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2026 Hatsu Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

3Day Results This day Oyakata 62%(13/21)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Hatsu Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

3Day Makuuchi bout results

Results for this Basho

Special prizes

Oyakata results 13/21 62%
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
u
eastMaegashira 2
Ura
●Loss
19%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
81%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButOshitaoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 0 - 6 Onosato
Strength index 2433 — 2702
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Ura See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Onosato Uwatehineri
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Onosato Okuridashi
2025 Haru Basho 11Day Onosato Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 15Day Onosato Tsukidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 7Day Onosato Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Koto
east Ozeki
Kotozakura
○ Win
64%
young
west Komusubi
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
36%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotozakura ButSukuinageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 14 - 8 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2547 — 2477
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Kotozakura See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Wakamotoharu Uwatenage
2025 Aki Basho 11Day Kotozakura Uwatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 4Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 4Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 1Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
fog
east Sekiwake
Kirishima
○ Win
52%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
●Loss
48%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 2 - 2 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2559 — 2474
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Kirishima See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Kirishima Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 9Day Hakunofuji Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Kirishima Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
●Loss
47%
high
west Sekiwake
Takayasu
○ Win
53%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takayasu ButKainahineriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 12 - 12 Takayasu
Strength index 2465 — 2501
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Daieisho See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 4Day Daieisho Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 6Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
2024 Aki Basho 13Day Daieisho Oshidashi
2024 Natsu Basho 14Day Daieisho Oshidashi
2023 Kyushu Basho 3Day Daieisho Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
king
east Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
46%
young
westMaegashira 2
Wakatakakage
○ Win
54%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakatakakage ButYorikiriDeWin
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Head-to-head Oho 2 - 6 Wakatakakage
Strength index 2483 — 2497
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Oho See Wakatakakage
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Oho Kotenage
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Wakatakakage Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 1Day Wakatakakage Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 8Day Wakatakakage Yoritaoshi of
2025 Haru Basho 6Day Wakatakakage Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Takashi
eastMaegashira 3
Takanosho
●Loss
54%
fever
westMaegashira 4
Atamifuji
○ Win
46%
Data Oyakata Miss
Atamifuji ButHatakikomiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 3 - 4 Atamifuji
Strength index 2412 — 2361
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Takanosho See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 11Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 6Day Takanosho Hikiotoshi
2024 Natsu Basho 15Day Takanosho Yorikiri of
2024 Haru Basho 10Day Atamifuji Hatakikomi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
ball
eastMaegashira 5
Tamawashi
●Loss
53%
flat
westMaegashira 6
Hiradoumi
○ Win
47%
Data Oyakata Miss
Hiradoumi ButYorikiriDeWin
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Head-to-head Tamawashi 8 - 3 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2436 — 2392
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 4 wins, 11 losses
See Tamawashi See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Tamawashi Kubihineri of
2025 Aki Basho 13Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 1Day Tamawashi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Natsu Basho 15Day Tamawashi Oshitaoshi of
2025 Haru Basho 6Day Tamawashi Oshitaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 8
Shodai
●Loss
41%
Europe
westMaegashira 7
Oshoma
○ Win
59%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Oshoma ButTsukidashiDeWin
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Head-to-head Shodai 1 - 6 Oshoma
Strength index 2335 — 2370
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 4 wins, 11 losses
See Shodai See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 10Day Oshoma Okuridashi
2025 Haru Basho 5Day Oshoma Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 15Day Oshoma Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
wolf
eastMaegashira 9
Roga
●Loss
52%
Koto
westMaegashira 10
Kotoshoho
○ Win
48%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kotoshoho ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 3 - 2 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2299 — 2296
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Roga See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Kotoshoho Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 15Day Roga Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 6Day Roga Tsukiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 8Day Roga Oshitaoshi of
2024 Haru Basho 15Day Kotoshoho Amiuchi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
thousand
eastMaegashira 11
Chiyoshoma
○ Win
48%
Green
westMaegashira 12
Midorifuji
●Loss
52%
Data Oyakata Miss
Chiyoshoma ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 3 - 4 Midorifuji
Strength index 2280 — 2260
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Midorifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 10Day Midorifuji Tsukiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Chiyoshoma Oshidashi
2022 Nagoya Basho 3Day Midorifuji Uwatenage
2022 Natsu Basho 14Day Midorifuji Shitatenage
2021 Haru Basho 7Day Chiyoshoma Makiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Nishiki
eastMaegashira 11
Nishikifuji
●Loss
44%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
○ Win
56%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Abi ButUwatedashinageDeWin
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Head-to-head Nishikifuji 1 - 3 Abi
Strength index 2307 — 2349
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Nishikifuji See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2023 Natsu Basho 13Day Abi Oshitaoshi of
2022 Kyushu Basho 9Day Nishikifuji Tsukiotoshi
2021 Aki Basho 15Day Abi Hatakikomi
2021 Nagoya Basho 5Day Abi Okuridashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Sho
eastMaegashira 13
Tobizaru
●Loss
44%
lion
westMaegashira 14
Shishi
○ Win
56%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Shishi ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 1 - 2 Shishi
Strength index 2293 — 2286
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Tobizaru See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Shishi Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Tobizaru Hatakikomi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 15
Asakoryu
○ Win
44%
friend
westMaegashira 13
Tomokaze
●Loss
56%
Data Oyakata Miss
Asakoryu ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asakoryu 2 - 6 Tomokaze
Strength index 2211 — 2247
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Asakoryu See Tomokaze
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Tomokaze Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Asakoryu Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Tomokaze Hatakikomi
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Tomokaze Hatakikomi
2024 Haru Basho 13Day Tomokaze Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
morning
eastMaegashira 16
Asanoyama
○ Win
68%
God
westMaegashira 14
Mitakeumi
●Loss
32%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asanoyama ButYorikiriDeWin
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Head-to-head Asanoyama 6 - 6 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2444 — 2256
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Asanoyama See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2023 Aki Basho 13Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2021 Natsu Basho 10Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2021 Haru Basho 12Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2021 Hatsu Basho 3Day Mitakeumi Oshidashi
2020 Aki Basho 13Day Asanoyama Uwatenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
feather
eastMaegashira 17
Hatsuyama
●Loss
50%
Europe
westMaegashira 16
Oshoumi
○ Win
50%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Oshoumi ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hatsuyama 1 - 4 Oshoumi
Strength index 2235 — 2226
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Hatsuyama See Oshoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Hatsuyama Hatakikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 6Day Oshoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 6Day Oshoumi Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 1Day Oshoumi Oshidashi
2022 Kyushu Basho 10Day Oshoumi Shitatenage
🧐
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