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2026 Hatsu Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

Day 1 Results This day Oyakata 57%(12/21)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Hatsu Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

Makuuchi bout results on Day 1

Results for this Basho

Special prizes

Oyakata results 12/21 57%
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
○ Win
73%
young
west Komusubi
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
27%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hoshoryu ButYoritaoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 17 - 5 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2667 — 2492
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Hoshoryu See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Wakamotoharu Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Hoshoryu Sukuinage of
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 2Day Hoshoryu Yoritaoshi of
2025 Haru Basho 3Day Hoshoryu Kubinage
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
One
eastMaegashira 1
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
17%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
83%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ichiyamamoto 1 - 3 Onosato
Strength index 2393 — 2692
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Ichiyamamoto See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Nagoya Basho 12Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 10Day Onosato Oshitaoshi of
2025 Haru Basho 8Day Onosato Hatakikomi
2023 Aki Basho 10Day Ichiyamamoto Hatakikomi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
fog
east Sekiwake
Kirishima
○ Win
48%
young
westMaegashira 2
Wakatakakage
●Loss
52%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kirishima ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 11 - 10 Wakatakakage
Strength index 2545 — 2495
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kirishima See Wakatakakage
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Kirishima Sukuinage of
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Wakatakakage Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Wakatakakage Kubinage
2025 Haru Basho 5Day Wakatakakage Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Takashi
eastMaegashira 3
Takanosho
●Loss
46%
high
west Sekiwake
Takayasu
○ Win
54%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takayasu ButOshitaoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 6 - 4 Takayasu
Strength index 2425 — 2504
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Takanosho See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 1Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2023 Nagoya Basho 4Day Takayasu Hatakikomi
2021 Aki Basho 7Day Takayasu Oshitaoshi of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
king
east Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
54%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
○ Win
46%
Data Oyakata Miss
Hakunofuji ButUwatenageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oho 3 - 0 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2499 — 2444
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Oho See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Oho Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 11Day Oho Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Oho Tsukidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
○ Win
56%
fever
westMaegashira 4
Atamifuji
●Loss
44%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Daieisho ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 4 - 5 Atamifuji
Strength index 2470 — 2379
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Daieisho See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 2Day Daieisho Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 3Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 9Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 10Day Daieisho Oshidashi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
ball
eastMaegashira 5
Tamawashi
●Loss
63%
beauty
westMaegashira 5
Churanoumi
○ Win
37%
Data Oyakata Miss
Churanoumi ButShitatedashinageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tamawashi 5 - 2 Churanoumi
Strength index 2439 — 2347
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Tamawashi See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 13Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 2Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 10Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
2024 Natsu Basho 14Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
2024 Haru Basho 10Day Tamawashi Kimetaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
flat
eastMaegashira 6
Hiradoumi
○ Win
55%
Ah
westMaegashira 6
Onokatsu
●Loss
45%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hiradoumi ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 3 - 0 Onokatsu
Strength index 2396 — 2357
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Hiradoumi See Onokatsu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 13Day Hiradoumi Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 15Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 8
Shodai
○ Win
48%
gold
westMaegashira 8
Kinbozan
●Loss
52%
Data Oyakata Miss
Shodai ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 4 - 5 Kinbozan
Strength index 2317 — 2318
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Shodai See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Shodai Yoritaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 3Day Kinbozan Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 10Day Shodai Tsukiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Australia
eastMaegashira 9
Gonoyama
●Loss
55%
wolf
westMaegashira 9
Roga
○ Win
45%
Data Oyakata Miss
Roga ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 7 - 2 Roga
Strength index 2317 — 2297
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Gonoyama See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 12Day Gonoyama Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 4Day Gonoyama Tsukidashi
2024 Aki Basho 13Day Gonoyama Yorikiri of
2023 Natsu Basho 8Day Gonoyama Tsukiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
time
eastMaegashira 10
Tokihayate
○ Win
45%
Koto
westMaegashira 10
Kotoshoho
●Loss
55%
Data Oyakata Miss
Tokihayate ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tokihayate 1 - 2 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2299 — 2318
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Tokihayate See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Nagoya Basho 7Day Kotoshoho Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 5Day Kotoshoho Uwatenage
2025 Hatsu Basho 8Day Tokihayate Uwatedashinage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
thousand
eastMaegashira 11
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
42%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 11
Nishikifuji
○ Win
58%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Nishikifuji ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 5 - 6 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2278 — 2287
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Nishikifuji Komatasukui
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Nishikifuji Hatakikomi
2024 Kyushu Basho 4Day Chiyoshoma Yoritaoshi of
2024 Aki Basho 1Day Chiyoshoma Katasukashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 15Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Green
eastMaegashira 12
Midorifuji
●Loss
42%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
○ Win
58%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Abi ButUwatenageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Midorifuji 4 - 3 Abi
Strength index 2279 — 2333
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Midorifuji See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Midorifuji Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Abi Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 12Day Abi Yorikiri of
2023 Nagoya Basho 2Day Abi Oshitaoshi of
2023 Natsu Basho 7Day Midorifuji Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Sho
eastMaegashira 13
Tobizaru
○ Win
50%
friend
westMaegashira 13
Tomokaze
●Loss
50%
Data Oyakata Miss
Tobizaru ButHikiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 0 - 3 Tomokaze
Strength index 2293 — 2244
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Tobizaru See Tomokaze
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Tomokaze Oshidashi
2019 Hatsu Basho 14Day Tomokaze Oshidashi
2018 Kyushu Basho 6Day Tomokaze Oshitaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
lion
eastMaegashira 14
Shishi
○ Win
55%
God
westMaegashira 14
Mitakeumi
●Loss
45%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Shishi ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shishi 2 - 1 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2265 — 2256
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Shishi See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Shishi Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 4Day Mitakeumi Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Shishi Uwatenage
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
dragon
eastMaegashira 15
Ryuden
○ Win
46%
morning
westMaegashira 15
Asakoryu
●Loss
54%
Data Oyakata Miss
Ryuden ButFoulDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ryuden 1 - 4 Asakoryu
Strength index 2230 — 2233
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Ryuden See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Asakoryu Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Ryuden Uwatenage
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
2025 Hatsu Basho 7Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
2024 Kyushu Basho 11Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
morning
eastMaegashira 17
Asahakuryu
○ Win
61%
feather
westMaegashira 17
Hatsuyama
●Loss
39%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asahakuryu ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asahakuryu 2 - 0 Hatsuyama
Strength index 2283 — 2254
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Asahakuryu See Hatsuyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Asahakuryu Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Asahakuryu Oshidashi
🧐
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