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2026 Hatsu Basho Makuuchi Win-loss predictions｜Data Oyakata

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Data Oyakata's Makuuchi win probabilities

This site is a statistical research project that analyses every recorded sumo bout to help you enjoy watching the sport more deeply. It neither encourages nor takes part in betting of any kind, and the predictions published here are for entertainment only.

5Day Results This day Oyakata 67%(14/21)
This Basho's Banzuke Active Rikishi
Banzuke Active rikishi and 2026 Hatsu Basho ▼
eastwest

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5Day Makuuchi bout results

Results for this Basho

Special prizes

Oyakata results 14/21 67%
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Yutaka
east Yokozuna
Hoshoryu
○ Win
66%
young
westMaegashira 2
Wakatakakage
●Loss
34%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hoshoryu ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Hoshoryu 9 - 8 Wakatakakage
Strength index 2664 — 2514
Previous basho 12 wins, 3 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Hoshoryu See Wakatakakage
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Hoshoryu Hatakikomi
2025 Natsu Basho 1Day Hoshoryu Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 2Day Hoshoryu Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 3Day Hoshoryu Tsukidashi
Kinboshi Naruka
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
Takashi
eastMaegashira 3
Takanosho
●Loss
19%
Large
west Yokozuna
Onosato
○ Win
81%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Onosato ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Takanosho 3 - 4 Onosato
Strength index 2395 — 2686
Previous basho 5 wins, 10 losses — 11 wins, 4 losses
See Takanosho See Onosato
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 11Day Takanosho Hikiotoshi
2025 Haru Basho 6Day Onosato Oshidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 3Day Onosato Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 11Day Takanosho Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 5Day Onosato Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
Koto
east Ozeki
Kotozakura
●Loss
59%
Haku
westMaegashira 3
Hakunofuji
○ Win
41%
Data Oyakata Miss
Hakunofuji ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Kotozakura 3 - 0 Hakunofuji
Strength index 2541 — 2452
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 6 wins, 9 losses
See Kotozakura See Hakunofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Kotozakura Uwatedashinage
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Kotozakura Tsukiotoshi
2025 Nagoya Basho 7Day Kotozakura Yorikiri of
・
Miss ○ Advantage
fog
east Sekiwake
Kirishima
●Loss
60%
king
west Komusubi
Oho
○ Win
40%
Data Oyakata Miss
Oho ButHatakikomiDeWin
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Head-to-head Kirishima 6 - 3 Oho
Strength index 2573 — 2489
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Kirishima See Oho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Kirishima Oshitaoshi of
2025 Aki Basho 1Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Kirishima Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 2Day Oho Tsukidashi
2025 Hatsu Basho 12Day Kirishima Okurinage
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
young
east Komusubi
Wakamotoharu
●Loss
43%
high
west Sekiwake
Takayasu
○ Win
57%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Takayasu ButTsukidashiDeWin
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Head-to-head Wakamotoharu 2 - 10 Takayasu
Strength index 2462 — 2517
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Wakamotoharu See Takayasu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 4Day Takayasu Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 13Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 8Day Takayasu Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 5Day Wakamotoharu Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 13Day Takayasu Tsukidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
One
eastMaegashira 1
Ichiyamamoto
●Loss
34%
righteousness
westMaegashira 1
Yoshinofuji
○ Win
66%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Yoshinofuji ButYorikiriDeWin
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Head-to-head Ichiyamamoto 2 - 0 Yoshinofuji
Strength index 2399 — 2509
Previous basho 11 wins, 4 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Ichiyamamoto See Yoshinofuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 14Day Ichiyamamoto Hatakikomi
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Ichiyamamoto Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
u
eastMaegashira 2
Ura
●Loss
52%
fever
westMaegashira 4
Atamifuji
○ Win
48%
Data Oyakata Miss
Atamifuji ButYorikiriDeWin
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Head-to-head Ura 4 - 3 Atamifuji
Strength index 2426 — 2385
Previous basho 8 wins, 7 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Ura See Atamifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Nagoya Basho 2Day Ura Katasukashi
2025 Haru Basho 12Day Ura Yorikiri of
2024 Aki Basho 14Day Atamifuji Oshidashi
2024 Nagoya Basho 4Day Ura Shitatedashinage
2024 Natsu Basho 14Day Atamifuji Kotenage
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
ball
eastMaegashira 5
Tamawashi
●Loss
59%
Ah
westMaegashira 6
Onokatsu
○ Win
41%
Data Oyakata Miss
Onokatsu ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tamawashi 2 - 2 Onokatsu
Strength index 2435 — 2331
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Tamawashi See Onokatsu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 14Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 9Day Onokatsu Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 13Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
