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2026 Hatsu Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

Final day Results This day Oyakata 71%(15/21)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Hatsu Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

Final day's Makuuchi bout results

Results for this Basho

Special prizes

Oyakata results 15/21 71%
Most popular
Miss ▲ Close bout
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
○ Win
42%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
●Loss
58%
Data Oyakata Miss
Hoshoryu ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 8 - 2 Onosato
Strength index 2645 — 2683
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Hoshoryu See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Hoshoryu のFusensho
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Hoshoryu Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 15Day Hoshoryu Uwatehineri
2025 Hatsu Basho 13Day Hoshoryu Kubinage
2024 Kyushu Basho 13Day Hoshoryu Tottari
Most popular
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Koto
east Ozeki
Kotozakura
●Loss
31%
Cheap
west Ozeki
Aonishiki
○ Win
69%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 1 - 3 Aonishiki
Strength index 2532 — 2686
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Kotozakura See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Aonishiki Uchimuso
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Aonishiki Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 1Day Aonishiki Uchimuso
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Kotozakura Kotenage
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fog
east Sekiwake
Kirishima
○ Win
70%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
●Loss
30%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 11 - 8 Abi
Strength index 2577 — 2383
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Kirishima See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Kirishima Sukuinage of
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Kirishima Uwatenage
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Kirishima Okuridashi
2025 Haru Basho 6Day Abi Okuridashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Kirishima Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Takashi
eastMaegashira 3
Takanosho
○ Win
41%
king
west Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
59%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takanosho ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 3 - 6 Oho
Strength index 2397 — 2445
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Takanosho See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Oho Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 14Day Oho Tsukiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Oho Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 3Day Takanosho Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Ah
eastMaegashira 6
Onokatsu
●Loss
35%
young
west Komusubi
Wakamotoharu
○ Win
65%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakamotoharu ButUwatehineriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onokatsu 1 - 2 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2361 — 2501
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Onokatsu See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 10Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
One
eastMaegashira 1
Ichiyamamoto
○ Win
58%
gold
westMaegashira 8
Kinbozan
●Loss
42%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Ichiyamamoto ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ichiyamamoto 3 - 3 Kinbozan
Strength index 2361 — 2260
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Ichiyamamoto See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Ichiyamamoto Uwatenage
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Kinbozan Uwatenage
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
2024 Natsu Basho 3Day Kinbozan Tsukiotoshi
2024 Hatsu Basho 3Day Kinbozan Tsukidashi
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Europe
eastMaegashira 7
Oshoma
●Loss
28%
righteousness
westMaegashira 1
Yoshinofuji
○ Win
72%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Yoshinofuji ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoma 0 - 2 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2335 — 2484
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Oshoma See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Yoshinofuji Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
ball
eastMaegashira 5
Tamawashi
●Loss
44%
u
westMaegashira 2
Ura
○ Win
56%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Ura ButHikiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tamawashi 6 - 5 Ura
Strength index 2384 — 2402
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Tamawashi See Ura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Ura Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Ura Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
2023 Aki Basho 4Day Ura Oshitaoshi of
2022 Kyushu Basho 9Day Tamawashi Gasshohineri
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
flat
eastMaegashira 6
Hiradoumi
●Loss
34%
young
westMaegashira 2
Wakatakakage
○ Win
66%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakatakakage ButKatasukashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 2 - 5 Wakatakakage
Strength index 2422 — 2517
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Hiradoumi See Wakatakakage
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Hiradoumi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 9Day Wakatakakage Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Wakatakakage Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 15Day Wakatakakage Oshitaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
time
eastMaegashira 10
Tokihayate
●Loss
42%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 7
Fujinokawa
○ Win
58%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujinokawa ButSukuinageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tokihayate 2 - 1 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2320 — 2380
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Tokihayate See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Tokihayate Shitatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 12Day Fujinokawa Uwatenage
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Positive
eastMaegashira 8
Shodai
○ Win
33%
morning
westMaegashira 16
Asanoyama
●Loss
67%
Data Oyakata Miss
Shodai ButKatasukashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 5 - 9 Asanoyama
Strength index 2300 — 2448
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Shodai See Asanoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2023 Kyushu Basho 14Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2023 Aki Basho 14Day Shodai Yorikiri of
2023 Nagoya Basho 13Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2023 Natsu Basho 14Day Asanoyama Yoritaoshi of
2021 Haru Basho 15Day Asanoyama Uwatenage
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
wolf
eastMaegashira 9
Roga
○ Win
60%
friend
westMaegashira 13
Tomokaze
●Loss
40%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Roga ButUwatenageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 5 - 3 Tomokaze
Strength index 2282 — 2203
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Roga See Tomokaze
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Roga Hatakikomi
2025 Haru Basho 8Day Tomokaze Hatakikomi
2024 Natsu Basho 1Day Roga Uwatenage
2023 Kyushu Basho 7Day Tomokaze Hatakikomi
2023 Aki Basho 5Day Tomokaze Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
thousand
eastMaegashira 11
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
43%
Sho
westMaegashira 13
Tobizaru
○ Win
57%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Tobizaru ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 1 - 11 Tobizaru
Strength index 2264 — 2278
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Tobizaru
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 2Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2023 Nagoya Basho 14Day Tobizaru Okuridashi
2022 Haru Basho 5Day Tobizaru Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Green
eastMaegashira 12
Midorifuji
●Loss
51%
God
westMaegashira 14
Mitakeumi
○ Win
49%
Data Oyakata Miss
Mitakeumi ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Midorifuji 4 - 7 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2265 — 2248
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Midorifuji See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Mitakeumi Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 9Day Mitakeumi Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 15Day Midorifuji Katasukashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Midorifuji Shitatenage
2024 Kyushu Basho 4Day Mitakeumi Kimedashi
🧐
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