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2026 Hatsu Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

6Day Results This day Oyakata 81%(17/21)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Hatsu Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

6Day Makuuchi bout results

Results for this Basho

Special prizes

Oyakata results 17/21 81%
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Takashi
eastMaegashira 3
Takanosho
●Loss
18%
Yutaka
west Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
○ Win
82%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hoshoryu ButHatakikomiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 3 - 9 Hoshoryu
Strength index 2392 — 2670
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Takanosho See Hoshoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Hoshoryu Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Hoshoryu Tsukidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 4Day Hoshoryu Tsukiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 1Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2024 Haru Basho 8Day Hoshoryu Oshidashi
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Large
east Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
72%
young
westMaegashira 2
Wakatakakage
●Loss
28%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButHatakikomiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Onosato 6 - 2 Wakatakakage
Strength index 2690 — 2508
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Onosato See Wakatakakage
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 13Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Onosato Yoritaoshi of
2025 Haru Basho 1Day Onosato Kirikaeshi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
●Loss
37%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
○ Win
63%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotozakura ButTsukidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 8 - 12 Kotozakura
Strength index 2442 — 2529
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Daieisho See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 15Day Daieisho Tsukidashi
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Daieisho Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 1Day Daieisho Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Cheap
east Ozeki
Aonishiki
○ Win
66%
high
west Sekiwake
Takayasu
●Loss
34%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 2 - 1 Takayasu
Strength index 2666 — 2524
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Aonishiki See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 6Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 6Day Takayasu Uwatenage
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fog
east Sekiwake
Kirishima
○ Win
64%
One
westMaegashira 1
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
36%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButOshidashiDeWin
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Head-to-head Kirishima 3 - 4 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2561 — 2392
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Kirishima See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Kirishima Hatakikomi
2025 Haru Basho 13Day Kirishima Shitatenage
2019 Kyushu Basho 2Day Ichiyamamoto Fusen of
2019 Aki Basho 9Day Ichiyamamoto Hikiotoshi
2019 Nagoya Basho 10Day Ichiyamamoto Yoritaoshi of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
king
east Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
55%
young
west Komusubi
Wakamotoharu
○ Win
45%
Data Oyakata Miss
Wakamotoharu ButUtchariDeWin
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Head-to-head Oho 4 - 13 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2501 — 2454
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Oho See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Oho Katasukashi
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Wakamotoharu Uwatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 6Day Wakamotoharu Hatakikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Wakamotoharu Uwatenage
2025 Haru Basho 2Day Wakamotoharu Sukuinage of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
u
eastMaegashira 2
Ura
●Loss
34%
righteousness
westMaegashira 1
Yoshinofuji
○ Win
66%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Yoshinofuji ButOshitaoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 1 - 2 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2415 — 2521
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Ura See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 3Day Yoshinofuji Yoritaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Ura Hikiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 10Day Yoshinofuji Okuridashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
ball
eastMaegashira 5
Tamawashi
●Loss
44%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
○ Win
56%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hakunofuji ButYorikiriDeWin
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Head-to-head Tamawashi 4 - 1 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2424 — 2469
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Tamawashi See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 4Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 3Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 12Day Tamawashi Uwatenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
flat
eastMaegashira 6
Hiradoumi
●Loss
50%
fever
westMaegashira 4
Atamifuji
○ Win
50%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Atamifuji ButYorikiriDeWin
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Head-to-head Hiradoumi 9 - 3 Atamifuji
Strength index 2402 — 2397
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Hiradoumi See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Atamifuji Tsukiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 11Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Europe
eastMaegashira 7
Oshoma
●Loss
60%
beauty
westMaegashira 5
Churanoumi
○ Win
40%
Data Oyakata Miss
Churanoumi ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoma 6 - 5 Churanoumi
Strength index 2401 — 2343
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Oshoma See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 5Day Oshoma Hikiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 4Day Churanoumi Sukuinage of
2024 Aki Basho 8Day Oshoma Hatakikomi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Australia
eastMaegashira 9
Gonoyama
●Loss
34%
Wisteria
westMaegashira 7
Fujinokawa
○ Win
66%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Fujinokawa ButOshitaoshiDeWin
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Head-to-head Gonoyama 0 - 2 Fujinokawa
Strength index 2284 — 2374
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Gonoyama See Fujinokawa
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Fujinokawa Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Fujinokawa Yoritaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
time
eastMaegashira 10
Tokihayate
●Loss
48%
gold
westMaegashira 8
Kinbozan
○ Win
52%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kinbozan ButTsuridashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tokihayate 0 - 4 Kinbozan
Strength index 2310 — 2286
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Tokihayate See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Kinbozan Tsukidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 7Day Kinbozan Oshitaoshi of
2024 Kyushu Basho 14Day Kinbozan Oshidashi
2022 Nagoya Basho 11Day Kinbozan Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
thousand
eastMaegashira 11
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
45%
wolf
westMaegashira 9
Roga
○ Win
55%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Roga ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 2 - 2 Roga
Strength index 2272 — 2288
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Chiyoshoma Uwatedashinage
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Roga Uwatedashinage
2025 Hatsu Basho 7Day Chiyoshoma のFusensho
2024 Hatsu Basho 11Day Roga Uwatedashinage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Green
eastMaegashira 12
Midorifuji
●Loss
44%
Koto
westMaegashira 10
Kotoshoho
○ Win
56%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotoshoho ButYoritaoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Midorifuji 6 - 7 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2271 — 2326
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Midorifuji See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Hatsu Basho 13Day Midorifuji Tsukiotoshi
2024 Kyushu Basho 11Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 9Day Midorifuji Oshidashi
2024 Natsu Basho 7Day Kotoshoho Yorikiri of
2024 Haru Basho 10Day Midorifuji Katasukashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
dragon
eastMaegashira 15
Ryuden
○ Win
41%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 11
Nishikifuji
●Loss
59%
Data Oyakata Miss
Ryuden ButYorikiriDeWin
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Head-to-head Ryuden 7 - 4 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2211 — 2298
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Ryuden See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Nishikifuji Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 2Day Ryuden のFusensho
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Ryuden Okuridashi
2024 Aki Basho 5Day Ryuden Yorikiri of
・
Miss ○ Advantage
morning
eastMaegashira 16
Asanoyama
●Loss
67%
friend
westMaegashira 13
Tomokaze
○ Win
33%
Data Oyakata Miss
Tomokaze ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 2 - 1 Tomokaze
Strength index 2459 — 2241
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Asanoyama See Tomokaze
Head-to-head record before this bout
2019 Aki Basho 14Day Asanoyama Uwatenage
2019 Natsu Basho 2Day Asanoyama Uwatenage
2019 Haru Basho 13Day Tomokaze Uwatenage
🧐
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