2024 Aki Basho 12Day Tamawashi Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
flat
eastMaegashira 6
Hiradoumi
○ Win
57%
beauty
westMaegashira 5
Churanoumi
●Loss
43%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Hiradoumi ButYorikiriDeWin
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Head-to-head Hiradoumi 8 - 3 Churanoumi
Strength index 2393 — 2352
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Hiradoumi See Churanoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 13Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 15Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2023 Kyushu Basho 12Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
2022 Nagoya Basho 6Day Hiradoumi Yorikiri of
2022 Natsu Basho 6Day Hiradoumi Oshidashi
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
Europe
eastMaegashira 7
Oshoma
○ Win
62%
gold
westMaegashira 8
Kinbozan
●Loss
38%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Oshoma ButUwatedashinageDeWin
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Head-to-head Oshoma 6 - 3 Kinbozan
Strength index 2393 — 2295
Previous basho 4 wins, 11 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Oshoma See Kinbozan
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 2Day Oshoma Uwatenage
2025 Nagoya Basho 11Day Kinbozan Shitatenage
2025 Natsu Basho 9Day Oshoma Okuridashi
2025 Haru Basho 7Day Oshoma Uwatenage
2024 Nagoya Basho 1Day Oshoma Oshitaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Australia
eastMaegashira 9
Gonoyama
●Loss
49%
Koto
westMaegashira 10
Kotoshoho
○ Win
51%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Kotoshoho ButKubinageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Gonoyama 3 - 2 Kotoshoho
Strength index 2295 — 2316
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Gonoyama See Kotoshoho
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 7Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
2025 Aki Basho 3Day Kotoshoho Oshidashi
2024 Kyushu Basho 9Day Gonoyama Oshitaoshi of
2024 Aki Basho 5Day Kotoshoho Tsukiotoshi
2023 Nagoya Basho 1Day Gonoyama Oshidashi
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
time
eastMaegashira 10
Tokihayate
○ Win
50%
wolf
westMaegashira 9
Roga
●Loss
50%
Data Oyakata Miss
Tokihayate ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tokihayate 3 - 5 Roga
Strength index 2299 — 2299
Previous basho 9 wins, 6 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Tokihayate See Roga
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 5Day Roga Yorikiri of
2025 Nagoya Basho 3Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2025 Natsu Basho 3Day Tokihayate Yorikiri of
2024 Kyushu Basho 15Day Roga Yorikiri of
2024 Natsu Basho 15Day Roga Yoritaoshi of
・
Correct ✓ ○ Advantage
thousand
eastMaegashira 11
Chiyoshoma
●Loss
36%
Ah
westMaegashira 12
Abi
○ Win
64%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Abi ButTsukiotoshiDeWin
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Head-to-head Chiyoshoma 3 - 4 Abi
Strength index 2279 — 2364
Previous basho 10 wins, 5 losses — 5 wins, 10 losses
See Chiyoshoma See Abi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Haru Basho 4Day Chiyoshoma Yorikiri of
2022 Kyushu Basho 2Day Abi Oshidashi
2022 Hatsu Basho 2Day Abi Oshidashi
2019 Hatsu Basho 8Day Abi Tsukidashi
2018 Kyushu Basho 15Day Chiyoshoma Tsukiotoshi
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Sho
eastMaegashira 13
Tobizaru
●Loss
46%
Nishiki
westMaegashira 11
Nishikifuji
○ Win
54%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Nishikifuji ButOshidashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Tobizaru 3 - 2 Nishikifuji
Strength index 2273 — 2289
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 9 wins, 6 losses
See Tobizaru See Nishikifuji
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Kyushu Basho 15Day Nishikifuji Oshidashi
2024 Natsu Basho 13Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2023 Natsu Basho 9Day Tobizaru Hatakikomi
2022 Aki Basho 12Day Tobizaru Oshidashi
2022 Nagoya Basho 13Day Nishikifuji Fusen of
・
Correct ✓ ▲ Close bout
Green
eastMaegashira 12
Midorifuji
○ Win
53%
morning
westMaegashira 15
Asakoryu
●Loss
47%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Midorifuji ButOkuridashiDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Midorifuji 3 - 0 Asakoryu
Strength index 2261 — 2236
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 8 wins, 7 losses
See Midorifuji See Asakoryu
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 12Day Midorifuji Hatakikomi
2025 Nagoya Basho 1Day Midorifuji Oshidashi
2025 Haru Basho 13Day Midorifuji Sukuinage of
・
Miss ▲ Close bout
lion
eastMaegashira 14
Shishi
●Loss
54%
Europe
westMaegashira 16
Oshoumi
○ Win
46%
Data Oyakata Miss
Oshoumi ButShitatenageDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Shishi 3 - 2 Oshoumi
Strength index 2291 — 2250
Previous basho 6 wins, 9 losses — 7 wins, 8 losses
See Shishi See Oshoumi
Head-to-head record before this bout
2025 Aki Basho 10Day Oshoumi Yorikiri of
2025 Hatsu Basho 10Day Shishi Yorikiri of
2024 Haru Basho 10Day Oshoumi Yorikiri of
2020 Aki Basho 13Day Shishi Utchari
2020 Nagoya Basho 10Day Shishi Uwatenage
・
Correct ✓ ◎ High confidence
dragon
eastMaegashira 15
Ryuden
●Loss
25%
morning
westMaegashira 16
Asanoyama
○ Win
75%
Data Oyakata Correct ✓
Asanoyama ButYorikiriDeWin
👆 More bout details ▼
Head-to-head Ryuden 5 - 9 Asanoyama
Strength index 2215 — 2455
Previous basho 7 wins, 8 losses — 12 wins, 3 losses
See Ryuden See Asanoyama
Head-to-head record before this bout
2023 Natsu Basho 9Day Asanoyama Yoritaoshi of
2020 Haru Basho 11Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2020 Hatsu Basho 15Day Asanoyama Abisetaoshi
2019 Kyushu Basho 14Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
2019 Aki Basho 7Day Asanoyama Yorikiri of
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