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2026 Hatsu Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

7Day Results This day Oyakata 76%(16/21)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Hatsu Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

7Day Makuuchi bout results

Results for this Basho

Special prizes

Oyakata results 16/21 76%
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
○ Win
68%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
●Loss
32%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hoshoryu ButYoritaoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 3 - 1 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2673 — 2480
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Hoshoryu See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Hakunofuji Yoritaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
2025 Natsu Basho 11Day Hoshoryu Koshikudake
2023 Nagoya Basho 15Day Hoshoryu Uwatenage
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
●Loss
17%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
83%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButHatakikomiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Daieisho 1 - 7 Onosato
Strength index 2435 — 2697
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Daieisho See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 14Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Onosato Hatakikomi
2024 Kyushu Basho 10Day Daieisho Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 4Day Onosato Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Koto
east Ozeki
Kotozakura
○ Win
51%
young
westMaegashira 2
Wakatakakage
●Loss
49%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotozakura ButHatakikomiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 8 - 8 Wakatakakage
Strength index 2536 — 2503
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kotozakura See Wakatakakage
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 10Day Wakatakakage Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 3Day Wakatakakage Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 11Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Cheap
east Ozeki
Aonishiki
○ Win
74%
young
west Komusubi
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
26%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButYoritaoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Aonishiki 2 - 1 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2675 — 2465
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Aonishiki See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Aonishiki Yoritaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 15Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 9Day Aonishiki Shitatehineri
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
king
east Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
46%
high
west Sekiwake
Takayasu
○ Win
54%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takayasu ButTsukidashiDeWin
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Head-to-head Oho 1 - 7 Takayasu
Strength index 2490 — 2519
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Oho See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Takayasu Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Oho Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 10Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 7Day Takayasu Uwatenage
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Takayasu Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 2
Ura
○ Win
54%
One
westMaegashira 1
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
46%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Ura ButOshitaoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 7 - 3 Ichiyamamoto
Strength index 2408 — 2386
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Ura See Ichiyamamoto
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Ura Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 4Day Ichiyamamoto Oshitaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 1Day Ichiyamamoto Hatakikomi
2025 Haru Basho 1Day Ura Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 7Day Ura Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
ball
eastMaegashira 5
Tamawashi
●Loss
47%
Takashi
westMaegashira 3
Takanosho
○ Win
53%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takanosho ButHatakikomiDeWin
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Head-to-head Tamawashi 4 - 8 Takanosho
Strength index 2417 — 2389
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Tamawashi See Takanosho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
2024 Natsu Basho 5Day Takanosho Tsukiotoshi
2024 Hatsu Basho 7Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
2023 Nagoya Basho 8Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2023 Natsu Basho 4Day Takanosho Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Positive
eastMaegashira 8
Shodai
●Loss
40%
flat
westMaegashira 6
Hiradoumi
○ Win
60%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hiradoumi ButYorikiriDeWin
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Head-to-head Shodai 3 - 1 Hiradoumi
Strength index 2318 — 2392
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 4 wins, 11 losses
See Shodai See Hiradoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 2Day Shodai Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 2Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 4Day Shodai Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 14Day Shodai Hikiotoshi
・
Miss ○ Advantage
Australia
eastMaegashira 9
Gonoyama
○ Win
34%
Europe
westMaegashira 7
Oshoma
●Loss
66%
Data Oyakata Miss
Gonoyama ButOshidashiDeWin
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Head-to-head Gonoyama 3 - 3 Oshoma
Strength index 2276 — 2388
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 4 wins, 11 losses
See Gonoyama See Oshoma
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Aki Basho 12Day Gonoyama Tsukidashi
2023 Natsu Basho 7Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2023 Haru Basho 6Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2022 Aki Basho 8Day Oshoma Oshidashi
2022 Nagoya Basho 2Day Oshoma Shitatenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
gold
eastMaegashira 8
Kinbozan
●Loss
48%
Koto
westMaegashira 10
Kotoshoho
○ Win
52%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotoshoho ButShitatenageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kinbozan 2 - 4 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2299 — 2334
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kinbozan See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 1Day Kinbozan Yoritaoshi of
2024 Nagoya Basho 8Day Kinbozan Uwatenage
2024 Natsu Basho 5Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
2023 Nagoya Basho 11Day Kotoshoho Hikiotoshi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
wolf
eastMaegashira 9
Roga
●Loss
52%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 11
Nishikifuji
○ Win
48%
Data Oyakata Miss
Nishikifuji ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Roga 4 - 4 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2299 — 2286
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Roga See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Roga Hatakikomi
2024 Kyushu Basho 14Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 4Day Roga Yorikiri of
2024 Natsu Basho 12Day Roga Uwatedashinage
2024 Haru Basho 6Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
time
eastMaegashira 10
Tokihayate
○ Win
55%
God
westMaegashira 14
Mitakeumi
●Loss
45%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Tokihayate ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tokihayate 2 - 2 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2298 — 2261
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Tokihayate See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 2Day Tokihayate Uwatenage
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Mitakeumi Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 2Day Mitakeumi Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
thousand
eastMaegashira 11
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
41%
lion
westMaegashira 14
Shishi
○ Win
59%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Shishi ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 2 - 4 Shishi
Strength index 2263 — 2287
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Shishi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 11Day Shishi Sukuinage of
2024 Kyushu Basho 7Day Chiyoshoma Tsukiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 5Day Chiyoshoma Susoharai
2024 Haru Basho 5Day Shishi Shitatenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
morning
eastMaegashira 16
Asanoyama
○ Win
56%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
●Loss
44%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asanoyama ButHikiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asanoyama 9 - 4 Abi
Strength index 2443 — 2377
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Asanoyama See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2024 Haru Basho 13Day Asanoyama Tsukiotoshi
2023 Kyushu Basho 15Day Asanoyama Tsukiotoshi
2023 Aki Basho 7Day Asanoyama Oshidashi
2020 Hatsu Basho 4Day Abi Oshitaoshi of
2019 Kyushu Basho 8Day Asanoyama Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Europe
eastMaegashira 16
Oshoumi
○ Win
54%
friend
westMaegashira 13
Tomokaze
●Loss
46%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Oshoumi ButOshitaoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oshoumi 2 - 3 Tomokaze
Strength index 2276 — 2257
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Oshoumi See Tomokaze
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Oshoumi Oshidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 6Day Tomokaze Hatakikomi
2025 Hatsu Basho 8Day Oshoumi Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 5Day Tomokaze Hikiotoshi
2024 Haru Basho 11Day Tomokaze Yoritaoshi of
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