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2026 Aki Basho Makuuchi Kunio Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

This basho's accuracy

Oyakata
61%
122/200 bouts
Okamisan
56%
112/200 bouts
明日・11 DayのWin-loss predictions
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About this site
How to read the numbers
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Data Oyakata has learned from a vast history of sumo bouts."Data Oyakata" calculates each matchup as a probability. Percentage = predicted chance to win、 Hit ✓ = result check. Select a rikishi to view their record and most successful techniques.

Read the full guide →

This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
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Strength Index Rankings →
An alternative banzuke from the strength index. Differences from the official ranking can reveal upset potential.
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Yokozuna Ratings →
Hakuho, Taiho, Futabayama and more, compared on Data Oyakata's five original rating axes.
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Aki Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

11 DayのMakuuchi KunioboutPredictions

🏆Championship battle(at the end of 11 days)

・
▲ Close bout
Out
eastJuryo 1
Dewanoryu
 45%
thousand
westMaegashira 14
Chiyoshoma
 55%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Dewanoryu 56% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Dewanoryu (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2190 — 2248
Previous basho 0 wins, 1 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
See Dewanoryu See Chiyoshoma
・
○ Advantage
young
eastMaegashira 11
Wakamotoharu
 63%
Sho
westMaegashira 14
Tobizaru
 37%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Wakamotoharu 80%

Okamisan picks Wakamotoharu (80%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 14 - 9 Tobizaru
Strength index 2359 — 2258
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 5 wins, 9 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Tobizaru
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 7 Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 9Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 5Day Wakamotoharu Tsukidashi
・
▲ Close bout
king
eastMaegashira 10
Oho
 59%
morning
westMaegashira 12
Asahakuryu
 41%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asahakuryu 57% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Asahakuryu (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2344 — 2269
Previous basho 2 wins, 12 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Oho See Asahakuryu
・
○ Advantage
Xiang
eastMaegashira 17
Shonannoumi
 30%
lion
westMaegashira 9
Shishi
 70%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Shishi 56%

Okamisan picks Shishi (56%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shonannoumi 4 - 1 Shishi
Strength index 2160 — 2321
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Shonannoumi See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Shonannoumi Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 10Day Shonannoumi Uwatenage
2022 Nagoya Basho 3Day Shonannoumi Okuridashi
2021 Aki Basho 8Day Shonannoumi Yoritaoshi of
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○ Advantage
Positive
eastMaegashira 11
Shodai
 29%
flat
westMaegashira 8
Hiradoumi
 71%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Hiradoumi 82%

Okamisan picks Hiradoumi (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 3 - 2 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2245 — 2406
Previous basho 4 wins, 10 losses — 4 wins, 10 losses
See Shodai See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Hatsu Basho 7Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 2Day Shodai Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 2Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 4Day Shodai Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 14Day Shodai Hikiotoshi
・
○ Advantage
Respect
eastMaegashira 8
Takerufuji
 63%
Ah
westMaegashira 13
Abi
 37%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takerufuji 72%

Okamisan picks Takerufuji (72%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takerufuji 3 - 2 Abi
Strength index 2384 — 2308
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Takerufuji See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 3 Day Takerufuji Oshitaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Abi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Hatsu Basho 13Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 13Day Abi Hatakikomi
2024 Haru Basho 9Day Takerufuji Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
Wisteria
eastMaegashira 7
Fujiseiun
 64%
time
westMaegashira 15
Tokihayate
 36%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Tokihayate 53% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Tokihayate (53%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Fujiseiun 1 - 4 Tokihayate
Strength index 2363 — 2257
Previous basho 7 wins, 7 losses — 0 wins, 1 losses
See Fujiseiun See Tokihayate
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Tokihayate Tsukiotoshi
2023 Natsu Basho 6Day Tokihayate Yoritaoshi of
2023 Haru Basho 9Day Fujiseiun Uwatenage
2022 Kyushu Basho 2Day Tokihayate Uwatedashinage
2022 Aki Basho 10Day Tokihayate Sukuinage of
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▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 6
Asanoyama
 59%
gold
westMaegashira 10
Kinbozan
 41%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Asanoyama 57%

