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2026 Hatsu Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

2Day Results This day Oyakata 71%(15/21)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Hatsu Basho ▼
eastwest

Select a rikishi to view their record.See up to Juryo →

2Day Makuuchi bout results

Results for this Basho

Special prizes

Oyakata results 15/21 71%
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
One
eastMaegashira 1
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
21%
Yutaka
west Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
○ Win
79%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hoshoryu ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ichiyamamoto 3 - 1 Hoshoryu
Strength index 2390 — 2672
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Ichiyamamoto See Hoshoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Hoshoryu Hatakikomi
2025 Haru Basho 9Day Ichiyamamoto Sukuinage of
2019 Natsu Basho 9Day Ichiyamamoto Hikiotoshi
2019 Hatsu Basho 8Day Ichiyamamoto Hikiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
king
east Komusubi
Oho
●Loss
24%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
76%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Oho 3 - 6 Onosato
Strength index 2487 — 2696
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Oho See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Onosato Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Onosato Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 4Day Oho Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 4Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 13Day Oho Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
u
eastMaegashira 2
Ura
●Loss
34%
Koto
west Ozeki
Kotozakura
○ Win
66%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotozakura ButOshitaoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ura 6 - 7 Kotozakura
Strength index 2440 — 2540
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Ura See Kotozakura
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 5Day Ura Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 9Day Ura Oshitaoshi of
2024 Kyushu Basho 5Day Kotozakura Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 9Day Ura Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 8Day Kotozakura Tsukidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
righteousness
eastMaegashira 1
Yoshinofuji
●Loss
35%
Cheap
west Ozeki
Aonishiki
○ Win
65%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Aonishiki ButKubinageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Yoshinofuji 3 - 0 Aonishiki
Strength index 2463 — 2670
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Yoshinofuji See Aonishiki
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Yoshinofuji Tsukidashi
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Yoshinofuji Yorikiri of
2024 Natsu Basho 11Day Yoshinofuji Yoritaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Takashi
eastMaegashira 3
Takanosho
●Loss
40%
fog
west Sekiwake
Kirishima
○ Win
60%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kirishima ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 17 - 5 Kirishima
Strength index 2418 — 2553
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Takanosho See Kirishima
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 8Day Takanosho Tsukidashi
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Takanosho Tsukidashi
2025 Haru Basho 10Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 5Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 12Day Kirishima Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
young
eastMaegashira 2
Wakatakakage
○ Win
53%
high
west Sekiwake
Takayasu
●Loss
47%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Wakatakakage ButKatasukashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Wakatakakage 12 - 6 Takayasu
Strength index 2486 — 2511
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Wakatakakage See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 9Day Wakatakakage Uwatenage
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Wakatakakage Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 5Day Takayasu Oshitaoshi of
2025 Natsu Basho 6Day Wakatakakage Okuridashi
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Takayasu Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Haku
eastMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
○ Win
49%
young
west Komusubi
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
51%
Data Oyakata Miss
Hakunofuji ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
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Head-to-head Hakunofuji 0 - 3 Wakamotoharu
Strength index 2459 — 2487
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Hakunofuji See Wakamotoharu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 13Day Wakamotoharu Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Large
eastMaegashira 4
Daieisho
●Loss
56%
beauty
westMaegashira 5
Churanoumi
○ Win
44%
Data Oyakata Miss
Churanoumi ButYorikiriDeWin
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Head-to-head Daieisho 0 - 5 Churanoumi
Strength index 2477 — 2360
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Daieisho See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Churanoumi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Churanoumi Okuridashi
2025 Haru Basho 15Day Churanoumi Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 6Day Churanoumi Hatakikomi
2024 Nagoya Basho 13Day Churanoumi Okuridashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
ball
eastMaegashira 5
Tamawashi
○ Win
53%
fever
westMaegashira 4
Atamifuji
●Loss
47%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Tamawashi ButOshidashiDeWin
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Head-to-head Tamawashi 1 - 3 Atamifuji
Strength index 2428 — 2371
