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2026 Hatsu Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

4Day Results This day Oyakata 52%(11/21)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Hatsu Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

4Day Makuuchi bout results

Results for this Basho

Special prizes

Oyakata results 11/21 52%
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
u
eastMaegashira 2
Ura
●Loss
24%
Yutaka
west Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
○ Win
76%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hoshoryu ButUwatehineriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 6 - 10 Hoshoryu
Strength index 2430 — 2660
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Ura See Hoshoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Hoshoryu Ashitori
2025 Natsu Basho 10Day Hoshoryu Okuridashi
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Ura のFusensho
2024 Kyushu Basho 4Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Ura Okuridashi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Koto
east Ozeki
Kotozakura
●Loss
71%
One
westMaegashira 1
Ichiyamamoto
○ Win
29%
Data Oyakata Miss
Ichiyamamoto ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 5 - 3 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2555 — 2384
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Kotozakura See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 12Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Ichiyamamoto Hatakikomi
2022 Hatsu Basho 6Day Kotozakura Oshitaoshi of
2021 Nagoya Basho 10Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2019 Nagoya Basho 3Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
・
Miss ◎ High confidence
king
east Komusubi
Oho
○ Win
24%
Cheap
west Ozeki
Aonishiki
●Loss
76%
Data Oyakata Miss
Oho ButAbisetaoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oho 1 - 3 Aonishiki
Strength index 2473 — 2682
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Oho See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Aonishiki Watashikomi
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Oho Kotenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Aonishiki Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 15Day Aonishiki Kirikaeshi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
fog
east Sekiwake
Kirishima
○ Win
64%
young
west Komusubi
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
36%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kirishima 14 - 7 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2566 — 2469
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Kirishima See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Kirishima Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 8Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 1Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 6Day Kirishima Sotogake
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Kirishima Katasukashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Haku
eastMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
●Loss
52%
high
west Sekiwake
Takayasu
○ Win
48%
Data Oyakata Miss
Takayasu ButsakatottariDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hakunofuji 3 - 1 Takayasu
Strength index 2464 — 2509
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Hakunofuji See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 15Day Hakunofuji Yorikiri of
2023 Nagoya Basho 11Day Hakunofuji Okuridashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Takashi
eastMaegashira 3
Takanosho
●Loss
37%
young
westMaegashira 2
Wakatakakage
○ Win
63%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakatakakage ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 9 - 10 Wakatakakage
Strength index 2401 — 2507
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Takanosho See Wakatakakage
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Wakatakakage Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Wakatakakage Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Wakatakakage Sukuinage of
2024 Kyushu Basho 15Day Takanosho Hatakikomi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
ball
eastMaegashira 5
Tamawashi
○ Win
47%
Large
westMaegashira 4
Daieisho
●Loss
53%
Data Oyakata Miss
Tamawashi ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tamawashi 16 - 10 Daieisho
Strength index 2426 — 2456
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 10 wins, 5 losses
See Tamawashi See Daieisho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Tamawashi Tsukidashi
2023 Nagoya Basho 12Day Tamawashi Hatakikomi
2023 Haru Basho 9Day Daieisho Tsukiotoshi
2023 Hatsu Basho 10Day Tamawashi Tsukiotoshi
2022 Kyushu Basho 4Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
fever
eastMaegashira 4
Atamifuji
○ Win
56%
beauty
westMaegashira 5
Churanoumi
●Loss
44%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Atamifuji ButYorikiriDeWin
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Head-to-head Atamifuji 8 - 2 Churanoumi
Strength index 2374 — 2362
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Atamifuji See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Churanoumi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 15Day Atamifuji Kimedashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 1Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2023 Kyushu Basho 11Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
flat
eastMaegashira 6
Hiradoumi
●Loss
52%
Europe
westMaegashira 7
Oshoma
○ Win
48%
Data Oyakata Miss
Oshoma ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hiradoumi 2 - 2 Oshoma
Strength index 2404 — 2380
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 4 wins, 11 losses
See Hiradoumi See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Oshoma Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 12Day Hiradoumi Yoritaoshi of
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Oshoma Hatakikomi
2024 Kyushu Basho 14Day Hiradoumi Tsukidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 8
Shodai
○ Win
54%
Australia
westMaegashira 9
Gonoyama
●Loss
46%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Shodai ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shodai 3 - 2 Gonoyama
Strength index 2327 — 2306
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Shodai See Gonoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Shodai Oshitaoshi of
2024 Aki Basho 11Day Shodai Uwatenage
2024 Haru Basho 9Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 10Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2023 Kyushu Basho 4Day Shodai Tsukiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
gold
eastMaegashira 8
Kinbozan
●Loss
53%
wolf
westMaegashira 9
Roga
○ Win
47%
Data Oyakata Miss
Roga ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 3 - 4 Roga
Strength index 2307 — 2288
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Kinbozan See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 6Day Roga Uwatenage
2025 Natsu Basho 10Day Roga Okuridashi
2024 Aki Basho 14Day Roga Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 14Day Roga Yorikiri of
2023 Hatsu Basho 12Day Kinbozan Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
thousand
eastMaegashira 11
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
48%
time
westMaegashira 10
Tokihayate
○ Win
52%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Tokihayate ButUwatedashinageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 5 - 2 Tokihayate
Strength index 2288 — 2288
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Tokihayate
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 10Day Chiyoshoma Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 5Day Tokihayate Uwatedashinage
2024 Kyushu Basho 11Day Chiyoshoma Yoritaoshi of
2024 Aki Basho 2Day Chiyoshoma Katasukashi
2024 Haru Basho 10Day Chiyoshoma Sukuinage of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Koto
eastMaegashira 10
Kotoshoho
○ Win
51%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 11
Nishikifuji
●Loss
49%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotoshoho ButHatakikomiDeWin
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Head-to-head Kotoshoho 3 - 6 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2307 — 2298
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Kotoshoho See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Hatsu Basho 6Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2023 Kyushu Basho 9Day Kotoshoho Yorikiri of
2023 Aki Basho 7Day Nishikifuji Hatakikomi
2022 Aki Basho 2Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2022 Hatsu Basho 15Day Nishikifuji Shitatenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Sho
eastMaegashira 13
Tobizaru
●Loss
48%
Green
westMaegashira 12
Midorifuji
○ Win
52%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Midorifuji ButSukuinageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 5 - 7 Midorifuji
Strength index 2283 — 2251
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Tobizaru See Midorifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Tobizaru Yoritaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Tobizaru Uwatenage
2024 Natsu Basho 11Day Midorifuji Hatakikomi
2024 Haru Basho 2Day Midorifuji Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 11Day Tobizaru Oshitaoshi of
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