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2026 Hatsu Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

11Day Results This day Oyakata 57%(12/21)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Hatsu Basho ▼
eastwest

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11Day Makuuchi bout results

Results for this Basho

Special prizes

Oyakata results 12/21 57%
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
○ Win
61%
high
west Sekiwake
Takayasu
●Loss
39%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hoshoryu ButTottariDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 4 - 11 Takayasu
Strength index 2652 — 2532
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Hoshoryu See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Hoshoryu Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 1Day Hoshoryu Sotogake
2025 Haru Basho 8Day Takayasu Oshitaoshi of
2024 Natsu Basho 9Day Takayasu Sukuinage of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fog
east Sekiwake
Kirishima
●Loss
39%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
61%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 0 - 9 Onosato
Strength index 2582 — 2641
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Kirishima See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Onosato Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 11Day Onosato Uwatehineri
2025 Haru Basho 2Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 2Day Onosato Oshidashi
・
Miss ◎ High confidence
Takashi
eastMaegashira 3
Takanosho
○ Win
28%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
●Loss
72%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takanosho ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 4 - 9 Kotozakura
Strength index 2379 — 2554
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Takanosho See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Kotozakura Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 5Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 1Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 13Day Kotozakura Uwatenage
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Cheap
east Ozeki
Aonishiki
○ Win
74%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
●Loss
26%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButShitatenageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 4 - 0 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2676 — 2467
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Aonishiki See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Aonishiki Kubinage
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 13Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 11Day Aonishiki Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
u
eastMaegashira 2
Ura
●Loss
37%
young
west Komusubi
Wakamotoharu
○ Win
63%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakamotoharu ButOshitaoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 3 - 12 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2396 — 2493
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Ura See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Ura Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Wakamotoharu Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Wakamotoharu Oshitaoshi of
2024 Kyushu Basho 3Day Wakamotoharu Oshitaoshi of
2024 Aki Basho 15Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
One
eastMaegashira 1
Ichiyamamoto
○ Win
31%
young
westMaegashira 2
Wakatakakage
●Loss
69%
Data Oyakata Miss
Ichiyamamoto ButHikiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ichiyamamoto 2 - 1 Wakatakakage
Strength index 2357 — 2505
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Ichiyamamoto See Wakatakakage
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Hatsu Basho 15Day Ichiyamamoto Hatakikomi
2024 Aki Basho 7Day Wakatakakage Okuridashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 12Day Ichiyamamoto Uwatenage
・
Miss ○ Advantage
ball
eastMaegashira 5
Tamawashi
●Loss
61%
gold
westMaegashira 8
Kinbozan
○ Win
39%
Data Oyakata Miss
Kinbozan ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tamawashi 4 - 6 Kinbozan
Strength index 2412 — 2287
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Tamawashi See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 5Day Kinbozan Tsukidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 8Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 9Day Kinbozan Hatakikomi
2024 Nagoya Basho 4Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 10
Kotoshoho
●Loss
53%
beauty
westMaegashira 5
Churanoumi
○ Win
47%
Data Oyakata Miss
Churanoumi ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotoshoho 9 - 4 Churanoumi
Strength index 2334 — 2372
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Kotoshoho See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 10Day Kotoshoho Sukuinage of
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Churanoumi Tsukiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 7Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 16
Asanoyama
○ Win
55%
flat
westMaegashira 6
Hiradoumi
●Loss
45%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asanoyama ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 3 - 0 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2448 — 2421
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 4 wins, 11 losses
See Asanoyama See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Hatsu Basho 5Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2023 Nagoya Basho 3Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2023 Natsu Basho 10Day Asanoyama Hatakikomi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Europe
eastMaegashira 7
Oshoma
●Loss
67%
wolf
westMaegashira 9
Roga
○ Win
33%
Data Oyakata Miss
Roga ButUwatedashinageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoma 9 - 2 Roga
Strength index 2363 — 2259
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Oshoma See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 11Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 4Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 11Day Oshoma Uwatenage
2024 Natsu Basho 2Day Oshoma Okuridashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 13Day Oshoma Okuridashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 8
Shodai
○ Win
58%
friend
westMaegashira 13
Tomokaze
●Loss
42%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Shodai ButHikiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 2 - 1 Tomokaze
Strength index 2306 — 2235
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Shodai See Tomokaze
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Natsu Basho 15Day Shodai Oshidashi
2019 Aki Basho 6Day Tomokaze Hatakikomi
2019 Natsu Basho 8Day Shodai Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Australia
eastMaegashira 9
Gonoyama
●Loss
59%
God
westMaegashira 14
Mitakeumi
○ Win
41%
Data Oyakata Miss
Mitakeumi ButHatakikomiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 4 - 1 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2310 — 2242
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Gonoyama See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 2Day Gonoyama Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 14Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2024 Haru Basho 11Day Gonoyama Tsukidashi
2023 Aki Basho 10Day Mitakeumi Shitatenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
thousand
eastMaegashira 11
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
44%
morning
westMaegashira 15
Asakoryu
○ Win
56%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asakoryu ButSukuinageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 2 - 5 Asakoryu
Strength index 2262 — 2248
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
2024 Kyushu Basho 9Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 14Day Asakoryu Oshidashi
2024 Natsu Basho 2Day Chiyoshoma Uwatenage
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Europe
eastMaegashira 16
Oshoumi
○ Win
48%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 11
Nishikifuji
●Loss
52%
Data Oyakata Miss
Oshoumi ButSotogakeDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoumi 1 - 2 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2275 — 2308
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Oshoumi See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Oshoumi Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
dragon
eastMaegashira 15
Ryuden
●Loss
41%
Green
westMaegashira 12
Midorifuji
○ Win
59%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Midorifuji ButKatasukashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ryuden 1 - 8 Midorifuji
Strength index 2224 — 2263
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Ryuden See Midorifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Midorifuji Katasukashi
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Midorifuji Tsukiotoshi
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Midorifuji Katasukashi
2024 Aki Basho 12Day Midorifuji Katasukashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 8Day Midorifuji Shitatedashinage
🧐
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