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Tamawashi See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Atamifuji Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 1Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2024 Hatsu Basho 10Day Tamawashi Oshitaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Europe
eastMaegashira 7
Oshoma
○ Win
52%
Ah
westMaegashira 6
Onokatsu
●Loss
48%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Oshoma ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
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Head-to-head Oshoma 3 - 2 Onokatsu
Strength index 2359 — 2344
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Oshoma See Onokatsu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 6Day Oshoma Okuridashi
2025 Aki Basho 7Day Onokatsu Uwatedashinage
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Onokatsu Oshidashi
2025 Natsu Basho 6Day Oshoma Okuridashi
2025 Haru Basho 13Day Oshoma Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Positive
eastMaegashira 8
Shodai
○ Win
53%
wolf
westMaegashira 9
Roga
●Loss
47%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Shodai ButHikiotoshiDeWin
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Head-to-head Shodai 4 - 0 Roga
Strength index 2327 — 2309
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Shodai See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 4Day Shodai Uwatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 14Day Shodai Uwatenage
2024 Natsu Basho 11Day Shodai Yorikiri of
2024 Haru Basho 10Day Shodai Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Australia
eastMaegashira 9
Gonoyama
●Loss
46%
gold
westMaegashira 8
Kinbozan
○ Win
54%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kinbozan ButUwatenageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 2 - 2 Kinbozan
Strength index 2305 — 2307
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Gonoyama See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 13Day Gonoyama Tsukiotoshi
2024 Haru Basho 1Day Kinbozan Uwatenage
2022 Kyushu Basho 14Day Gonoyama Tsukidashi
2022 Aki Basho 2Day Kinbozan Uwatehineri
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
time
eastMaegashira 10
Tokihayate
●Loss
54%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 11
Nishikifuji
○ Win
46%
Data Oyakata Miss
Nishikifuji ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tokihayate 5 - 2 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2311 — 2297
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Tokihayate See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 1Day Tokihayate Uwatenage
2024 Kyushu Basho 3Day Tokihayate Tsukiotoshi
2024 Aki Basho 14Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
2024 Nagoya Basho 1Day Nishikifuji Yorikiri of
・
Miss ○ Advantage
thousand
eastMaegashira 11
Chiyoshoma
○ Win
40%
Koto
westMaegashira 10
Kotoshoho
●Loss
60%
Data Oyakata Miss
Chiyoshoma ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 5 - 5 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2270 — 2308
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Chiyoshoma Uwatenage
2023 Kyushu Basho 11Day Chiyoshoma Tottari
2023 Aki Basho 2Day Kotoshoho Sukuinage of
2023 Nagoya Basho 3Day Chiyoshoma Okuridashi
2022 Kyushu Basho 3Day Kotoshoho Kotenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Sho
eastMaegashira 13
Tobizaru
●Loss
44%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
○ Win
56%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Abi ButHatakikomiDeWin
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Head-to-head Tobizaru 9 - 9 Abi
Strength index 2301 — 2341
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Tobizaru See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 12Day Tobizaru Kekaeshi
2025 Natsu Basho 14Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 2Day Abi Tsukiotoshi
2025 Hatsu Basho 8Day Abi Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 1Day Tobizaru Uwatenage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
lion
eastMaegashira 14
Shishi
○ Win
56%
morning
westMaegashira 15
Asakoryu
●Loss
44%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Shishi ButKotenageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shishi 5 - 5 Asakoryu
Strength index 2276 — 2221
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Shishi See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Shishi Oshitaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 9Day Asakoryu Shitatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 15Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2025 Haru Basho 9Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 5Day Shishi Yorikiri of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
dragon
eastMaegashira 15
Ryuden
●Loss
53%
God
westMaegashira 14
Mitakeumi
○ Win
47%
Data Oyakata Miss
Mitakeumi ButUwatenageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ryuden 11 - 2 Mitakeumi
Strength index 2239 — 2247
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Ryuden See Mitakeumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 1Day Ryuden Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 9Day Ryuden Yorikiri of
2024 Natsu Basho 14Day Ryuden Yorikiri of
2024 Haru Basho 14Day Mitakeumi Tsukiotoshi
2023 Kyushu Basho 1Day Ryuden Yorikiri of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
morning
eastMaegashira 17
Asahakuryu
○ Win
65%
Europe
westMaegashira 16
Oshoumi
●Loss
35%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asahakuryu ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Asahakuryu 2 - 1 Oshoumi
Strength index 2298 — 2236
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Asahakuryu See Oshoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Asahakuryu Yoritaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 13Day Asahakuryu Yoritaoshi of
2023 Aki Basho 11Day Oshoumi Utchari
🧐
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