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2026 Aki Basho Makuuchi Kunio Win-loss predictions|Data Oyakata

Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
61%
110/181 bouts
Okamisan
56%
101/181 bouts
今日・10 DayのUpdating results This day Oyakata 0%(0/1) Okamisan 0%(0/1)
About this site
How to read the numbers

Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to winHit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

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This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
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Strength Index Rankings
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
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Yokozuna Ratings
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Aki Basho

10 DayのPredictions and results

🏆Championship battle(At the end of 10 days)

Oyakata results 0/1 0%
Okamisan results 0/1 0%
Miss ○ Advantage
Arashifuji ButOshitaoshiDeWin
Okamisan's pick

Asasuiryu 53% Miss

Okamisan picks Asasuiryu (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Asasuiryu 1 - 0 Arashifuji
Strength index 22442080
Previous basho 1 wins, 0 losses — 5 wins, 2 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Hatsu Basho 1Day Asasuiryu Oshidashi
◎ High confidence
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asakoryu 76%

Okamisan picks Asakoryu (76%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Asakoryu 2 - 3 Shonannoumi
Strength index 23242146
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Shonannoumi Uwatedashinage
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
2025 Haru Basho 14Day Shonannoumi Oshitaoshi of
2024 Kyushu Basho 7Day Shonannoumi Uwatehineri
▲ Close bout
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asahakuryu 57%

Okamisan picks Asahakuryu (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Asahakuryu 3 - 1 Shodai
Strength index 22552255
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 11 Day Asahakuryu Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 9Day Shodai Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 14Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
◎ High confidence
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 82%

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Takerufuji 4 - 1 Tokihayate
Strength index 24022241
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 0 wins, 1 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Kyushu Basho 2Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 15Day Takerufuji Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 9Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2024 Haru Basho 5Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 15Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
○ Advantage
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 82%

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 2 - 4 Hiradoumi
Strength index 22542400
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 13Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 1Day Chiyoshoma Oshidashi
2023 Aki Basho 10Day Hiradoumi Sukuinage of
2023 Natsu Basho 15Day Hiradoumi Sotogake
2023 Hatsu Basho 4Day Hiradoumi Sukuinage of
▲ Close bout
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiseiun 55%

Okamisan picks Fujiseiun (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Fujiseiun 1 - 1 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 23762349
Previous basho 7 wins, 7 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 4 Day Wakamotoharu Tsukiotoshi
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Fujiseiun Sukuinage of
▲ Close bout
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Nishikifuji 64%

Okamisan picks Nishikifuji (64%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Tobizaru 4 - 3 Nishikifuji
Strength index 22662304
Previous basho 5 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 7Day Tobizaru Katasukashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 5Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2024 Natsu Basho 13Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2023 Natsu Basho 9Day Tobizaru Hatakikomi
○ Advantage
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 51%

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (51%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Asanoyama 11 - 6 Abi
Strength index 24142314
Previous basho 9 wins, 5 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 6 Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2026 Natsu Basho 4Day Abi Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 14Day Abi Uwatenage
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Asanoyama Hikiotoshi
2024 Haru Basho 13Day Asanoyama Tsukiotoshi
▲ Close bout
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Oho 65%

Okamisan picks Oho (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Oho 8 - 5 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 23562303
Previous basho 2 wins, 12 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 13Day Oho Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2026 Hatsu Basho 9Day Oho Hatakikomi
2025 Haru Basho 14Day Oho Oshidashi
2023 Natsu Basho 5Day Oho Hikiotoshi
▲ Close bout
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Ura 60%

Okamisan picks Ura (60%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Roga 1 - 2 Ura
Strength index 23562376
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 12 Day Roga Yoritaoshi of
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Ura Shitatenage
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Ura Oshidashi
▲ Close bout
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Oshoma 55%

Okamisan picks Oshoma (55%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Shishi 2 - 3 Oshoma
Strength index 23312351
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 12Day Shishi Oshidashi
2024 Haru Basho 9Day Oshoma Okuridashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 5Day Oshoma Kotenage
2023 Aki Basho 15Day Shishi Oshidashi
2022 Natsu Basho 4Day Oshoma Okuridashi
▲ Close bout
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 73%

Okamisan picks Takayasu (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Takayasu 5 - 0 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 24792467
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 14 Day Takayasu Hikiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Takayasu Oshitaoshi of
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
▲ Close bout
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotoeiho 59%

Okamisan picks Kotoeiho (59%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Gonoyama 1 - 0 Kotoeiho
Strength index 23912396
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Haru Basho 9Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
▲ Close bout
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 58% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Daieisho (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 3 - 5 Daieisho
Strength index 24602465
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 14 Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 6Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 5Day Daieisho Hatakikomi
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Kotoshoho Hikiotoshi
2024 Natsu Basho 15Day Daieisho Hikiotoshi
○ Advantage
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 79%

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (79%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Takanosho 1 - 2 Fujinokawa
Strength index 24422526
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 7 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 10 Day Takanosho Tsukidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 7Day Fujinokawa Hikiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Fujinokawa Hikiotoshi
○ Advantage
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 82%

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Aonishiki 2 - 2 Churanoumi
Strength index 26452476
Previous basho 12 wins, 2 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 2 Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 4Day Churanoumi Yoritaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 2Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 1Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
○ Advantage
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 82%

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Atamifuji 4 - 8 Kotozakura
Strength index 25942503
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 7 Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 6Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Kotozakura Katasukashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 13Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 6Day Atamifuji Kimedashi
◎ High confidence
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kirishima 73%

Okamisan picks Kirishima (73%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 26192416
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
◎ High confidence
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Onosato 82%

Okamisan picks Onosato (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details
Head-to-head Onosato 3 - 3 Hakunofuji
Strength index 26192454
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 7 Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 8Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Onosato Yoritaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Hakunofuji Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
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