Asanoyama
 41%
Wisteria
west Sekiwake
Fujinokawa
 59%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 64% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 1 - 0 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2455 — 2527
Previous basho 9 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 7 losses
See Asanoyama See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Asanoyama Oshidashi
Most popular
▲ Close bout
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
 42%
Cheap
west Ozeki
Aonishiki
 58%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 77%

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (77%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 1 - 5 Aonishiki
Strength index 2612 — 2670
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 12 wins, 2 losses
See Kirishima See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 13 Day Aonishiki Katasukashi
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Aonishiki Shitatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Kirishima Yoritaoshi of
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Aonishiki Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Aonishiki Okuridashi
Most popular
○ Advantage
Large
east Yokozuna
Onosato
 69%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
 31%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 75%

Okamisan picks Onosato (75%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 9 - 5 Kotozakura
Strength index 2632 — 2502
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Onosato See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 14 Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 13Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Onosato のFusensho
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Onosato Yorikiri of
🧐
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