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2026 Aki Basho Makuuchi Kunio Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
60%
48/80 bouts
Okamisan
52%
42/80 bouts
明日・5 DayのWin-loss predictions
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
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Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
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Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Aki Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

5 DayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 5 days)

・
○ Advantage
Xiang
eastMaegashira 17
Shonannoumi
 34%
Kotobuki
westMaegashira 16
Toshinofuji
 66%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Toshinofuji 82%

Okamisan picks Toshinofuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shonannoumi 1 - 1 Toshinofuji
Strength index 2141 — 2243
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Shonannoumi Toshinofujiを見る
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Toshinofuji Shitatenage
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Shonannoumi Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
ball
eastJuryo 3
Tamawashi
 45%
thousand
westMaegashira 14
Chiyoshoma
 55%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Chiyoshoma 71%

Okamisan picks Chiyoshoma (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tamawashi 7 - 2 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2232 — 2260
Previous basho 2 wins, 13 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
See Tamawashi See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 13Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
2023 Aki Basho 12Day Tamawashi Sukuinage of
2023 Natsu Basho 9Day Chiyoshoma Sotogake
2021 Kyushu Basho 4Day Tamawashi Tsukidashi
2021 Aki Basho 2Day Tamawashi Hatakikomi
・
○ Advantage
morning
eastMaegashira 13
Asakoryu
 68%
time
westMaegashira 15
Tokihayate
 32%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asakoryu 71%

Okamisan picks Asakoryu (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asakoryu 4 - 7 Tokihayate
Strength index 2338 — 2207
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 0 wins, 1 losses
See Asakoryu See Tokihayate
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Tokihayate Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Tokihayate Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
・
▲ Close bout
Ah
eastMaegashira 13
Abi
 55%
Positive
westMaegashira 11
Shodai
 45%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Abi 73%

Okamisan picks Abi (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Abi 12 - 13 Shodai
Strength index 2290 — 2257
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
See Abi See Shodai
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 13 Day Abi Tsukiotoshi
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Shodai Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Shodai Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 12Day Shodai Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 2Day Abi Tsukidashi
・
▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
 44%
gold
westMaegashira 10
Kinbozan
 56%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 69%

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asahakuryu 1 - 1 Kinbozan
Strength index 2264 — 2318
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Asahakuryu See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 9 Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
king
eastMaegashira 10
Oho
 55%
lion
westMaegashira 9
Shishi
 45%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 58% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Shishi (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oho 0 - 1 Shishi
Strength index 2371 — 2321
Previous basho 2 wins, 12 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Oho See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Shishi Hatakikomi
・
▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 9
Ura
 52%
young
westMaegashira 11
Wakamotoharu
 48%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Ura 54%

Okamisan picks Ura (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 4 - 13 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2376 — 2363
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Ura See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 9 Day Ura Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Wakamotoharu Oshitaoshi of
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Ura Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Wakamotoharu Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Wakamotoharu Oshitaoshi of
・
▲ Close bout
flat
eastMaegashira 8
Hiradoumi
 59%
One
westMaegashira 6
Ichiyamamoto
 41%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 82%

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 8 - 6 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2397 — 2327
Previous basho 4 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
See Hiradoumi See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 14 Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Hiradoumi Shitatenage
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 6Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 2Day Hiradoumi Hikiotoshi
・
▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 6
Asanoyama
 49%
Respect
westMaegashira 8
Takerufuji
 51%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 55% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 2 - 1 Takerufuji
Strength index 2409 — 2395
Previous basho 9 wins, 5 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Asanoyama See Takerufuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 11 Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Asanoyama Tsukiotoshi
2024 Haru Basho 14Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 7
Nishikifuji
 47%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
 53%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 56% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 2 - 2 Oshoma
Strength index 2310 — 2336
Previous basho 9 wins, 5 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Nishikifuji See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 11Day Nishikifuji Oshitaoshi of
2024 Haru Basho 11Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 14Day Oshoma Hatakikomi
・
▲ Close bout
wolf
eastMaegashira 5
Roga
 50%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 7
Fujiseiun
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Roga 73% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Roga (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 3 - 2 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2364 — 2364
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 7 losses
See Roga See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 8 Day Roga Uwatenage
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Fujiseiun Kirikaeshi
2025 Haru Basho 5Day Roga Tottari
2023 Natsu Basho 13Day Roga Yoritaoshi of
2022 Nagoya Basho 11Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 4
Fujiryoga
 49%
Koto
westMaegashira 1
Kotoeiho
 51%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 61% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiryoga 3 - 1 Kotoeiho
Strength index 2419 — 2422
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Fujiryoga See Kotoeiho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 9 Day Kotoeiho Yoritaoshi of
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Fujiryoga Watashikomi
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Fujiryoga Oshitaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Fujiryoga Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 1
Kotoshoho
 43%
high
westMaegashira 2
Takayasu
 57%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 60%

Okamisan picks Takayasu (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 4 - 7 Takayasu
Strength index 2447 — 2507
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Kotoshoho See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 13 Day Kotoshoho Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 12Day Kotoshoho Hatakikomi
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2024 Haru Basho 3Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
Haku
east Komusubi
Hakunofuji
 51%
Wisteria
west Sekiwake
Fujinokawa
 49%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 62%

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 1 - 0 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2464 — 2457
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 7 losses
See Hakunofuji See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Kyushu Basho 15Day Hakunofuji Sukuinage of
・
○ Advantage
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 67%
Large
west Komusubi
Daieisho
 33%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 74%

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 7 - 6 Daieisho
Strength index 2576 — 2462
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
See Atamifuji See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Atamifuji Tsukidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 1Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
・
◎ High confidence
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
 75%
Takashi
westMaegashira 4
Takanosho
 25%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82%

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 9 - 17 Takanosho
Strength index 2654 — 2458
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Kirishima See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Kirishima Hatakikomi
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Kirishima Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Takanosho Tsukidashi
・
◎ High confidence
Cheap
east Ozeki
Aonishiki
 81%
Australia
westMaegashira 3
Gonoyama
 19%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 82%

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 1 - 0 Gonoyama
Strength index 2659 — 2405
Previous basho 12 wins, 2 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Aonishiki See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 11 Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
beauty
eastMaegashira 3
Churanoumi
 39%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
 61%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotozakura 66%

Okamisan picks Kotozakura (66%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 3 - 5 Kotozakura
Strength index 2439 — 2522
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Churanoumi See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 3 Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Churanoumi のFusensho
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Kotozakura Sukuinage of
2024 Kyushu Basho 8Day Kotozakura Uwatehineri
2021 Hatsu Basho 3Day Kotozakura Tsukiotoshi
Kinboshi Naruka
○ Advantage
Large
east Yokozuna
Onosato
 70%
righteousness
westMaegashira 2
Yoshinofuji
 30%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 62%

Okamisan picks Onosato (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 0 - 4 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2583 — 2432
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Onosato See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 1 Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Yoshinofuji のFusenpai
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Yoshinofuji Uwatenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
🧐
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