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2026 Aki Basho Makuuchi Kunio Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
61%
181/297 bouts
Okamisan
59%
174/297 bouts
5Day Results This day Oyakata 45%(9/20) Okamisan 60%(12/20)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Aki Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

5Day Makuuchi bout results

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 5 days)

Oyakata results 9/20 45%
Okamisan results 12/20 60%
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Xiang
eastMaegashira 17
Shonannoumi
●Loss
34%
Kotobuki
westMaegashira 16
Toshinofuji
○ Win
66%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Toshinofuji ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Toshinofuji 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Toshinofuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shonannoumi 1 - 1 Toshinofuji
Strength index 2141 — 2243
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Shonannoumi Toshinofujiを見る
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Toshinofuji Shitatenage
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Shonannoumi Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
ball
eastJuryo 3
Tamawashi
●Loss
45%
thousand
westMaegashira 14
Chiyoshoma
○ Win
55%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Chiyoshoma ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Chiyoshoma 71% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Chiyoshoma (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tamawashi 7 - 2 Chiyoshoma
Strength index 2232 — 2260
Previous basho 2 wins, 13 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
See Tamawashi See Chiyoshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 13Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
2023 Aki Basho 12Day Tamawashi Sukuinage of
2023 Natsu Basho 9Day Chiyoshoma Sotogake
2021 Kyushu Basho 4Day Tamawashi Tsukidashi
2021 Aki Basho 2Day Tamawashi Hatakikomi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
morning
eastMaegashira 13
Asakoryu
●Loss
68%
time
westMaegashira 15
Tokihayate
○ Win
32%
Data Oyakata Miss
Tokihayate ButHatakikomiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asakoryu 71% Miss

Okamisan picks Asakoryu (71%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asakoryu 4 - 7 Tokihayate
Strength index 2338 — 2207
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 0 wins, 1 losses
See Asakoryu See Tokihayate
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Tokihayate Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Tokihayate Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Ah
eastMaegashira 13
Abi
○ Win
55%
Positive
westMaegashira 11
Shodai
●Loss
45%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Abi ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Abi 73% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Abi (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Abi 12 - 13 Shodai
Strength index 2290 — 2257
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
See Abi See Shodai
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 13 Day Abi Tsukiotoshi
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Shodai Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Shodai Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 12Day Shodai Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 2Day Abi Tsukidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
○ Win
44%
gold
westMaegashira 10
Kinbozan
●Loss
56%
Data Oyakata Miss
Asahakuryu ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 69% Miss

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asahakuryu 1 - 1 Kinbozan
Strength index 2264 — 2318
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Asahakuryu See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 9 Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
king
eastMaegashira 10
Oho
●Loss
55%
lion
westMaegashira 9
Shishi
○ Win
45%
Data Oyakata Miss
Shishi ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 58% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Shishi (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:相性を気にしておいてCorrectでしたね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oho 0 - 1 Shishi
Strength index 2371 — 2321
Previous basho 2 wins, 12 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Oho See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 12Day Shishi Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 9
Ura
○ Win
52%
young
westMaegashira 11
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
48%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Ura ButSotogakeDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Ura 54% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Ura (54%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:この一番は読みどおりでした。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 4 - 13 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2376 — 2363
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Ura See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 9 Day Ura Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Wakamotoharu Oshitaoshi of
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Ura Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Wakamotoharu Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Wakamotoharu Oshitaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
flat
eastMaegashira 8
Hiradoumi
○ Win
59%
One
westMaegashira 6
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
41%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hiradoumi ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 8 - 6 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2397 — 2327
Previous basho 4 wins, 10 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
See Hiradoumi See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 14 Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Hiradoumi Shitatenage
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 6Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 2Day Hiradoumi Hikiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 6
Asanoyama
○ Win
49%
Respect
westMaegashira 8
Takerufuji
●Loss
51%
Data Oyakata Miss
Asanoyama ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 55% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 2 - 1 Takerufuji
Strength index 2409 — 2395
Previous basho 9 wins, 5 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Asanoyama See Takerufuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 11 Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Asanoyama Tsukiotoshi
2024 Haru Basho 14Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 7
Nishikifuji
●Loss
47%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
○ Win
53%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Oshoma ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 56% Different from Oyakata Miss