Okamisan picks Asanoyama (57%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 4 - 1 Kinbozan
Strength index 2421 — 2357
Previous basho 9 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Asanoyama See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Natsu Basho 5Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2026 Haru Basho 13Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2024 Hatsu Basho 2Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2023 Hatsu Basho 13Day Asanoyama Tsukiotoshi
・
○ Advantage
Europe
eastMaegashira 5
Oshoma
 38%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 4
Fujiryoga
 62%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujiryoga 63%

Okamisan picks Fujiryoga (63%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoma 0 - 1 Fujiryoga
Strength index 2361 — 2443
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Oshoma See Fujiryoga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 10 Day Fujiryoga Oshidashi
・
○ Advantage
Australia
eastMaegashira 3
Gonoyama
 39%
righteousness
westMaegashira 2
Yoshinofuji
 61%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Yoshinofuji 61%

Okamisan picks Yoshinofuji (61%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 1 - 1 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2402 — 2481
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Gonoyama See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 10 Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 7Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
・
▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 1
Kotoshoho
 50%
beauty
westMaegashira 3
Churanoumi
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotoshoho 69% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Kotoshoho (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 11 - 5 Churanoumi
Strength index 2470 — 2470
Previous basho 6 wins, 8 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Kotoshoho See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 1 Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
2026 Natsu Basho 15Day Kotoshoho Hikiotoshi
2026 Hatsu Basho 11Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 10Day Kotoshoho Sukuinage of
・
▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 1
Kotoeiho
 42%
Large
west Komusubi
Daieisho
 58%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Daieisho 68%

Okamisan picks Daieisho (68%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2383 — 2455
Previous basho 10 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 5 losses
See Kotoeiho See Daieisho
・
▲ Close bout
Haku
east Komusubi
Hakunofuji
 48%
high
westMaegashira 2
Takayasu
 52%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Takayasu 65%

Okamisan picks Takayasu (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 3 - 3 Takayasu
Strength index 2447 — 2469
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 10 wins, 4 losses
See Hakunofuji See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 11 Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2026 Hatsu Basho 4Day Takayasu のsakatottari
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 15Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
・
▲ Close bout
fog
east Ozeki
Kirishima
 50%
fever
west Sekiwake
Atamifuji
 50%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Atamifuji 65%

Okamisan picks Atamifuji (65%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 9 - 3 Atamifuji
Strength index 2604 — 2602
Previous basho 11 wins, 3 losses — 11 wins, 3 losses
See Kirishima See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 8 Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Kirishima Sukuinage of
2026 Hatsu Basho 14Day Atamifuji Abisetaoshi
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
・
◎ High confidence
Cheap
east Ozeki
Aonishiki
 78%
Takashi
westMaegashira 4
Takanosho
 22%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Aonishiki 82%

Okamisan picks Aonishiki (82%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 4 - 1 Takanosho
Strength index 2652 — 2435
Previous basho 12 wins, 2 losses — 6 wins, 8 losses
See Aonishiki See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 8 Day Aonishiki Oshidashi
2026 Haru Basho 8Day Takanosho Hatakikomi
2026 Hatsu Basho 10Day Aonishiki Oshidashi
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Aonishiki Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 13Day Aonishiki Watashikomi
・
○ Advantage
wolf
eastMaegashira 5
Roga
 31%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
 69%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Kotozakura 69%

Okamisan picks Kotozakura (69%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head First meeting
Strength index 2346 — 2496
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 6 losses
See Roga See Kotozakura
・
○ Advantage
Large
east Yokozuna
Onosato
 62%
Wisteria
west Sekiwake
Fujinokawa
 38%
Data Oyakata win probability
Okamisan's pick

Fujinokawa 58% Different from Oyakata

Okamisan picks Fujinokawa (58%). Her view weighs recent form, head-to-head history, and current momentum.

👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 0 - 2 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2626 — 2536
Previous basho 8 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 7 losses
See Onosato See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2026 Nagoya Basho 2 Day Fujinokawa Tsukiotoshi
2026 Haru Basho 3Day Fujinokawa Hikiotoshi
🧐
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