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2026 Hatsu Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

12Day Results This day Oyakata 48%(10/21)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Hatsu Basho ▼
eastwest

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12Day Makuuchi bout results

Results for this Basho

Special prizes

Oyakata results 10/21 48%
・
Miss ○ Advantage
fog
east Sekiwake
Kirishima
○ Win
38%
Yutaka
west Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
●Loss
62%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kirishima ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 9 - 14 Hoshoryu
Strength index 2574 — 2659
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Kirishima See Hoshoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 11Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Kirishima Uwatenage
2025 Hatsu Basho 1Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 14Day Hoshoryu Tsuridashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Large
east Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
67%
high
west Sekiwake
Takayasu
●Loss
33%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 4 - 2 Takayasu
Strength index 2651 — 2526
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Onosato See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 11Day Onosato Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 9Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 2Day Onosato Hatakikomi
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Koto
east Ozeki
Kotozakura
○ Win
73%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
●Loss
27%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotozakura ButTsuridashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 13 - 6 Abi
Strength index 2540 — 2382
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Kotozakura See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 6Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 2Day Kotozakura Hikiotoshi
2025 Haru Basho 3Day Abi Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 2Day Abi Tsukidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
flat
eastMaegashira 6
Hiradoumi
○ Win
44%
young
west Komusubi
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
56%
Data Oyakata Miss
Hiradoumi ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 5 - 4 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2412 — 2500
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Hiradoumi See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 11Day Wakamotoharu Hatakikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 12Day Wakamotoharu Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Takashi
eastMaegashira 3
Takanosho
○ Win
55%
One
westMaegashira 1
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
45%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takanosho ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 6 - 1 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2393 — 2371
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Takanosho See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 2Day Ichiyamamoto Yorikiri of
2024 Natsu Basho 14Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2023 Natsu Basho 14Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2022 Aki Basho 11Day Takanosho Hatakikomi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 2
Ura
○ Win
41%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
●Loss
59%
Data Oyakata Miss
Ura ButKatasukashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 1 - 2 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2389 — 2461
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Ura See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Ura Uwatedashinage
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Hakunofuji Oshitaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 6Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
・
Miss ○ Advantage
ball
eastMaegashira 5
Tamawashi
●Loss
60%
Australia
westMaegashira 9
Gonoyama
○ Win
40%
Data Oyakata Miss
Gonoyama ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tamawashi 3 - 2 Gonoyama
Strength index 2400 — 2296
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Tamawashi See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 11Day Tamawashi Oshitaoshi of
2025 Nagoya Basho 6Day Tamawashi Oshitaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 4Day Tamawashi Hatakikomi
2024 Haru Basho 3Day Gonoyama Hatakikomi
2023 Nagoya Basho 15Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Ah
eastMaegashira 6
Onokatsu
○ Win
58%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 11
Nishikifuji
●Loss
42%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onokatsu ButFusenpai✦ Rare techniqueDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onokatsu 3 - 1 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2350 — 2297
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Onokatsu See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 1Day Onokatsu Tsuridashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Onokatsu Yoritaoshi of
2024 Kyushu Basho 1Day Onokatsu Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 4Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 8
Shodai
○ Win
56%
Green
westMaegashira 12
Midorifuji
●Loss
44%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Shodai ButKotenageDeWin
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Head-to-head Shodai 11 - 5 Midorifuji
Strength index 2314 — 2272
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Shodai See Midorifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Midorifuji Amiuchi
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Shodai Oshitaoshi of
2025 Nagoya Basho 4Day Shodai Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 2Day Shodai Hatakikomi
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Shodai Makiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
dragon
eastMaegashira 15
Ryuden
○ Win
43%
gold
westMaegashira 8
Kinbozan
●Loss
57%
Data Oyakata Miss
Ryuden ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ryuden 6 - 0 Kinbozan
Strength index 2216 — 2302
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Ryuden See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Ryuden Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 4Day Ryuden Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 3Day Ryuden Yorikiri of
2024 Natsu Basho 11Day Ryuden Uwatenage
2024 Hatsu Basho 5Day Ryuden Okuridashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
time
eastMaegashira 10
Tokihayate
●Loss
57%
morning
westMaegashira 15
Asakoryu
○ Win
43%
Data Oyakata Miss
Asakoryu ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tokihayate 6 - 3 Asakoryu
Strength index 2311 — 2260
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Tokihayate See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Tokihayate Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Tokihayate Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Tokihayate Kotenage
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
thousand
eastMaegashira 11
Chiyoshoma
○ Win
48%
friend
westMaegashira 13
Tomokaze
●Loss
52%
Data Oyakata Miss
Chiyoshoma ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 2 - 2 Tomokaze
Strength index 2253 — 2227
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Tomokaze
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Aki Basho 13Day Chiyoshoma Oshidashi
2024 Haru Basho 12Day Tomokaze Oshidashi
2019 Natsu Basho 14Day Tomokaze Yorikiri of
2019 Haru Basho 10Day Chiyoshoma Oshitaoshi of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Sho
eastMaegashira 13
Tobizaru
○ Win
49%
God
westMaegashira 14
Mitakeumi
●Loss
51%
Data Oyakata Miss
Tobizaru ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 9 - 4 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2266 — 2254
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Tobizaru See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 14Day Tobizaru Okuridashi
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 11Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
2023 Nagoya Basho 6Day Tobizaru Okuridashi
🧐
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