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Nishikifuji 2 - 2 Oshoma
Strength index 2310 — 2336
Previous basho 9 wins, 5 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Nishikifuji See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 11Day Nishikifuji Oshitaoshi of
2024 Haru Basho 11Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 14Day Oshoma Hatakikomi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
wolf
eastMaegashira 5
Roga
○ Win
50%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 7
Fujiseiun
●Loss
50%
Data Oyakata Miss
Roga ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Roga 73% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Roga (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 3 - 2 Fujiseiun
Strength index 2364 — 2364
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 7 losses
See Roga See Fujiseiun
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 8 Day Roga Uwatenage
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Fujiseiun Kirikaeshi
2025 Haru Basho 5Day Roga Tottari
2023 Natsu Basho 13Day Roga Yoritaoshi of
2022 Nagoya Basho 11Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 4
Fujiryoga
○ Win
49%
Koto
westMaegashira 1
Kotoeiho
●Loss
51%
Data Oyakata Miss
Fujiryoga ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 61% Different from Oyakata Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiryoga 3 - 1 Kotoeiho
Strength index 2419 — 2422
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Fujiryoga See Kotoeiho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 9 Day Kotoeiho Yoritaoshi of
2026 Natsu Basho 8Day Fujiryoga Watashikomi
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Fujiryoga Oshitaoshi of
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Fujiryoga Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 1
Kotoshoho
○ Win
43%
high
westMaegashira 2
Takayasu
●Loss
57%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kotoshoho ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 60% Miss

Okamisan picks Takayasu (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 4 - 7 Takayasu
Strength index 2447 — 2507
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Kotoshoho See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 13 Day Kotoshoho Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 12Day Kotoshoho Hatakikomi
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2024 Haru Basho 3Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Haku
east Komusubi
Hakunofuji
●Loss
51%
Wisteria
west Sekiwake
Fujinokawa
○ Win
49%
Data Oyakata Miss
Fujinokawa ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Hakunofuji 62% Miss

Okamisan picks Hakunofuji (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:ここは読みが甘かったです。次の一番で取り返しましょう。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 1 - 0 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2464 — 2457
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 7 losses
See Hakunofuji See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Kyushu Basho 15Day Hakunofuji Sukuinage of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
○ Win
67%
Large
west Komusubi
Daieisho
●Loss
33%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Atamifuji ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 74% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (74%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 7 - 6 Daieisho
Strength index 2576 — 2462
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
See Atamifuji See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Atamifuji Tsukidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 1Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
○ Win
75%
Takashi
westMaegashira 4
Takanosho
●Loss
25%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButOkuridashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:よかった、今日は順当に合いました。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 9 - 17 Takanosho
Strength index 2654 — 2458
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Kirishima See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 1Day Kirishima Hatakikomi
2026 Haru Basho 10Day Kirishima Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 2Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Takanosho Tsukidashi
◎ Surprising result
Miss ◎ High confidence
Cheap
east Ozeki
Aonishiki
●Loss
81%
Australia
westMaegashira 3
Gonoyama
○ Win
19%
Data Oyakata Miss
Gonoyama ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 82% Miss

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

Okamisanさん:あら、これは外れました。相撲は最後までわかりませんね。

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 1 - 0 Gonoyama
Strength index 2659 — 2405
Previous basho 12 wins, 2 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Aonishiki See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 11 Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
・
Miss ○ Advantage
beauty
eastMaegashira 3
Churanoumi
○ Win
39%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
●Loss
61%
Data Oyakata Miss
Churanoumi ButOshidashiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Kotozakura 66% Miss

Okamisan picks Kotozakura (66%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Churanoumi 3 - 5 Kotozakura
Strength index 2439 — 2522
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Churanoumi See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 3 Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Churanoumi のFusensho
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Kotozakura Sukuinage of
2024 Kyushu Basho 8Day Kotozakura Uwatehineri
2021 Hatsu Basho 3Day Kotozakura Tsukiotoshi
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Large
east Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
70%
righteousness
westMaegashira 2
Yoshinofuji
●Loss
30%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButYorikiriDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 62% Hit ✓

Okamisan picks Onosato (62%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 0 - 4 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2583 — 2432
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Onosato See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 1 Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Yoshinofuji のFusenpai
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Yoshinofuji Uwatenage
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
🧐
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