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2026 Aki Basho Makuuchi Kunio Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
57%
57/100 bouts
Okamisan
54%
54/100 bouts
明日・6 DayのWin-loss predictions
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
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Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
👑
Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Aki Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

6 DayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(At the end of 6 days)

・
○ Advantage
Xiang
eastMaegashira 17
Shonannoumi
 39%
time
westMaegashira 15
Tokihayate
 61%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Tokihayate 76%

Okamisan picks Tokihayate (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shonannoumi 5 - 4 Tokihayate
Strength index 2134 — 2222
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 0 wins, 1 losses
See Shonannoumi See Tokihayate
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Shonannoumi Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 10Day Tokihayate Kotenage
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Shonannoumi Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
Sho
eastMaegashira 14
Tobizaru
 54%
Ah
westJuryo 3
Onokatsu
 46%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Tobizaru 61%

Okamisan picks Tobizaru (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 2 - 2 Onokatsu
Strength index 2269 — 2233
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
See Tobizaru See Onokatsu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 12 Day Tobizaru Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 14Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 15
Asasuiryu
 50%
Ah
westMaegashira 13
Abi
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Abi 58%

Okamisan picks Abi (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2271 — 2299
Previous basho 1 wins, 0 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Asasuiryu See Abi
・
▲ Close bout
king
eastMaegashira 10
Oho
 50%
young
westMaegashira 11
Wakamotoharu
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Wakamotoharu 57%

Okamisan picks Wakamotoharu (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oho 5 - 14 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2360 — 2354
Previous basho 2 wins, 12 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Oho See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Oho Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 6Day Wakamotoharu Utchari
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Oho Katasukashi
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Wakamotoharu Uwatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 6Day Wakamotoharu Hatakikomi
・
▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 13
Asakoryu
 53%
gold
westMaegashira 10
Kinbozan
 47%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kinbozan 58% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Kinbozan (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asakoryu 1 - 2 Kinbozan
Strength index 2323 — 2305
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Asakoryu See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 5 Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 2Day Kinbozan Okuridashi
・
○ Advantage
u
eastMaegashira 9
Ura
 63%
morning
westMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
 37%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Ura 82%

Okamisan picks Ura (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 2 - 0 Asahakuryu
Strength index 2385 — 2280
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Ura See Asahakuryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Ura Okuridashi
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Ura Yorikiri of
・
○ Advantage
Positive
eastMaegashira 11
Shodai
 37%
lion
westMaegashira 9
Shishi
 63%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 78%

Okamisan picks Shishi (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 3 - 1 Shishi
Strength index 2248 — 2333
Previous basho 4 wins, 10 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Shodai See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Shishi Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Shodai Kotenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 7Day Shodai Yoritaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 3Day Shodai Tsukiotoshi
・
▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 6
Asanoyama
 54%
flat
westMaegashira 8
Hiradoumi
 46%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 78%

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 4 - 0 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2419 — 2405
Previous basho 9 wins, 5 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
See Asanoyama See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2024 Hatsu Basho 5Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2023 Nagoya Basho 3Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2023 Natsu Basho 10Day Asanoyama Hatakikomi
・
○ Advantage
Respect
eastMaegashira 8
Takerufuji
 63%
One
westMaegashira 6
Ichiyamamoto
 37%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 82%

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 4 - 1 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2383 — 2320
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
See Takerufuji See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Nagoya Basho 7Day Ichiyamamoto Hatakikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 3Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 6Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Takerufuji Tsukiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 14Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
wolf
eastMaegashira 5
Roga
 61%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 7
Nishikifuji
 39%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Roga 82%

Okamisan picks Roga (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 5 - 5 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2375 — 2301
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
See Roga See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 12Day Roga Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Roga Hatakikomi
2024 Kyushu Basho 14Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 4Day Roga Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 7
Fujiseiun
 52%
Europe
westMaegashira 5
Oshoma
 48%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Oshoma 66% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Oshoma (66%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiseiun 1 - 2 Oshoma
Strength index 2352 — 2347
Previous basho 7 wins, 7 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Fujiseiun See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 2 Day Fujiseiun Yorikiri of
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Oshoma Okuridashi
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Oshoma Hatakikomi
・
▲ Close bout
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 4
Fujiryoga
 49%
beauty
westMaegashira 3
Churanoumi
 51%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Churanoumi 53%

Okamisan picks Churanoumi (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiryoga 1 - 0 Churanoumi
Strength index 2437 — 2451
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Fujiryoga See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Fujiryoga Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
high
eastMaegashira 2
Takayasu
 60%
Koto
westMaegashira 1
Kotoeiho
 40%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 66%

Okamisan picks Takayasu (66%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takayasu 0 - 1 Kotoeiho
Strength index 2497 — 2409
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Takayasu See Kotoeiho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Kotoeiho Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
Haku
east Komusubi
Hakunofuji
 51%
Large
west Komusubi
Daieisho
 49%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 58% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Daieisho (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 1 - 2 Daieisho
Strength index 2452 — 2455
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
See Hakunofuji See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 1 Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 10Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
・
○ Advantage
fever
east Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 67%
Koto
westMaegashira 1
Kotoshoho
 33%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 78%

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (78%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Atamifuji 5 - 2 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2583 — 2459
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Atamifuji See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 14Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Kotoshoho Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Atamifuji Kotenage
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
Takashi
eastMaegashira 4
Takanosho
 42%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
 58%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotozakura 80%

Okamisan picks Kotozakura (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 5 - 12 Kotozakura
Strength index 2454 — 2510
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Takanosho See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 1 Day Kotozakura Tsukiotoshi
2026 Natsu Basho 3Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 11Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Kotozakura Hatakikomi
・
◎ High confidence
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
 79%
righteousness
westMaegashira 2
Yoshinofuji
 21%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 82%

Okamisan picks Kirishima (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 4 - 1 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2658 — 2423
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Kirishima See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 6 Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 2Day Kirishima Tsukiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Kirishima Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Kirishima Uwatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 13Day Yoshinofuji Sotogake
・
◎ High confidence
Cheap
east Ozeki
Aonishiki
 72%
Wisteria
west Sekiwake
Fujinokawa
 28%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 82%

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 3 - 0 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2637 — 2470
Previous basho 12 wins, 2 losses — 7 wins, 7 losses
See Aonishiki See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 7 Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Aonishiki Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Aonishiki Kirikaeshi
Kinboshi Naruka
◎ High confidence
Large
east Yokozuna
Onosato
 72%
Australia
westMaegashira 3
Gonoyama
 28%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 80%

Okamisan picks Onosato (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 6 - 2 Gonoyama
Strength index 2591 — 2422
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Onosato See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Onosato Oshitaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 6Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 3Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Onosato Hatakikomi
🧐
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